Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 6, 2026 9:31 AM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
Apr 12, 2024	mlb	Phillies Pirates	First5 result	away	2.20	33.3%	0.201	0.84u	Won	+1.01u
Apr 11, 2024	mlb	Red Sox Orioles	First5 result	away	2.50	31.2%	0.385	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 10, 2024	mlb	Reds Brewers	First5 result	away	3.05	23.5%	0.626	1.20u	Won	+2.46u
Apr 9, 2024	mlb	Cardinals Phillies	First5 result	away	2.75	30.1%	0.645	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 9, 2024	mlb	Padres Cubs	First5 result	away	2.05	23.1%	0.431	0.60u	Won	+0.63u
Apr 8, 2024	mlb	Blue Jays Mariners	First5 result	away	2.75	17.3%	0.876	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 8, 2024	mlb	Rockies Diamondbacks	First5 result	away	3.00	28.2%	0.819	0.60u	Won	+1.20u
Apr 7, 2024	mlb	Cardinals Marlins	First5 result	away	2.10	10.2%	0.773	0.60u	Won	+0.66u
Apr 7, 2024	mlb	Rockies Rays	First5 result	away	3.00	30.0%	0.787	1.20u	Won	+2.40u
Apr 6, 2024	mlb	Nationals Phillies	First5 result	away	2.95	17.3%	1.310	1.20u	Won	+2.34u
Apr 6, 2024	mlb	Giants Padres	First5 result	away	2.65	10.2%	1.240	0.60u	Won	+0.99u
Apr 5, 2024	mlb	Nationals Phillies	First5 result	away	3.55	0.0%	1.274	1.20u	Won	+3.06u
Apr 5, 2024	mlb	Yankees Blue Jays	First5 result	away	3.05	38.1%	0.331	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 4, 2024	mlb	Royals White Sox	First5 result	away	2.25	38.0%	0.110	0.44u	Lost	-0.44u
Apr 4, 2024	mlb	Cardinals Marlins	First5 result	away	2.45	12.9%	0.884	1.20u	Won	+1.74u
Apr 4, 2024	mlb	Nationals Pirates	First5 result	away	2.05	36.5%	0.091	0.16u	Won	+0.17u
Apr 3, 2024	mlb	Cubs Rockies	First5 result	away	2.50	38.7%	0.256	0.76u	Lost	-0.76u
Apr 3, 2024	mlb	Brewers Twins	First5 result	away	2.95	44.3%	0.405	1.04u	Lost	-1.04u
Apr 1, 2024	mlb	Rays Rangers	First5 result	away	2.75	27.2%	0.400	0.60u	Won	+1.05u
Apr 1, 2024	mlb	White Sox Braves	First5 result	home	3.65	52.0%	0.900	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 1, 2024	mlb	Nationals Pirates	First5 result	away	2.25	38.6%	0.383	0.60u	Won	+0.75u
Mar 31, 2024	mlb	Dodgers Cardinals	First5 result	home	2.25	52.4%	0.179	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Mar 31, 2024	mlb	Reds Nationals	First5 result	draw	4.60	8.0%	2.568	1.20u	Won	+4.32u
Mar 31, 2024	mlb	Orioles Angels	First5 result	home	2.00	78.8%	0.576	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Mar 30, 2024	mlb	White Sox Tigers	First5 result	away	2.85	52.0%	0.368	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Mar 30, 2024	mlb	Reds Nationals	First5 result	home	2.00	71.1%	0.422	1.20u	Won	+1.20u
Mar 30, 2024	mlb	Rays Blue Jays	First5 result	away	2.50	52.7%	0.181	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Mar 29, 2024	mlb	Padres Giants	First5 result	away	2.85	27.2%	0.451	0.60u	Won	+1.11u
Mar 29, 2024	mlb	Dodgers Cardinals	First5 result	away	3.05	27.2%	0.550	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Mar 28, 2024	mlb	Mariners Red Sox	First5 result	away	2.85	27.4%	0.440	0.60u	Won	+1.11u
Mar 28, 2024	mlb	Orioles Angels	First5 result	away	3.05	26.8%	0.575	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Mar 28, 2024	mlb	Dodgers Cardinals	First5 result	away	2.65	54.5%	0.207	0.63u	Lost	-0.63u
