Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 6, 2026 9:38 AM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2024 | mlb |
Yankees
Royals
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 33.3% | 0.532 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| Oct 6, 2024 | mlb |
Phillies
Mets
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 33.5% | 0.527 | 0.73u | Lost | -0.73u |
| Oct 6, 2024 | mlb |
Dodgers
Padres
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 33.2% | 0.546 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| Oct 5, 2024 | mlb |
Dodgers
Padres
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 33.3% | 0.533 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| Oct 5, 2024 | mlb |
Guardians
Tigers
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 33.5% | 0.527 | 0.73u | Lost | -0.73u |
| Oct 5, 2024 | mlb |
Yankees
Royals
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 33.3% | 0.521 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Oct 3, 2024 | mlb |
Brewers
Mets
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 34.0% | 0.518 | 0.72u | Won | +2.59u |
| Oct 2, 2024 | mlb |
Brewers
Mets
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 33.3% | 0.531 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Oct 2, 2024 | mlb |
Astros
Tigers
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 33.4% | 0.539 | 0.75u | Won | +2.70u |
| Oct 2, 2024 | mlb |
Orioles
Royals
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 33.2% | 0.549 | 0.76u | Won | +2.74u |
| Oct 1, 2024 | mlb |
Orioles
Royals
|
First5 result | away | 2.65 | 34.1% | 0.316 | 0.96u | Lost | -0.96u |
| Oct 1, 2024 | mlb |
Astros
Tigers
|
First5 result | away | 2.20 | 34.1% | 0.094 | 0.39u | Won | +0.47u |
| Sep 30, 2024 | mlb |
Braves
Mets
|
First5 result | away | 3.40 | 34.1% | 0.688 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 29, 2024 | mlb |
Tigers
White Sox
|
First5 result | away | 3.00 | 34.0% | 0.490 | 0.60u | Won | +1.20u |
| Sep 29, 2024 | mlb |
Braves
Royals
|
First5 result | away | 2.05 | 17.9% | 0.509 | 1.20u | Won | +1.26u |
| Sep 28, 2024 | mlb |
Angels
Rangers
|
First5 result | away | 2.85 | 34.0% | 0.415 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 28, 2024 | mlb |
Tigers
White Sox
|
First5 result | away | 2.95 | 34.2% | 0.468 | 1.20u | Won | +2.34u |
| Sep 27, 2024 | mlb |
Brewers
Mets
|
First5 result | away | 2.00 | 17.9% | 0.471 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 27, 2024 | mlb |
Giants
Cardinals
|
First5 result | away | 2.55 | 34.1% | 0.267 | 0.60u | Won | +0.93u |
| Sep 26, 2024 | mlb |
White Sox
Angels
|
First5 result | away | 2.45 | 34.2% | 0.218 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 26, 2024 | mlb |
Athletics
Rangers
|
First5 result | away | 3.15 | 34.0% | 0.564 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 25, 2024 | mlb |
Rockies
Cardinals
|
First5 result | away | 2.65 | 34.1% | 0.317 | 0.71u | Won | +1.17u |
| Sep 25, 2024 | mlb |
Athletics
Rangers
|
First5 result | away | 2.80 | 34.1% | 0.393 | 1.09u | Won | +1.96u |
