Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 6, 2026 9:38 AM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 10, 2024 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Braves
|
First5 result | away | 2.60 | 36.1% | 0.172 | 0.54u | Lost | -0.54u |
| Jul 9, 2024 | mlb |
Orioles
Cubs
|
First5 result | away | 2.75 | 45.5% | 0.257 | 0.74u | Won | +1.30u |
| Jul 9, 2024 | mlb |
Tigers
Guardians
|
First5 result | away | 2.65 | 47.3% | 0.173 | 0.43u | Won | +0.71u |
| Jul 9, 2024 | mlb |
Reds
Rockies
|
First5 result | away | 2.95 | 49.7% | 0.247 | 0.63u | Lost | -0.63u |
| Jul 8, 2024 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Braves
|
First5 result | home | 2.80 | 46.1% | 0.291 | 0.81u | Lost | -0.81u |
| Jul 7, 2024 | mlb |
Cubs
Angels
|
First5 result | home | 2.50 | 46.9% | 0.173 | 0.58u | Won | +0.87u |
| Jul 7, 2024 | mlb |
Pirates
Mets
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 14.6% | 2.189 | 1.20u | Won | +4.32u |
| Jul 6, 2024 | mlb |
Cubs
Angels
|
First5 result | home | 2.10 | 50.3% | 0.057 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| Jul 6, 2024 | mlb |
Yankees
Red Sox
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 25.9% | 1.170 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 5, 2024 | mlb |
Twins
Astros
|
First5 result | home | 2.35 | 48.2% | 0.133 | 0.49u | Won | +0.66u |
| Jul 5, 2024 | mlb |
Cubs
Angels
|
First5 result | away | 2.75 | 49.4% | 0.168 | 0.48u | Lost | -0.48u |
| Jul 5, 2024 | mlb |
Dodgers
Brewers
|
First5 result | home | 2.35 | 52.0% | 0.222 | 0.82u | Lost | -0.82u |
| Jul 4, 2024 | mlb |
Yankees
Reds
|
First5 result | home | 2.30 | 50.3% | 0.157 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 4, 2024 | mlb |
Nationals
Mets
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 22.6% | 1.277 | 1.20u | Won | +4.32u |
| Jul 3, 2024 | mlb |
Rangers
Padres
|
First5 result | home | 2.45 | 51.7% | 0.267 | 0.87u | Won | +1.26u |
| Jul 3, 2024 | mlb |
Cubs
Phillies
|
First5 result | away | 2.80 | 43.1% | 0.335 | 0.93u | Lost | -0.93u |
| Jul 2, 2024 | mlb |
Pirates
Cardinals
|
First5 result | away | 2.80 | 45.3% | 0.252 | 0.70u | Won | +1.26u |
| Jul 2, 2024 | mlb |
Dodgers
Diamondbacks
|
First5 result | home | 2.35 | 49.7% | 0.168 | 0.58u | Lost | -0.58u |
| Jul 2, 2024 | mlb |
Braves
Giants
|
First5 result | away | 2.80 | 49.4% | 0.188 | 0.52u | Lost | -0.52u |
| Jun 30, 2024 | mlb |
Angels
Tigers
|
First5 result | away | 3.20 | 46.3% | 0.444 | 1.01u | Won | +2.22u |
| Jun 30, 2024 | mlb |
Phillies
Marlins
|
First5 result | away | 2.70 | 44.0% | 0.268 | 0.79u | Won | +1.34u |
| Jun 29, 2024 | mlb |
Phillies
Marlins
|
First5 result | away | 2.65 | 47.2% | 0.176 | 0.23u | Lost | -0.23u |
| Jun 29, 2024 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Yankees
|
First5 result | home | 2.75 | 47.3% | 0.302 | 0.86u | Won | +1.51u |
| Jun 29, 2024 | mlb |
Orioles
Rangers
|
First5 result | away | 3.25 | 51.7% | 0.321 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| Jun 28, 2024 | mlb |
