Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 9:14 PM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
Jul 30, 2022	mlb	Angels Rangers	First5 result	home	2.71	48.5%	0.314	0.92u	Lost	-0.92u
Jul 29, 2022	mlb	Reds Orioles	First5 result	away	3.89	44.5%	0.561	0.97u	Lost	-0.97u
Jul 29, 2022	mlb	Pirates Phillies	First5 result	away	4.11	46.6%	0.535	0.83u	Lost	-0.83u
Jul 28, 2022	mlb	Giants Cubs	First5 result	home	2.76	45.3%	0.250	0.71u	Won	+1.25u
Jul 28, 2022	mlb	Rockies Dodgers	First5 result	home	2.69	45.8%	0.232	0.69u	Lost	-0.69u
Jul 28, 2022	mlb	Pirates Phillies	First5 result	away	3.01	44.7%	0.199	0.40u	Won	+0.80u
Jul 27, 2022	mlb	Royals Angels	First5 result	home	2.82	46.0%	0.298	0.82u	Lost	-0.82u
Jul 27, 2022	mlb	Rockies White Sox	First5 result	away	3.21	44.1%	0.309	0.70u	Lost	-0.70u
Jul 27, 2022	mlb	Tigers Padres	First5 result	away	3.25	47.9%	0.154	0.28u	Won	+0.63u
Jul 26, 2022	mlb	Blue Jays Cardinals	First5 result	home	2.52	56.5%	0.425	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jul 26, 2022	mlb	Mets Yankees	First5 result	away	3.13	38.1%	0.360	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jul 25, 2022	mlb	Dodgers Nationals	First5 result	away	3.52	39.5%	0.494	0.98u	Won	+2.47u
Jul 25, 2022	mlb	Cubs Pirates	First5 result	home	2.83	39.0%	0.104	0.28u	Lost	-0.28u
Jul 25, 2022	mlb	Tigers Padres	First5 result	away	2.34	35.7%	0.055	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
Jul 24, 2022	mlb	White Sox Guardians	First5 result	away	2.93	37.0%	0.294	0.62u	Lost	-0.62u
Jul 24, 2022	mlb	Pirates Marlins	First5 result	home	2.54	53.6%	0.362	1.18u	Lost	-1.18u
Jul 23, 2022	mlb	Mets Padres	First5 result	away	3.34	36.2%	0.494	1.06u	Lost	-1.06u
Jul 23, 2022	mlb	White Sox Guardians	First5 result	away	2.52	25.8%	0.466	0.74u	Won	+1.12u
Jul 22, 2022	mlb	Mets Padres	First5 result	home	2.30	52.2%	0.200	0.32u	Lost	-0.32u
Jul 22, 2022	mlb	Royals Rays	First5 result	away	3.50	33.8%	0.625	1.20u	Won	+3.00u
Jul 22, 2022	mlb	Brewers Rockies	First5 result	draw	4.60	49.6%	0.205	0.28u	Lost	-0.28u
Jul 21, 2022	mlb	Dodgers Giants	First5 result	draw	4.60	63.9%	0.662	0.92u	Lost	-0.92u
Jul 17, 2022	mlb	Nationals Braves	First5 result	away	3.66	36.4%	0.632	1.19u	Lost	-1.19u
Jul 17, 2022	mlb	Giants Brewers	First5 result	away	3.28	40.0%	0.382	0.61u	Lost	-0.61u
Jul 16, 2022	mlb	Guardians Tigers	First5 result	draw	4.60	50.0%	0.196	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
Jul 16, 2022	mlb	Yankees Red Sox	First5 result	away	3.56	35.9%	0.600	1.17u	Lost	-1.17u
Jul 16, 2022	mlb	Rockies Pirates	First5 result	away	2.14	29.0%	0.192	0.36u	Lost	-0.36u
Jul 15, 2022	mlb	Rays Orioles	First5 result	away	2.15	29.0%	0.198	0.12u	Won	+0.14u
Jul 15, 2022	mlb	Rockies Pirates	First5 result	away	3.71	40.4%	0.551	1.02u	Lost	-1.02u
Jul 15, 2022	mlb	Nationals Braves	First5 result	away	2.62	33.9%	0.215	0.66u	Won	+1.07u
Jul 14, 2022	mlb	Twins White Sox	First5 result	away	2.95	29.6%	0.628	0.60u	Won	+1.17u
Jul 14, 2022	mlb	Cardinals Dodgers	First5 result	away	4.25	38.4%	0.837	1.20u	Won	+3.90u
Jul 13, 2022	mlb	Rays Red Sox	First5 result	draw	4.60	49.1%	0.217	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
