Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 9:14 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Mariners
|
First5 result | away | 2.50 | 43.5% | 0.117 | 0.39u | Won | +0.59u |
| Sep 2, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Braves
|
First5 result | home | 2.36 | 45.3% | 0.068 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| Sep 2, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Indians
|
First5 result | away | 2.44 | 44.4% | 0.067 | 0.23u | Won | +0.33u |
| Sep 2, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Athletics
|
First5 result | home | 2.79 | 43.1% | 0.204 | 0.57u | Lost | -0.57u |
| Sep 2, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Phillies
|
First5 result | away | 2.54 | 43.9% | 0.125 | 0.41u | Lost | -0.41u |
| Sep 1, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Brewers
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 34.0% | 0.522 | 0.60u | Won | +2.16u |
| Sep 1, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Rockies
|
First5 result | away | 4.08 | 47.5% | 0.961 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 31, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Marlins
|
First5 result | away | 3.88 | 48.8% | 0.812 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 31, 2021 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Orioles
|
First5 result | away | 3.51 | 47.5% | 0.688 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 30, 2021 | mlb |
Dodgers
Braves
|
First5 result | away | 2.76 | 42.3% | 0.196 | 0.16u | Lost | -0.16u |
| Aug 30, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Brewers
|
First5 result | away | 3.86 | 39.2% | 0.592 | 1.03u | Won | +2.95u |
| Aug 30, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Phillies
|
First5 result | away | 2.80 | 44.5% | 0.221 | 0.61u | Won | +1.10u |
| Aug 29, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Royals
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 33.4% | 0.521 | 0.72u | Lost | -0.72u |
| Aug 29, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Giants
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 32.7% | 0.515 | 0.72u | Lost | -0.72u |
| Aug 29, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Cardinals
|
First5 result | home | 2.83 | 48.0% | 0.358 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Aug 28, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Reds
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 33.6% | 0.520 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| Aug 28, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Brewers
|
First5 result | away | 3.59 | 42.0% | 0.565 | 1.09u | Lost | -1.09u |
| Aug 27, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Reds
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 33.4% | 0.523 | 0.73u | Lost | -0.73u |
| Aug 27, 2021 | mlb |
Dodgers
Rockies
|
First5 result | away | 3.22 | 45.0% | 0.388 | 0.87u | Lost | -0.87u |
| Aug 27, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Astros
|
First5 result | away | 3.16 | 42.1% | 0.376 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| Aug 26, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Angels
|
First5 result | away | 2.44 | 49.0% | 0.136 | 0.41u | Lost | -0.41u |
| Aug 26, 2021 | mlb |
Blue Jays
White Sox
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 33.4% | 0.518 | 0.72u | Lost | -0.72u |
| Aug 26, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Reds
|
First5 result | away | 3.25 | 40.1% | 0.303 | 0.67u | Won | +1.51u |
| Aug 25, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Diamondbacks
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 33.9% | 0.524 | 0.73u | Lost | -0.73u |
| Aug 25, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Giants
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 33.5% | 0.523 | 0.73u | Won | +2.63u |
| Aug 25, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Rays
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 33.4% | 0.519 | 0.34u | Won | +1.22u |
| Aug 24, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Tigers
|
First5 result | away | 2.81 | 48.0% | 0.194 | 0.54u | Won | +0.98u |
| Aug 24, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Dodgers
|
First5 result | away | 3.22 | 47.9% | 0.374 | 0.84u | Won | +1.86u |
| Aug 24, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Yankees
|
First5 result | away | 2.75 | 48.5% | 0.146 | 0.42u | Won | +0.74u |
| Aug 23, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Yankees
|
First5 result | away | 3.09 | 48.7% | 0.278 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Aug 23, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Rockies
|
First5 result | away | 3.46 | 47.4% | 0.483 | 0.98u | Won | +2.41u |
| Aug 22, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Diamondbacks
|
First5 result | away | 2.83 | 47.6% | 0.206 | 0.37u | Won | +0.68u |
| Aug 22, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Nationals
|