Mar 28, 2024	mlb	Diamondbacks Rockies	First5 result	home	2.20	54.5%	0.198	0.62u	Won	+0.74u
Mar 21, 2024	mlb	Dodgers Padres	First5 result	away	2.75	27.3%	0.395	1.13u	Won	+1.98u
Mar 20, 2024	mlb	Padres Dodgers	First5 result	home	2.75	63.8%	0.756	1.20u	Won	+2.10u
Oct 30, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Rangers	First5 result	draw	4.60	25.7%	0.263	0.37u	Lost	-0.37u
Oct 28, 2023	mlb	Rangers Diamondbacks	First5 result	away	2.30	30.4%	0.251	0.97u	Won	+1.26u
Oct 27, 2023	mlb	Rangers Diamondbacks	First5 result	draw	4.60	36.5%	0.225	0.31u	Lost	-0.31u
Oct 24, 2023	mlb	Phillies Diamondbacks	First5 result	draw	4.60	34.8%	0.437	0.61u	Lost	-0.61u
Oct 23, 2023	mlb	Astros Rangers	First5 result	away	2.60	34.1%	0.180	0.56u	Won	+0.90u
Oct 23, 2023	mlb	Phillies Diamondbacks	First5 result	draw	4.60	28.3%	0.467	0.65u	Lost	-0.65u
Oct 22, 2023	mlb	Astros Rangers	First5 result	draw	4.60	32.4%	0.529	0.73u	Lost	-0.73u
Oct 21, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Phillies	First5 result	draw	4.60	26.9%	0.604	0.84u	Lost	-0.84u
Oct 20, 2023	mlb	Rangers Astros	First5 result	draw	4.60	32.8%	0.238	0.33u	Won	+1.19u
Oct 20, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Phillies	First5 result	draw	4.60	19.0%	0.168	0.23u	Won	+0.83u
Oct 19, 2023	mlb	Rangers Astros	First5 result	draw	4.60	27.1%	0.579	0.80u	Lost	-0.80u
Oct 18, 2023	mlb	Rangers Astros	First5 result	draw	4.60	24.7%	0.304	0.42u	Lost	-0.42u
Oct 17, 2023	mlb	Phillies Diamondbacks	First5 result	draw	4.60	32.9%	0.538	0.75u	Lost	-0.75u
Oct 16, 2023	mlb	Astros Rangers	First5 result	draw	4.60	33.4%	0.535	0.74u	Lost	-0.74u
Oct 16, 2023	mlb	Phillies Diamondbacks	First5 result	draw	4.60	32.9%	0.555	0.77u	Lost	-0.77u
Oct 15, 2023	mlb	Astros Rangers	First5 result	draw	4.60	33.4%	0.522	0.72u	Lost	-0.72u
Oct 12, 2023	mlb	Phillies Braves	First5 result	draw	4.60	32.9%	0.530	0.74u	Lost	-0.74u
Oct 11, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Dodgers	First5 result	draw	4.60	33.3%	0.537	0.75u	Lost	-0.75u
Oct 11, 2023	mlb	Phillies Braves	First5 result	draw	4.60	32.7%	0.549	0.76u	Lost	-0.76u
Oct 11, 2023	mlb	Twins Astros	First5 result	draw	4.60	33.3%	0.534	0.29u	Lost	-0.29u
Oct 10, 2023	mlb	Twins Astros	First5 result	draw	4.60	33.5%	0.524	0.73u	Lost	-0.73u
Oct 10, 2023	mlb	Rangers Orioles	First5 result	draw	4.60	33.6%	0.507	0.70u	Lost	-0.70u
Oct 9, 2023	mlb	Braves Phillies	First5 result	draw	4.60	33.3%	0.546	0.76u	Lost	-0.76u
Oct 9, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Diamondbacks	First5 result	draw	4.60	33.9%	0.511	0.71u	Lost	-0.71u
Oct 8, 2023	mlb	Astros Twins	First5 result	draw	4.60	33.3%	0.533	0.74u	Lost	-0.74u
Oct 8, 2023	mlb	Orioles Rangers	First5 result	draw	4.60	33.0%	0.508	0.71u	Lost	-0.71u
Oct 7, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Diamondbacks	First5 result	draw	4.60	33.2%	0.548	0.76u	Lost	-0.76u
Oct 7, 2023	mlb	Braves Phillies	First5 result	draw	4.60	33.2%	0.527	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
Oct 7, 2023	mlb	Orioles Rangers	First5 result	draw	4.60	33.1%	0.554	0.77u	Lost	-0.77u
Oct 4, 2023	mlb	Brewers Diamondbacks	First5 result	draw	4.60	33.4%	0.522	0.31u	Lost	-0.31u
Oct 4, 2023	mlb	Phillies Marlins	First5 result	draw	4.60	33.2%	0.541	0.75u	Lost	-0.75u
Oct 4, 2023	mlb	Rays Rangers	First5 result	draw	4.60	33.3%	0.534	0.74u	Lost	-0.74u