White Sox
Rockies
|
First5 result | away | 2.55 | 50.2% | 0.067 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| Jun 28, 2024 | mlb |
Phillies
Marlins
|
First5 result | away | 2.50 | 48.4% | 0.083 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Jun 28, 2024 | mlb |
Braves
Pirates
|
First5 result | away | 2.85 | 48.6% | 0.230 | 0.62u | Lost | -0.62u |
| Jun 28, 2024 | mlb |
Orioles
Rangers
|
First5 result | away | 2.75 | 38.6% | 0.153 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| Jun 27, 2024 | mlb |
Royals
Guardians
|
First5 result | away | 3.50 | 40.8% | 0.418 | 0.60u | Won | +1.50u |
| Jun 27, 2024 | mlb |
Phillies
Marlins
|
First5 result | home | 3.50 | 49.1% | 0.720 | 1.20u | Won | +3.00u |
| Jun 26, 2024 | mlb |
Reds
Pirates
|
First5 result | away | 2.95 | 47.9% | 0.293 | 0.75u | Won | +1.46u |
| Jun 26, 2024 | mlb |
Padres
Nationals
|
First5 result | home | 2.40 | 51.2% | 0.228 | 0.81u | Won | +1.13u |
| Jun 26, 2024 | mlb |
Red Sox
Blue Jays
|
First5 result | away | 2.70 | 50.3% | 0.127 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Jun 25, 2024 | mlb |
Giants
Cubs
|
First5 result | home | 2.30 | 55.6% | 0.280 | 0.60u | Won | +0.78u |
| Jun 25, 2024 | mlb |
Tigers
Phillies
|
First5 result | home | 2.85 | 52.7% | 0.501 | 1.20u | Won | +2.22u |
| Jun 24, 2024 | mlb |
Giants
Cubs
|
First5 result | home | 2.15 | 54.5% | 0.172 | 0.62u | Lost | -0.62u |
| Jun 24, 2024 | mlb |
White Sox
Dodgers
|
First5 result | home | 2.55 | 53.6% | 0.367 | 1.18u | Lost | -1.18u |
| Jun 23, 2024 | mlb |
Marlins
Mariners
|
First5 result | home | 2.50 | 53.5% | 0.338 | 1.13u | Won | +1.70u |
| Jun 23, 2024 | mlb |
Tigers
White Sox
|
First5 result | home | 2.30 | 53.3% | 0.226 | 0.67u | Won | +0.87u |
| Jun 22, 2024 | mlb |
Phillies
Diamondbacks
|
First5 result | away | 4.10 | 53.1% | 0.440 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| Jun 22, 2024 | mlb |
Padres
Brewers
|
First5 result | home | 2.55 | 53.0% | 0.351 | 1.09u | Won | +1.69u |
| Jun 21, 2024 | mlb |
Dodgers
Angels
|
First5 result | home | 2.45 | 52.6% | 0.289 | 1.00u | Won | +1.45u |
| Jun 21, 2024 | mlb |
Phillies
Diamondbacks
|
First5 result | home | 2.35 | 54.0% | 0.269 | 0.80u | Lost | -0.80u |
| Jun 20, 2024 | mlb |
Nationals
Diamondbacks
|
First5 result | home | 2.80 | 53.8% | 0.507 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 20, 2024 | mlb |
White Sox
Astros
|
First5 result | home | 2.55 | 55.6% | 0.417 | 0.60u | Won | +0.93u |
| Jun 19, 2024 | mlb |
Rangers
Mets
|
First5 result | home | 2.70 | 53.4% | 0.441 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 19, 2024 | mlb |
Pirates
Reds
|
First5 result | home | 2.60 | 54.2% | 0.409 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jun 18, 2024 | mlb |
Guardians
Mariners
|
First5 result | home | 2.65 | 54.7% | 0.451 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 18, 2024 | mlb |
Cubs
Giants
|