First5 result | away | 3.24 | 48.1% | 0.369 | 0.82u | Lost | -0.82u |
| Aug 22, 2021 | mlb |
Dodgers
Mets
|
First5 result | away | 2.98 | 48.6% | 0.242 | 0.61u | Won | +1.21u |
| Aug 21, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Braves
|
First5 result | away | 3.76 | 47.1% | 0.630 | 1.14u | Won | +3.15u |
| Aug 21, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Rangers
|
First5 result | away | 3.11 | 47.5% | 0.334 | 0.66u | Won | +1.39u |
| Aug 20, 2021 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Tigers
|
First5 result | away | 2.66 | 47.7% | 0.132 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| Aug 20, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Marlins
|
First5 result | away | 3.50 | 47.5% | 0.496 | 0.99u | Lost | -0.99u |
| Aug 20, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Pirates
|
First5 result | home | 3.09 | 40.5% | 0.251 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 19, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Mariners
|
First5 result | away | 4.04 | 40.9% | 1.042 | 1.20u | Won | +3.65u |
| Aug 19, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Brewers
|
First5 result | home | 2.50 | 63.2% | 0.581 | 0.60u | Won | +0.90u |
| Aug 18, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Padres
|
First5 result | away | 3.65 | 48.3% | 0.534 | 0.72u | Lost | -0.72u |
| Aug 18, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Red Sox
|
First5 result | away | 3.70 | 47.5% | 0.583 | 1.08u | Lost | -1.08u |
| Aug 17, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Red Sox
|
First5 result | away | 3.78 | 47.4% | 0.621 | 1.12u | Lost | -1.12u |
| Aug 17, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Blue Jays
|
First5 result | home | 2.35 | 63.2% | 0.485 | 0.68u | Won | +0.92u |
| Aug 16, 2021 | mlb |
Dodgers
Pirates
|
First5 result | away | 3.18 | 40.4% | 0.627 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 16, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Padres
|
First5 result | away | 3.25 | 47.6% | 0.384 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 15, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Reds
|
First5 result | away | 3.44 | 48.4% | 0.435 | 0.60u | Won | +1.46u |
| Aug 15, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Rays
|
First5 result | home | 2.93 | 63.0% | 0.847 | 1.20u | Won | +2.32u |
| Aug 14, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Yankees
|
First5 result | away | 3.69 | 48.3% | 0.554 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 14, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Padres
|
First5 result | home | 2.93 | 62.9% | 0.843 | 1.20u | Won | +2.32u |
| Aug 13, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Indians
|
First5 result | home | 2.57 | 63.7% | 0.637 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 13, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Rockies
|
First5 result | away | 2.85 | 47.8% | 0.206 | 0.56u | Lost | -0.56u |
| Aug 12, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Tigers
|
First5 result | home | 2.91 | 47.7% | 0.387 | 0.65u | Lost | -0.65u |
| Aug 12, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Nationals
|
First5 result | home | 3.09 | 47.9% | 0.480 | 1.15u | Won | +2.40u |
| Aug 11, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Rays
|
First5 result | home | 2.35 | 63.0% | 0.482 | 0.60u | Won | +0.81u |
| Aug 11, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Blue Jays
|
First5 result | home | 3.24 | 47.6% | 0.541 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 10, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Marlins
|
First5 result | home | 2.70 | 51.6% | 0.393 | 0.60u | Won | +1.02u |
| Aug 10, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Rockies
|
First5 result | away | 2.59 | 26.1% | 0.460 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 9, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Reds
|
First5 result | away | 3.17 | 45.6% | 0.323 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| Aug 9, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
White Sox
|
First5 result | home | 2.52 | 49.4% | 0.246 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| Aug 9, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Yankees
|
First5 result | home | 2.76 | 45.8% | 0.264 | 0.75u | Lost | -0.75u |
| Aug 8, 2021 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Red Sox
|
First5 result | away | 3.21 | 49.7% | 0.240 | 0.12u | Won | +0.27u |
| Aug 8, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Giants
|
First5 result | away | 3.27 | 45.4% | 0.372 | 0.82u | Lost | -0.82u |
| Aug 8, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Rays
|
First5 result | away | 3.81 | 49.3% | 0.484 | 0.86u | Lost | -0.86u |
| Aug 7, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Rays
|
First5 result | away | 3.57 | 45.8% | 0.485 | 0.65u | Won | +1.67u |
| Aug 7, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Diamondbacks