Oct 3, 2023	mlb	Rays Rangers	First5 result	away	2.40	33.4%	0.329	1.17u	Won	+1.64u
Oct 3, 2023	mlb	Brewers Diamondbacks	First5 result	away	2.40	41.4%	0.096	0.34u	Won	+0.48u
Oct 1, 2023	mlb	Tigers Guardians	First5 result	away	2.80	41.0%	0.304	0.84u	Lost	-0.84u
Oct 1, 2023	mlb	Pirates Marlins	First5 result	away	2.45	36.8%	0.263	0.91u	Lost	-0.91u
Sep 30, 2023	mlb	Rockies Twins	First5 result	away	2.20	39.8%	0.058	0.24u	Won	+0.29u
Sep 30, 2023	mlb	Orioles Red Sox	First5 result	away	3.90	40.2%	0.852	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Sep 29, 2023	mlb	Brewers Cubs	First5 result	away	3.30	40.6%	0.512	1.11u	Lost	-1.11u
Sep 29, 2023	mlb	Giants Dodgers	First5 result	home	2.65	47.0%	0.246	0.69u	Lost	-0.69u
Sep 28, 2023	mlb	Orioles Red Sox	First5 result	away	3.20	38.3%	0.596	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Sep 28, 2023	mlb	Twins Athletics	First5 result	away	3.20	42.4%	0.418	0.60u	Won	+1.32u
Sep 27, 2023	mlb	Phillies Pirates	First5 result	away	3.15	39.4%	0.532	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Sep 27, 2023	mlb	Mariners Astros	First5 result	away	3.25	36.6%	0.684	1.20u	Won	+2.70u
Sep 26, 2023	mlb	Rockies Dodgers	First5 result	home	3.00	47.1%	0.414	1.03u	Won	+2.06u
Sep 26, 2023	mlb	Orioles Nationals	First5 result	home	2.95	46.2%	0.362	0.77u	Won	+1.50u
Sep 25, 2023	mlb	Yankees Diamondbacks	First5 result	away	2.10	36.9%	0.079	0.36u	Lost	-0.36u
Sep 25, 2023	mlb	Angels Rangers	First5 result	home	2.65	45.3%	0.202	0.61u	Won	+1.01u
Sep 24, 2023	mlb	Rangers Mariners	First5 result	away	3.10	38.4%	0.529	0.66u	Lost	-0.66u
Sep 24, 2023	mlb	Padres Cardinals	First5 result	home	3.40	45.5%	0.548	1.14u	Won	+2.74u
Sep 23, 2023	mlb	Astros Royals	First5 result	away	2.90	38.9%	0.428	1.13u	Won	+2.15u
Sep 23, 2023	mlb	Phillies Mets	First5 result	away	3.35	46.1%	0.342	0.67u	Lost	-0.67u
Sep 22, 2023	mlb	Twins Angels	First5 result	away	3.10	39.6%	0.488	1.16u	Lost	-1.16u
Sep 22, 2023	mlb	Red Sox White Sox	First5 result	away	2.75	35.7%	0.434	0.64u	Lost	-0.64u
Sep 21, 2023	mlb	Guardians Orioles	First5 result	away	2.65	38.6%	0.290	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Sep 21, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Giants	First5 result	away	3.30	38.5%	0.639	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Sep 20, 2023	mlb	Royals Guardians	First5 result	away	3.15	39.1%	0.549	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Sep 20, 2023	mlb	Rangers Red Sox	First5 result	home	3.15	43.9%	0.382	0.60u	Won	+1.29u
Sep 19, 2023	mlb	Yankees Blue Jays	First5 result	away	3.45	45.9%	0.645	1.20u	Won	+2.94u
Sep 19, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Giants	First5 result	home	2.90	48.0%	0.392	0.60u	Won	+1.14u
Sep 18, 2023	mlb	Reds Twins	First5 result	away	3.20	47.8%	0.414	0.94u	Lost	-0.94u
Sep 18, 2023	mlb	Astros Orioles	First5 result	away	2.67	40.0%	0.157	0.47u	Won	+0.78u
Sep 18, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Tigers	First5 result	away	2.60	49.6%	0.101	0.32u	Lost	-0.32u
Sep 17, 2023	mlb	Marlins Braves	First5 result	away	3.40	41.9%	0.719	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Sep 17, 2023	mlb	Mariners Dodgers	First5 result	home	3.00	42.8%	0.283	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.