Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 9:14 PM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
Jun 8, 2021	mlb	Rays Nationals	First5 result	home	2.47	53.8%	0.329	0.60u	Won	+0.88u
Jun 6, 2021	mlb	Brewers Diamondbacks	First5 result	home	2.17	55.8%	0.210	0.90u	Won	+1.05u
Jun 6, 2021	mlb	Rangers Rays	First5 result	home	2.16	55.2%	0.193	0.83u	Won	+0.96u
Jun 5, 2021	mlb	Phillies Nationals	First5 result	home	2.13	56.6%	0.206	0.91u	Won	+1.03u
Jun 5, 2021	mlb	Giants Cubs	First5 result	home	2.30	53.1%	0.222	0.85u	Won	+1.11u
Jun 4, 2021	mlb	Brewers Diamondbacks	First5 result	home	2.23	52.4%	0.169	0.60u	Won	+0.74u
Jun 4, 2021	mlb	Rockies Athletics	First5 result	home	2.20	58.6%	0.289	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jun 2, 2021	mlb	Blue Jays Marlins	First5 result	away	3.02	52.5%	0.106	0.26u	Won	+0.53u
Jun 2, 2021	mlb	Diamondbacks Mets	First5 result	home	2.12	54.1%	0.146	0.65u	Lost	-0.65u
Jun 2, 2021	mlb	Mariners Athletics	First5 result	home	2.37	51.5%	0.220	0.80u	Lost	-0.80u
Jun 1, 2021	mlb	Giants Angels	First5 result	home	2.13	52.9%	0.127	0.56u	Lost	-0.56u
Jun 1, 2021	mlb	Indians White Sox	First5 result	home	2.34	45.3%	0.060	0.20u	Won	+0.27u
Jun 1, 2021	mlb	Brewers Tigers	First5 result	home	2.47	46.2%	0.140	0.48u	Lost	-0.48u
Jun 1, 2021	mlb	Reds Phillies	First5 result	draw	4.60	34.4%	0.400	0.56u	Lost	-0.56u
May 31, 2021	mlb	Brewers Tigers	First5 result	draw	4.60	17.6%	2.037	1.20u	Won	+4.32u
May 31, 2021	mlb	Dodgers Cardinals	First5 result	draw	4.60	35.0%	0.399	0.55u	Lost	-0.55u
May 30, 2021	mlb	White Sox Orioles	First5 result	home	2.53	44.9%	0.135	0.44u	Lost	-0.44u
May 30, 2021	mlb	Cubs Reds	First5 result	away	2.84	44.1%	0.173	0.47u	Won	+0.86u
May 30, 2021	mlb	Nationals Brewers	First5 result	draw	4.60	36.2%	0.361	0.50u	Lost	-0.50u
May 30, 2021	mlb	Mariners Rangers	First5 result	home	2.50	45.1%	0.127	0.39u	Won	+0.59u
May 29, 2021	mlb	Astros Padres	First5 result	draw	4.60	31.2%	0.451	0.63u	Lost	-0.63u
May 28, 2021	mlb	Astros Padres	First5 result	draw	4.60	36.9%	0.354	0.49u	Lost	-0.49u
May 28, 2021	mlb	Athletics Angels	First5 result	home	3.41	41.2%	0.403	0.84u	Lost	-0.84u
May 28, 2021	mlb	Dodgers Giants	First5 result	draw	4.60	38.2%	0.329	0.46u	Won	+1.66u
May 27, 2021	mlb	Athletics Angels	First5 result	draw	4.60	40.2%	0.296	0.41u	Won	+1.48u
May 27, 2021	mlb	Tigers Indians	First5 result	away	2.86	49.5%	0.058	0.16u	Won	+0.30u
May 27, 2021	mlb	Marlins Phillies	First5 result	draw	4.60	37.2%	0.346	0.48u	Lost	-0.48u
May 26, 2021	mlb	Red Sox Braves	First5 result	draw	4.60	38.6%	0.322	0.45u	Lost	-0.45u
May 26, 2021	mlb	Nationals Reds	First5 result	home	2.11	51.1%	0.078	0.35u	Won	+0.39u
May 26, 2021	mlb	Angels Rangers	First5 result	away	2.81	44.9%	0.143	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
May 25, 2021	mlb	Athletics Mariners	First5 result	home	2.44	44.5%	0.086	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
May 25, 2021	mlb	Astros Dodgers	First5 result	away	2.83	47.6%	0.090	0.25u	Won	+0.46u
May 25, 2021	mlb	Nationals Reds	First5 result	draw	4.60	37.5%	0.345	0.48u	Lost	-0.48u