First5 result | home | 2.50 | 53.8% | 0.346 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jun 17, 2024 | mlb |
Rockies
Dodgers
|
First5 result | home | 2.45 | 54.3% | 0.331 | 1.14u | Lost | -1.14u |
| Jun 17, 2024 | mlb |
Rangers
Mets
|
First5 result | home | 2.35 | 52.7% | 0.238 | 0.66u | Lost | -0.66u |
| Jun 16, 2024 | mlb |
Mariners
Rangers
|
First5 result | home | 2.25 | 52.6% | 0.183 | 0.73u | Won | +0.91u |
| Jun 16, 2024 | mlb |
Orioles
Phillies
|
First5 result | away | 3.20 | 51.6% | 0.149 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| Jun 16, 2024 | mlb |
Twins
Athletics
|
First5 result | home | 2.25 | 54.3% | 0.221 | 0.88u | Won | +1.10u |
| Jun 15, 2024 | mlb |
Cubs
Cardinals
|
First5 result | home | 2.50 | 54.9% | 0.372 | 1.20u | Won | +1.80u |
| Jun 15, 2024 | mlb |
Dodgers
Royals
|
First5 result | home | 2.55 | 51.2% | 0.304 | 0.60u | Won | +0.93u |
| Jun 14, 2024 | mlb |
Orioles
Phillies
|
First5 result | home | 2.35 | 51.2% | 0.203 | 0.75u | Lost | -0.75u |
| Jun 13, 2024 | mlb |
Tigers
Nationals
|
First5 result | home | 2.45 | 50.2% | 0.230 | 0.79u | Lost | -0.79u |
| Jun 13, 2024 | mlb |
Twins
Athletics
|
First5 result | away | 3.20 | 53.3% | 0.101 | 0.23u | Lost | -0.23u |
| Jun 12, 2024 | mlb |
Giants
Astros
|
First5 result | home | 2.15 | 53.4% | 0.148 | 0.65u | Won | +0.75u |
| Jun 12, 2024 | mlb |
Royals
Yankees
|
First5 result | home | 2.45 | 53.2% | 0.304 | 1.05u | Lost | -1.05u |
| Jun 12, 2024 | mlb |
Padres
Athletics
|
First5 result | away | 3.15 | 53.8% | 0.085 | 0.10u | Lost | -0.10u |
| Jun 11, 2024 | mlb |
Reds
Guardians
|
First5 result | home | 2.15 | 58.1% | 0.248 | 0.82u | Lost | -0.82u |
| Jun 11, 2024 | mlb |
Cardinals
Pirates
|
First5 result | away | 2.75 | 38.8% | 0.345 | 0.98u | Lost | -0.98u |
| Jun 10, 2024 | mlb |
Rays
Orioles
|
First5 result | away | 2.70 | 39.4% | 0.300 | 0.88u | Won | +1.50u |
| Jun 10, 2024 | mlb |
Giants
Astros
|
First5 result | away | 2.75 | 39.6% | 0.316 | 0.90u | Lost | -0.90u |
| Jun 9, 2024 | mlb |
Rays
Orioles
|
First5 result | home | 2.15 | 61.0% | 0.312 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jun 9, 2024 | mlb |
Tigers
Brewers
|
First5 result | home | 2.40 | 62.4% | 0.497 | 1.20u | Won | +1.68u |
| Jun 8, 2024 | mlb |
White Sox
Red Sox
|
First5 result | home | 2.45 | 57.7% | 0.413 | 1.20u | Won | +1.74u |
| Jun 8, 2024 | mlb |
Mets
Phillies
|
First5 result | home | 2.95 | 40.2% | 0.187 | 0.48u | Lost | -0.48u |
| Jun 8, 2024 | mlb |
Yankees
Dodgers
|
First5 result | home | 2.45 | 47.8% | 0.170 | 0.12u | Lost | -0.12u |
| Jun 7, 2024 | mlb |
White Sox
Red Sox
|
First5 result | home | 2.70 | 48.0% | 0.296 | 0.60u | Won | +1.02u |
| Jun 7, 2024 | mlb |
Reds
Cubs
|
First5 result | home | 2.35 | 57.7% | 0.355 | 1.20u | Won | +1.62u |
| Jun 6, 2024 | mlb |
Cardinals
Rockies
|
First5 result | away | 2.30 | 41.2% | 0.200 | 0.60u | Won | +0.78u |
| Jun 6, 2024 | mlb |
Reds
Cubs
|
First5 result | home | 2.35 | 56.9% | 0.338 | 1.20u | Won | +1.62u |
| Jun 5, 2024 | mlb |