Jul 13, 2022	mlb	Nationals Mariners	First5 result	away	2.64	34.9%	0.205	0.39u	Lost	-0.39u
Jul 13, 2022	mlb	Yankees Reds	First5 result	away	3.72	38.5%	0.604	1.11u	Won	+3.02u
Jul 12, 2022	mlb	Braves Mets	First5 result	draw	4.60	40.3%	0.216	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
Jul 12, 2022	mlb	Giants Diamondbacks	First5 result	draw	4.60	40.0%	0.208	0.29u	Lost	-0.29u
Jul 12, 2022	mlb	Royals Tigers	First5 result	home	2.45	43.7%	0.071	0.25u	Lost	-0.25u
Jul 11, 2022	mlb	Giants Diamondbacks	First5 result	draw	4.60	41.1%	0.243	0.34u	Lost	-0.34u
Jul 11, 2022	mlb	Cardinals Phillies	First5 result	draw	4.60	40.6%	0.226	0.31u	Lost	-0.31u
Jul 10, 2022	mlb	White Sox Tigers	First5 result	draw	4.60	39.4%	0.186	0.26u	Lost	-0.26u
Jul 10, 2022	mlb	Athletics Astros	First5 result	draw	4.60	39.6%	0.194	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
Jul 10, 2022	mlb	Rangers Twins	First5 result	draw	4.60	39.4%	0.189	0.26u	Won	+0.94u
Jul 10, 2022	mlb	Braves Nationals	First5 result	draw	4.60	40.2%	0.212	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
Jul 10, 2022	mlb	Diamondbacks Rockies	First5 result	home	2.51	42.4%	0.065	0.22u	Won	+0.33u
Jul 9, 2022	mlb	White Sox Tigers	First5 result	away	3.30	41.1%	0.500	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jul 9, 2022	mlb	Royals Guardians	First5 result	home	3.47	49.4%	0.715	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jul 8, 2022	mlb	Reds Rays	First5 result	draw	4.60	40.2%	0.214	0.30u	Won	+1.08u
Jul 8, 2022	mlb	Brewers Pirates	First5 result	draw	4.60	39.9%	0.202	0.28u	Lost	-0.28u
Jul 8, 2022	mlb	Rangers Twins	First5 result	draw	4.60	39.5%	0.191	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
Jul 8, 2022	mlb	Diamondbacks Rockies	First5 result	away	3.13	43.5%	0.180	0.42u	Lost	-0.42u
Jul 8, 2022	mlb	Mariners Blue Jays	First5 result	draw	4.60	40.1%	0.209	0.29u	Won	+1.04u
Jul 8, 2022	mlb	Royals Guardians	First5 result	home	2.54	44.8%	0.138	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u
Jul 7, 2022	mlb	Red Sox Yankees	First5 result	draw	4.60	40.9%	0.235	0.33u	Lost	-0.33u
Jul 7, 2022	mlb	Phillies Nationals	First5 result	away	3.03	43.0%	0.162	0.22u	Lost	-0.22u
Jul 7, 2022	mlb	Braves Cardinals	First5 result	draw	4.60	39.6%	0.194	0.27u	Won	+0.97u
Jul 7, 2022	mlb	Astros Royals	First5 result	away	3.77	42.5%	0.347	0.63u	Lost	-0.63u
Jul 7, 2022	mlb	Dodgers Cubs	First5 result	draw	4.60	41.5%	0.250	0.35u	Lost	-0.35u
Jul 6, 2022	mlb	Braves Cardinals	First5 result	home	2.74	44.7%	0.224	0.64u	Won	+1.11u
Jul 6, 2022	mlb	Phillies Nationals	First5 result	away	3.61	42.8%	0.273	0.52u	Lost	-0.52u
Jul 6, 2022	mlb	White Sox Twins	First5 result	draw	4.60	40.4%	0.218	0.30u	Won	+1.08u
Jul 6, 2022	mlb	Diamondbacks Giants	First5 result	draw	4.60	41.0%	0.239	0.33u	Lost	-0.33u
Jul 5, 2022	mlb	Astros Royals	First5 result	draw	4.60	40.1%	0.208	0.15u	Lost	-0.15u
Jul 5, 2022	mlb	White Sox Twins	First5 result	away	3.19	43.2%	0.214	0.49u	Won	+1.07u
Jul 5, 2022	mlb	Pirates Yankees	First5 result	home	2.85	50.1%	0.429	1.16u	Won	+2.15u
Jul 4, 2022	mlb	Reds Mets	First5 result	away	3.14	54.0%	0.445	1.04u	Won	+2.23u
Jul 4, 2022	mlb	Diamondbacks Giants	First5 result	home	3.25	43.0%	0.398	0.76u	Won	+1.71u