May 25, 2021	mlb	Marlins Phillies	First5 result	draw	4.60	36.6%	0.356	0.49u	Lost	-0.49u
May 24, 2021	mlb	Brewers Padres	First5 result	draw	4.60	37.4%	0.344	0.48u	Lost	-0.48u
May 24, 2021	mlb	White Sox Cardinals	First5 result	draw	4.60	36.9%	0.348	0.48u	Won	+1.73u
May 23, 2021	mlb	Reds Brewers	First5 result	away	3.31	40.4%	0.196	0.42u	Won	+0.97u
May 23, 2021	mlb	Marlins Mets	First5 result	draw	4.60	39.1%	0.317	0.44u	Lost	-0.44u
May 23, 2021	mlb	Padres Mariners	First5 result	draw	4.60	38.4%	0.327	0.45u	Won	+1.62u
May 23, 2021	mlb	Blue Jays Rays	First5 result	draw	4.60	37.5%	0.347	0.48u	Won	+1.73u
May 22, 2021	mlb	Rockies Diamondbacks	First5 result	draw	4.60	36.3%	0.379	0.53u	Lost	-0.53u
May 22, 2021	mlb	Marlins Mets	First5 result	draw	4.60	37.3%	0.345	0.48u	Won	+1.73u
May 22, 2021	mlb	Padres Mariners	First5 result	draw	4.60	37.4%	0.343	0.48u	Lost	-0.48u
May 22, 2021	mlb	Reds Brewers	First5 result	away	2.78	43.1%	0.175	0.31u	Lost	-0.31u
May 21, 2021	mlb	Yankees White Sox	First5 result	draw	4.60	35.5%	0.377	0.52u	Won	+1.87u
May 21, 2021	mlb	Cardinals Cubs	First5 result	draw	4.60	34.2%	0.421	0.59u	Lost	-0.59u
May 21, 2021	mlb	Reds Brewers	First5 result	away	2.93	45.1%	0.183	0.14u	Lost	-0.14u
May 21, 2021	mlb	Indians Twins	First5 result	draw	4.60	34.1%	0.398	0.55u	Lost	-0.55u
May 20, 2021	mlb	Phillies Marlins	First5 result	home	2.40	55.8%	0.339	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
May 19, 2021	mlb	Twins White Sox	First5 result	away	3.56	48.7%	0.337	0.66u	Lost	-0.66u
May 19, 2021	mlb	Mariners Tigers	First5 result	home	2.51	48.7%	0.222	0.41u	Lost	-0.41u
May 19, 2021	mlb	Phillies Marlins	First5 result	home	2.72	45.9%	0.250	0.73u	Lost	-0.73u
May 18, 2021	mlb	Angels Indians	First5 result	home	2.53	51.6%	0.305	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
May 18, 2021	mlb	Royals Brewers	First5 result	draw	4.60	0.0%	1.404	1.20u	Won	+4.32u
May 17, 2021	mlb	Twins White Sox	First5 result	home	3.28	38.3%	0.258	0.56u	Lost	-0.56u
May 17, 2021	mlb	Padres Rockies	First5 result	draw	4.60	44.5%	0.267	0.37u	Lost	-0.37u
May 17, 2021	mlb	Braves Mets	First5 result	away	2.85	38.3%	0.147	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
May 16, 2021	mlb	Diamondbacks Nationals	First5 result	home	2.53	57.6%	0.457	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
May 16, 2021	mlb	Astros Rangers	First5 result	home	2.77	56.5%	0.566	1.20u	Won	+2.12u
May 15, 2021	mlb	Rockies Reds	First5 result	draw	4.60	0.0%	0.581	0.81u	Won	+2.92u
May 15, 2021	mlb	Dodgers Marlins	First5 result	home	2.41	57.5%	0.386	0.99u	Won	+1.40u
May 14, 2021	mlb	Orioles Yankees	First5 result	home	2.25	50.4%	0.135	0.54u	Won	+0.68u
May 14, 2021	mlb	Rays Mets	First5 result	home	2.68	59.9%	0.604	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
May 13, 2021	mlb	White Sox Twins	First5 result	home	2.39	50.8%	0.214	0.77u	Won	+1.07u
May 13, 2021	mlb	Brewers Cardinals	First5 result	home	2.07	56.8%	0.175	0.82u	Lost	-0.82u
May 12, 2021	mlb	Pirates Reds	First5 result	home	2.42	57.4%	0.390	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
May 12, 2021	mlb	Nationals Phillies	First5 result	home	2.68	58.1%	0.556	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