| Sep 24, 2024 | mlb |
Rockies
Cardinals
|
First5 result | away | 3.10 | 34.1% | 0.542 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 24, 2024 | mlb |
Twins
Marlins
|
First5 result | away | 2.55 | 34.1% | 0.269 | 0.60u | Won | +0.93u |
| Sep 23, 2024 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Giants
|
First5 result | away | 2.55 | 34.0% | 0.267 | 0.86u | Won | +1.33u |
| Sep 22, 2024 | mlb |
Royals
Giants
|
First5 result | away | 4.00 | 40.7% | 0.600 | 0.60u | Won | +1.80u |
| Sep 22, 2024 | mlb |
Rangers
Mariners
|
First5 result | away | 3.25 | 34.1% | 0.616 | 1.20u | Won | +2.70u |
| Sep 21, 2024 | mlb |
Brewers
Diamondbacks
|
First5 result | away | 2.20 | 34.1% | 0.094 | 0.16u | Won | +0.19u |
| Sep 21, 2024 | mlb |
Orioles
Tigers
|
First5 result | away | 2.70 | 34.2% | 0.343 | 1.01u | Won | +1.72u |
| Sep 21, 2024 | mlb |
Marlins
Braves
|
First5 result | away | 2.20 | 34.0% | 0.094 | 0.39u | Won | +0.47u |
| Sep 21, 2024 | mlb |
Cardinals
Guardians
|
First5 result | home | 3.25 | 34.2% | 0.110 | 0.24u | Won | +0.54u |
| Sep 20, 2024 | mlb |
Padres
White Sox
|
First5 result | away | 3.25 | 34.1% | 0.616 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 20, 2024 | mlb |
Cardinals
Guardians
|
First5 result | away | 3.10 | 34.1% | 0.539 | 0.60u | Won | +1.26u |
| Sep 19, 2024 | mlb |
Reds
Braves
|
First5 result | away | 2.50 | 34.1% | 0.243 | 0.81u | Won | +1.22u |
| Sep 19, 2024 | mlb |
Marlins
Dodgers
|
First5 result | away | 3.40 | 40.8% | 0.361 | 0.75u | Won | +1.80u |
| Sep 19, 2024 | mlb |
Guardians
Twins
|
First5 result | home | 2.80 | 40.7% | 0.140 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Sep 18, 2024 | mlb |
Royals
Tigers
|
First5 result | away | 2.50 | 34.3% | 0.244 | 0.81u | Won | +1.22u |
| Sep 18, 2024 | mlb |
Rockies
Diamondbacks
|
First5 result | away | 2.65 | 34.1% | 0.318 | 0.96u | Won | +1.58u |
| Sep 17, 2024 | mlb |
Mets
Nationals
|
First5 result | home | 2.95 | 49.3% | 0.456 | 0.60u | Won | +1.17u |
| Sep 17, 2024 | mlb |
Reds
Braves
|
First5 result | away | 2.20 | 0.0% | 0.691 | 1.20u | Won | +1.44u |
| Sep 16, 2024 | mlb |
Angels
White Sox
|
First5 result | away | 2.10 | 13.3% | 0.323 | 1.20u | Won | +1.32u |
| Sep 16, 2024 | mlb |
Cardinals
Pirates
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 14.4% | 0.173 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Sep 15, 2024 | mlb |
Angels
Astros
|
First5 result | away | 2.40 | 12.9% | 0.536 | 1.20u | Won | +1.68u |
| Sep 15, 2024 | mlb |
Giants
Padres
|
First5 result | home | 2.65 | 53.4% | 0.414 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 14, 2024 | mlb |
Phillies
Mets
|
First5 result | away | 2.35 | 30.6% | 0.266 | 0.98u | Won | +1.32u |
| Sep 14, 2024 | mlb |
Rockies
Cubs
|
First5 result | away | 2.00 | 13.2% | 0.264 | 0.82u | Won | +0.82u |
| Sep 13, 2024 | mlb |
White Sox
Athletics
|
First5 result | home | 2.80 | 48.8% | 0.367 | 1.02u | Lost | -1.02u |
| Sep 13, 2024 | mlb |
Mariners
Rangers
|
First5 result | home | 2.30 | 53.4% | 0.229 | 0.78u | Lost | -0.78u |
| Sep 12, 2024 | mlb |
Giants
Brewers
|