Jul 3, 2022	mlb	Rockies Diamondbacks	First5 result	away	2.92	53.3%	0.365	0.95u	Won	+1.82u
Jul 3, 2022	mlb	Nationals Marlins	First5 result	home	2.80	46.8%	0.310	0.85u	Lost	-0.85u
Jul 2, 2022	mlb	Dodgers Padres	First5 result	home	3.34	43.8%	0.464	0.99u	Won	+2.32u
Jul 2, 2022	mlb	Phillies Cardinals	First5 result	draw	4.60	41.6%	0.254	0.35u	Lost	-0.35u
Jul 2, 2022	mlb	Blue Jays Rays	First5 result	home	2.84	43.7%	0.241	0.46u	Lost	-0.46u
Jul 1, 2022	mlb	Rockies Diamondbacks	First5 result	home	2.74	43.5%	0.191	0.55u	Lost	-0.55u
Jul 1, 2022	mlb	Tigers Royals	First5 result	home	3.15	43.9%	0.383	0.89u	Lost	-0.89u
Jul 1, 2022	mlb	Phillies Cardinals	First5 result	draw	4.60	39.2%	0.179	0.25u	Won	+0.90u
Jul 1, 2022	mlb	Astros Angels	First5 result	draw	4.60	39.0%	0.175	0.11u	Lost	-0.11u
Jun 30, 2022	mlb	Cubs Reds	First5 result	draw	4.60	40.7%	0.226	0.31u	Lost	-0.31u
Jun 30, 2022	mlb	Mariners Athletics	First5 result	draw	4.60	41.6%	0.259	0.36u	Lost	-0.36u
Jun 30, 2022	mlb	Astros Yankees	First5 result	draw	4.60	40.6%	0.225	0.31u	Lost	-0.31u
Jun 29, 2022	mlb	Angels White Sox	First5 result	home	2.79	42.2%	0.178	0.50u	Won	+0.90u
Jun 29, 2022	mlb	Nationals Pirates	First5 result	away	3.82	45.8%	0.492	0.87u	Lost	-0.87u
Jun 28, 2022	mlb	Phillies Braves	First5 result	draw	4.60	28.5%	0.247	0.34u	Lost	-0.34u
Jun 28, 2022	mlb	Cubs Reds	First5 result	draw	4.60	0.0%	1.177	1.20u	Won	+4.32u
Jun 27, 2022	mlb	Mariners Orioles	First5 result	draw	4.60	40.2%	0.216	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
Jun 27, 2022	mlb	Blue Jays Red Sox	First5 result	home	2.64	43.9%	0.158	0.48u	Won	+0.79u
Jun 27, 2022	mlb	Nationals Pirates	First5 result	away	3.45	45.4%	0.295	0.60u	Won	+1.47u
Jun 26, 2022	mlb	Guardians Red Sox	First5 result	draw	4.60	25.0%	0.623	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 26, 2022	mlb	Rangers Nationals	First5 result	draw	4.60	0.0%	1.086	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jun 25, 2022	mlb	White Sox Orioles	First5 result	away	2.34	32.3%	0.150	0.56u	Won	+0.75u
Jun 25, 2022	mlb	Angels Mariners	First5 result	away	3.15	43.5%	0.118	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
Jun 25, 2022	mlb	Yankees Astros	First5 result	draw	4.60	25.5%	0.573	0.80u	Won	+2.88u
Jun 24, 2022	mlb	Diamondbacks Tigers	First5 result	draw	4.60	0.0%	1.069	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jun 24, 2022	mlb	Braves Dodgers	First5 result	draw	4.60	26.5%	0.462	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 23, 2022	mlb	Braves Giants	First5 result	draw	4.60	29.1%	0.186	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
Jun 23, 2022	mlb	Reds Dodgers	First5 result	home	2.92	43.5%	0.271	0.71u	Lost	-0.71u
Jun 23, 2022	mlb	Marlins Rockies	First5 result	draw	4.60	28.7%	0.224	0.31u	Won	+1.12u
Jun 23, 2022	mlb	Yankees Astros	First5 result	draw	4.60	27.0%	0.418	0.58u	Lost	-0.58u
Jun 22, 2022	mlb	Athletics Mariners	First5 result	draw	4.60	0.0%	0.934	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 22, 2022	mlb	Pirates Cubs	First5 result	draw	4.60	0.0%	0.999	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jun 21, 2022	mlb	White Sox Blue Jays	First5 result	draw	4.60	40.6%	0.192	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.