May 11, 2021	mlb	Brewers Cardinals	First5 result	draw	4.60	0.0%	0.630	0.87u	Won	+3.13u
May 11, 2021	mlb	Red Sox Athletics	First5 result	away	3.00	38.9%	0.226	0.57u	Lost	-0.57u
May 11, 2021	mlb	Diamondbacks Marlins	First5 result	home	2.05	57.8%	0.185	0.36u	Won	+0.38u
May 10, 2021	mlb	Diamondbacks Marlins	First5 result	home	2.40	50.2%	0.204	0.73u	Won	+1.02u
May 10, 2021	mlb	Orioles Red Sox	First5 result	home	2.16	52.0%	0.123	0.53u	Lost	-0.53u
May 9, 2021	mlb	Athletics Rays	First5 result	home	2.62	51.5%	0.350	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
May 9, 2021	mlb	Yankees Nationals	First5 result	away	3.51	24.7%	0.709	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
May 8, 2021	mlb	Orioles Red Sox	First5 result	draw	4.60	29.0%	0.687	0.76u	Lost	-0.76u
May 8, 2021	mlb	Marlins Brewers	First5 result	draw	4.60	0.0%	0.749	1.04u	Lost	-1.04u
May 7, 2021	mlb	Cardinals Rockies	First5 result	draw	4.60	44.8%	0.242	0.34u	Lost	-0.34u
May 7, 2021	mlb	Rangers Mariners	First5 result	draw	4.60	44.8%	0.246	0.34u	Won	+1.22u
May 7, 2021	mlb	Angels Dodgers	First5 result	home	2.36	48.1%	0.136	0.50u	Won	+0.68u
May 6, 2021	mlb	Twins Rangers	First5 result	home	2.20	57.0%	0.254	1.06u	Won	+1.27u
May 6, 2021	mlb	Athletics Blue Jays	First5 result	draw	4.60	44.8%	0.239	0.33u	Lost	-0.33u
May 6, 2021	mlb	Nationals Braves	First5 result	away	2.73	38.3%	0.098	0.28u	Won	+0.48u
May 5, 2021	mlb	Reds White Sox	First5 result	draw	4.60	0.0%	0.638	0.76u	Won	+2.74u
May 5, 2021	mlb	Twins Rangers	First5 result	draw	4.60	0.0%	0.749	1.04u	Won	+3.74u
May 4, 2021	mlb	Royals Indians	First5 result	home	2.52	57.6%	0.453	1.20u	Won	+1.82u
May 4, 2021	mlb	Rockies Giants	First5 result	home	3.03	45.6%	0.382	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
May 3, 2021	mlb	Phillies Brewers	First5 result	home	2.33	47.4%	0.105	0.39u	Won	+0.52u
May 2, 2021	mlb	Pirates Cardinals	First5 result	away	3.10	46.6%	0.166	0.39u	Won	+0.82u
May 2, 2021	mlb	Rangers Red Sox	First5 result	away	2.80	45.8%	0.079	0.19u	Won	+0.34u
May 2, 2021	mlb	Rays Astros	First5 result	home	2.68	48.1%	0.288	0.86u	Lost	-0.86u
May 2, 2021	mlb	Twins Royals	First5 result	home	2.38	46.2%	0.100	0.36u	Won	+0.50u
May 1, 2021	mlb	Twins Royals	First5 result	away	2.93	46.4%	0.104	0.27u	Won	+0.52u
May 1, 2021	mlb	Brewers Dodgers	First5 result	home	2.57	46.7%	0.200	0.64u	Lost	-0.64u
May 1, 2021	mlb	Pirates Cardinals	First5 result	home	2.34	45.1%	0.056	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
Apr 30, 2021	mlb	White Sox Indians	First5 result	home	2.09	57.6%	0.203	0.86u	Lost	-0.86u
Apr 30, 2021	mlb	Pirates Cardinals	First5 result	away	4.34	47.1%	0.629	0.94u	Won	+3.14u
Apr 29, 2021	mlb	Diamondbacks Rockies	First5 result	home	2.80	47.4%	0.326	0.91u	Lost	-0.91u
Apr 29, 2021	mlb	Astros Mariners	First5 result	home	2.59	46.2%	0.197	0.62u	Lost	-0.62u
Apr 29, 2021	mlb	Rays Athletics	First5 result	away	2.73	45.3%	0.058	0.17u	Lost	-0.17u
Apr 28, 2021	mlb	Diamondbacks Padres	First5 result	away	2.80	57.4%	0.192	0.53u	Won	+0.95u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.