First5 result | away | 3.40 | 42.3% | 0.413 | 0.86u | Lost | -0.86u |
| Sep 11, 2024 | mlb |
White Sox
Guardians
|
First5 result | home | 2.40 | 46.0% | 0.103 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Sep 11, 2024 | mlb |
Tigers
Rockies
|
First5 result | home | 3.00 | 47.1% | 0.414 | 1.04u | Won | +2.08u |
| Sep 11, 2024 | mlb |
Pirates
Marlins
|
First5 result | home | 2.15 | 49.3% | 0.060 | 0.26u | Won | +0.30u |
| Sep 10, 2024 | mlb |
Cardinals
Reds
|
First5 result | home | 2.20 | 53.0% | 0.166 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 10, 2024 | mlb |
Twins
Angels
|
First5 result | home | 2.95 | 49.7% | 0.467 | 1.20u | Won | +2.34u |
| Sep 9, 2024 | mlb |
Braves
Reds
|
First5 result | home | 2.05 | 51.5% | 0.056 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Sep 9, 2024 | mlb |
Pirates
Marlins
|
First5 result | away | 2.35 | 36.0% | 0.076 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Sep 9, 2024 | mlb |
Phillies
Rays
|
First5 result | home | 2.60 | 49.7% | 0.293 | 0.92u | Lost | -0.92u |
| Sep 8, 2024 | mlb |
Dodgers
Guardians
|
First5 result | home | 2.35 | 48.7% | 0.144 | 0.32u | Won | +0.43u |
| Sep 8, 2024 | mlb |
Brewers
Rockies
|
First5 result | away | 2.55 | 38.9% | 0.178 | 0.58u | Won | +0.90u |
| Sep 8, 2024 | mlb |
Braves
Blue Jays
|
First5 result | away | 3.15 | 44.6% | 0.213 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Sep 8, 2024 | mlb |
Pirates
Nationals
|
First5 result | away | 3.50 | 50.6% | 0.202 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Sep 7, 2024 | mlb |
Athletics
Tigers
|
First5 result | home | 2.25 | 50.3% | 0.133 | 0.24u | Won | +0.30u |
| Sep 7, 2024 | mlb |
Cubs
Yankees
|
First5 result | away | 3.35 | 50.2% | 0.168 | 0.36u | Won | +0.85u |
| Sep 7, 2024 | mlb |
Red Sox
White Sox
|
First5 result | home | 3.05 | 49.3% | 0.504 | 1.20u | Won | +2.46u |
| Sep 6, 2024 | mlb |
Mets
Reds
|
First5 result | home | 3.20 | 41.7% | 0.334 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| Sep 6, 2024 | mlb |
Brewers
Rockies
|
First5 result | away | 3.25 | 38.5% | 0.521 | 1.16u | Lost | -1.16u |
| Sep 5, 2024 | mlb |
Braves
Rockies
|
First5 result | home | 2.95 | 48.4% | 0.427 | 1.09u | Lost | -1.09u |
| Sep 5, 2024 | mlb |
Marlins
Phillies
|
First5 result | home | 2.35 | 53.9% | 0.268 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| Sep 4, 2024 | mlb |
Braves
Rockies
|
First5 result | away | 4.00 | 49.5% | 0.428 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| Sep 4, 2024 | mlb |
Mets
Red Sox
|
First5 result | away | 3.30 | 50.7% | 0.131 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Sep 4, 2024 | mlb |
Reds
Astros
|
First5 result | home | 2.15 | 49.6% | 0.066 | 0.29u | Won | +0.33u |
| Sep 4, 2024 | mlb |
Brewers
Cardinals
|
First5 result | home | 2.20 | 50.7% | 0.116 | 0.48u | Lost | -0.48u |
| Sep 3, 2024 | mlb |
Brewers
Cardinals
|
First5 result | away | 3.60 | 42.7% | 0.808 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 3, 2024 | mlb |
Rays
Twins
|
First5 result | away | 3.95 | 45.8% | 0.627 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 2, 2024 | mlb |
Orioles