Cubs
White Sox
|
First5 result | away | 2.50 | 40.1% | 0.179 | 0.60u | Won | +0.90u |
| Jun 5, 2024 | mlb |
Rangers
Tigers
|
First5 result | home | 2.25 | 58.2% | 0.309 | 1.20u | Won | +1.50u |
| Jun 4, 2024 | mlb |
Angels
Padres
|
First5 result | away | 2.15 | 0.0% | 0.492 | 0.69u | Lost | -0.69u |
| Jun 4, 2024 | mlb |
Cubs
White Sox
|
First5 result | away | 3.45 | 41.9% | 0.544 | 1.11u | Won | +2.72u |
| Jun 3, 2024 | mlb |
Angels
Padres
|
First5 result | home | 2.25 | 47.1% | 0.061 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Jun 3, 2024 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Giants
|
First5 result | away | 2.60 | 39.3% | 0.253 | 0.79u | Lost | -0.79u |
| Jun 3, 2024 | mlb |
Phillies
Brewers
|
First5 result | away | 2.70 | 40.7% | 0.253 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| Jun 2, 2024 | mlb |
Braves
Athletics
|
First5 result | away | 3.15 | 37.8% | 0.370 | 0.86u | Lost | -0.86u |
| Jun 2, 2024 | mlb |
Guardians
Nationals
|
First5 result | away | 3.80 | 48.4% | 0.501 | 0.90u | Won | +2.52u |
| Jun 1, 2024 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Pirates
|
First5 result | away | 2.00 | 40.0% | 0.071 | 0.25u | Won | +0.25u |
| Jun 1, 2024 | mlb |
Royals
Padres
|
First5 result | away | 3.40 | 39.9% | 0.371 | 0.77u | Won | +1.85u |
| Jun 1, 2024 | mlb |
Marlins
Rangers
|
First5 result | away | 2.35 | 41.1% | 0.078 | 0.29u | Won | +0.39u |
| Jun 1, 2024 | mlb |
Giants
Yankees
|
First5 result | away | 2.45 | 40.6% | 0.142 | 0.49u | Won | +0.71u |
| May 31, 2024 | mlb |
Astros
Twins
|
First5 result | away | 3.10 | 42.3% | 0.374 | 0.60u | Won | +1.26u |
| May 31, 2024 | mlb |
Orioles
Rays
|
First5 result | away | 3.85 | 0.0% | 1.717 | 1.20u | Won | +3.42u |
| May 30, 2024 | mlb |
Angels
Yankees
|
First5 result | home | 2.10 | 62.2% | 0.306 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 30, 2024 | mlb |
Braves
Nationals
|
First5 result | away | 2.35 | 41.3% | 0.073 | 0.27u | Won | +0.36u |
| May 29, 2024 | mlb |
Angels
Yankees
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 0.0% | 0.349 | 0.48u | Lost | -0.48u |
| May 29, 2024 | mlb |
White Sox
Blue Jays
|
First5 result | away | 2.55 | 0.0% | 1.060 | 1.20u | Won | +1.86u |
| May 29, 2024 | mlb |
Mariners
Astros
|
First5 result | away | 2.55 | 37.9% | 0.279 | 0.12u | Lost | -0.12u |
| May 28, 2024 | mlb |
Rangers
Diamondbacks
|
First5 result | home | 2.65 | 55.7% | 0.476 | 0.60u | Won | +0.99u |
| May 28, 2024 | mlb |
Braves
Nationals
|
First5 result | home | 2.90 | 59.7% | 0.730 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 27, 2024 | mlb |
Rockies
Guardians
|
First5 result | home | 2.75 | 58.1% | 0.597 | 1.20u | Won | +2.10u |
| May 27, 2024 | mlb |
White Sox
Blue Jays
|
First5 result | away | 2.80 | 43.5% | 0.257 | 0.60u | Won | +1.08u |
| May 26, 2024 | mlb |
Padres
Yankees
|
First5 result | home | 2.80 | 49.8% | 0.393 | 1.09u | Lost | -1.09u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.