|
First5 result | away | 4.04 | 45.3% | 0.698 | 1.15u | Lost | -1.15u |
| Aug 6, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
White Sox
|
First5 result | away | 2.86 | 46.0% | 0.184 | 0.45u | Won | +0.84u |
| Aug 6, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Pirates
|
First5 result | away | 3.60 | 51.4% | 0.347 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Aug 6, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Royals
|
First5 result | home | 2.68 | 45.8% | 0.229 | 0.68u | Won | +1.14u |
| Aug 5, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Twins
|
First5 result | home | 2.46 | 49.2% | 0.211 | 0.72u | Lost | -0.72u |
| Aug 5, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Mets
|
First5 result | away | 2.93 | 45.5% | 0.227 | 0.59u | Lost | -0.59u |
| Aug 5, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Mariners
|
First5 result | away | 2.70 | 45.4% | 0.135 | 0.16u | Lost | -0.16u |
| Aug 5, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Giants
|
First5 result | away | 3.05 | 51.6% | 0.135 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Aug 4, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Phillies
|
First5 result | away | 3.02 | 45.7% | 0.260 | 0.64u | Won | +1.29u |
| Aug 4, 2021 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Indians
|
First5 result | away | 2.98 | 45.6% | 0.245 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Aug 4, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Orioles
|
First5 result | away | 3.29 | 45.4% | 0.379 | 0.83u | Lost | -0.83u |
| Aug 3, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Twins
|
First5 result | away | 3.06 | 49.2% | 0.196 | 0.48u | Lost | -0.48u |
| Aug 3, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Padres
|
First5 result | home | 2.62 | 45.9% | 0.203 | 0.63u | Lost | -0.63u |
| Aug 3, 2021 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Indians
|
First5 result | away | 3.01 | 45.3% | 0.265 | 0.66u | Lost | -0.66u |
| Aug 2, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Orioles
|
First5 result | away | 3.19 | 45.4% | 0.336 | 0.65u | Won | +1.42u |
| Aug 2, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Giants
|
First5 result | home | 2.74 | 51.1% | 0.400 | 1.15u | Lost | -1.15u |
| Aug 1, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Rockies
|
First5 result | home | 3.08 | 45.7% | 0.409 | 0.98u | Won | +2.04u |
| Aug 1, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Yankees
|
First5 result | away | 3.14 | 45.5% | 0.316 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| Jul 31, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
Red Sox
|
First5 result | away | 3.08 | 45.6% | 0.288 | 0.69u | Lost | -0.69u |
| Jul 31, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Reds
|
First5 result | away | 2.71 | 45.1% | 0.144 | 0.28u | Won | +0.48u |
| Jul 31, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Athletics
|
First5 result | home | 2.55 | 49.4% | 0.259 | 0.83u | Won | +1.29u |
| Jul 30, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Athletics
|
First5 result | away | 2.74 | 26.1% | 0.545 | 1.20u | Won | +2.09u |
| Jul 30, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Mariners
|
First5 result | home | 2.74 | 51.3% | 0.406 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 29, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Reds
|
First5 result | home | 2.57 | 45.6% | 0.172 | 0.24u | Won | +0.38u |
| Jul 29, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Brewers
|
First5 result | away | 3.34 | 45.6% | 0.392 | 0.84u | Won | +1.97u |
| Jul 29, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Blue Jays
|
First5 result | home | 2.71 | 46.0% | 0.246 | 0.72u | Lost | -0.72u |
| Jul 28, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
White Sox
|
First5 result | home | 2.34 | 45.6% | 0.067 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| Jul 28, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Reds
|
First5 result | home | 2.56 | 45.5% | 0.164 | 0.53u | Lost | -0.53u |
| Jul 28, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Dodgers
|
First5 result | away | 2.79 | 51.1% | 0.051 | 0.14u | Won | +0.25u |
| Jul 28, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Blue Jays
|
First5 result | home | 2.30 | 49.7% | 0.142 | 0.55u | Lost | -0.55u |
| Jul 27, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Athletics
|
First5 result | home | 2.35 | 52.7% | 0.238 | 0.75u | Won | +1.01u |
| Jul 27, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Cardinals
|
First5 result | home | 2.43 | 53.5% | 0.301 | 1.05u | Won | +1.50u |
| Jul 26, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Astros
|
First5 result | home | 2.50 | 52.4% | 0.311 | 1.04u | Lost | -1.04u |
| Jul 26, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Rockies
|
First5 result | home | 2.06 | 51.7% | 0.064 | 0.30u | Won | +0.32u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.