White Sox
|
First5 result | away | 4.60 | 45.0% | 0.913 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 2, 2024 | mlb |
Padres
Tigers
|
First5 result | home | 2.60 | 49.7% | 0.291 | 0.60u | Won | +0.96u |
| Sep 1, 2024 | mlb |
Nationals
Cubs
|
First5 result | away | 3.05 | 43.6% | 0.509 | 1.20u | Won | +2.46u |
| Sep 1, 2024 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Dodgers
|
First5 result | away | 3.25 | 49.3% | 0.399 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 31, 2024 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Dodgers
|
First5 result | away | 2.40 | 42.0% | 0.221 | 0.79u | Won | +1.11u |
| Aug 31, 2024 | mlb |
Twins
Blue Jays
|
First5 result | home | 2.40 | 50.1% | 0.203 | 0.10u | Lost | -0.10u |
| Aug 31, 2024 | mlb |
White Sox
Mets
|
First5 result | away | 2.60 | 37.8% | 0.290 | 0.91u | Won | +1.46u |
| Aug 30, 2024 | mlb |
Yankees
Cardinals
|
First5 result | away | 2.65 | 40.2% | 0.388 | 1.18u | Lost | -1.18u |
| Aug 30, 2024 | mlb |
Rays
Padres
|
First5 result | home | 2.85 | 42.7% | 0.217 | 0.59u | Lost | -0.59u |
| Aug 29, 2024 | mlb |
Dodgers
Orioles
|
First5 result | away | 2.50 | 42.0% | 0.271 | 0.90u | Lost | -0.90u |
| Aug 29, 2024 | mlb |
Red Sox
Blue Jays
|
First5 result | away | 2.40 | 44.2% | 0.174 | 0.14u | Won | +0.20u |
| Aug 29, 2024 | mlb |
Rockies
Marlins
|
First5 result | home | 3.30 | 40.8% | 0.348 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| Aug 28, 2024 | mlb |
White Sox
Rangers
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 45.4% | 1.511 | 1.20u | Won | +4.32u |
| Aug 28, 2024 | mlb |
Phillies
Astros
|
First5 result | home | 2.65 | 45.1% | 0.194 | 0.59u | Lost | -0.59u |
| Aug 27, 2024 | mlb |
Mariners
Rays
|
First5 result | home | 2.95 | 41.6% | 0.228 | 0.58u | Lost | -0.58u |
| Aug 27, 2024 | mlb |
Tigers
Angels
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 34.5% | 1.063 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 26, 2024 | mlb |
Nationals
Yankees
|
First5 result | away | 2.65 | 41.1% | 0.234 | 0.71u | Won | +1.17u |
| Aug 26, 2024 | mlb |
Pirates
Cubs
|
First5 result | away | 2.35 | 34.6% | 0.060 | 0.22u | Won | +0.30u |
| Aug 25, 2024 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Angels
|
First5 result | away | 3.00 | 37.9% | 0.487 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| Aug 25, 2024 | mlb |
Royals
Phillies
|
First5 result | away | 3.10 | 45.0% | 0.488 | 1.16u | Won | +2.44u |
| Aug 24, 2024 | mlb |
Royals
Phillies
|
First5 result | away | 3.40 | 41.1% | 0.755 | 1.20u | Won | +2.88u |
| Aug 24, 2024 | mlb |
Dodgers
Rays
|
First5 result | away | 2.80 | 44.3% | 0.359 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 23, 2024 | mlb |
Red Sox
Diamondbacks
|
First5 result | away | 3.70 | 57.4% | 0.268 | 0.50u | Won | +1.35u |
| Aug 23, 2024 | mlb |
Dodgers
Rays
|
First5 result | away | 2.65 | 45.8% | 0.260 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| Aug 23, 2024 | mlb |
Mariners
Giants
|
First5 result | away | 3.15 | 40.7% | 0.476 | 1.11u | Won | +2.39u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.