Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 9:14 PM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
Oct 5, 2020	mlb	Rays Yankees	First5 result	home	2.34	51.5%	0.205	0.77u	Lost	-0.77u
Oct 2, 2020	mlb	Cubs Marlins	First5 result	draw	4.60	43.6%	0.172	0.24u	Won	+0.86u
Oct 1, 2020	mlb	Braves Reds	First5 result	draw	4.60	43.6%	0.172	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u
Oct 1, 2020	mlb	Dodgers Brewers	First5 result	draw	4.60	43.6%	0.172	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u
Sep 30, 2020	mlb	Rays Blue Jays	First5 result	draw	4.60	43.6%	0.172	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u
Sep 30, 2020	mlb	Padres Cardinals	First5 result	draw	4.60	43.6%	0.172	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u
Sep 30, 2020	mlb	Braves Reds	First5 result	draw	4.60	43.6%	0.172	0.24u	Won	+0.86u
Sep 30, 2020	mlb	Twins Astros	First5 result	home	2.13	51.5%	0.097	0.43u	Lost	-0.43u
Sep 30, 2020	mlb	Indians Yankees	First5 result	away	3.23	51.5%	0.177	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
Sep 29, 2020	mlb	Twins Astros	First5 result	draw	4.60	43.6%	0.172	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u
Sep 27, 2020	mlb	Blue Jays Orioles	First5 result	draw	4.60	36.1%	0.759	1.05u	Lost	-1.05u
Sep 27, 2020	mlb	Nationals Mets	First5 result	home	2.30	51.5%	0.184	0.71u	Won	+0.92u
Sep 26, 2020	mlb	White Sox Cubs	First5 result	draw	4.60	43.6%	0.172	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
Sep 26, 2020	mlb	Athletics Mariners	First5 result	away	3.52	51.5%	0.283	0.56u	Lost	-0.56u
Sep 26, 2020	mlb	Nationals Mets	First5 result	draw	4.60	36.1%	0.759	1.05u	Won	+3.78u
Sep 25, 2020	mlb	Dodgers Angels	First5 result	draw	4.60	36.1%	0.759	1.05u	Lost	-1.05u
Sep 25, 2020	mlb	Giants Padres	First5 result	home	2.52	51.5%	0.298	0.75u	Won	+1.14u
Sep 24, 2020	mlb	Braves Marlins	First5 result	draw	4.60	36.2%	0.758	1.05u	Won	+3.78u
Sep 24, 2020	mlb	Cardinals Brewers	First5 result	home	2.42	51.5%	0.246	0.75u	Won	+1.07u
Sep 23, 2020	mlb	Royals Cardinals	First5 result	draw	4.60	36.1%	0.759	1.05u	Lost	-1.05u
Sep 23, 2020	mlb	Nationals Phillies	First5 result	home	2.96	51.5%	0.525	0.75u	Lost	-0.75u
Sep 22, 2020	mlb	Dodgers Athletics	First5 result	home	3.33	50.7%	0.690	1.20u	Won	+2.80u
Sep 22, 2020	mlb	Red Sox Orioles	First5 result	home	2.74	51.4%	0.409	0.60u	Won	+1.04u
Sep 21, 2020	mlb	Indians White Sox	First5 result	home	2.64	51.2%	0.351	1.07u	Won	+1.75u
Sep 21, 2020	mlb	Mets Rays	First5 result	home	2.29	55.3%	0.267	0.73u	Lost	-0.73u
Sep 20, 2020	mlb	Reds White Sox	First5 result	home	3.32	52.2%	0.732	1.20u	Won	+2.78u
Sep 20, 2020	mlb	Phillies Blue Jays	First5 result	home	2.69	55.8%	0.501	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Sep 19, 2020	mlb	Rockies Dodgers	First5 result	home	2.70	53.8%	0.453	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Sep 19, 2020	mlb	Mets Braves	First5 result	home	3.32	51.4%	0.708	1.20u	Won	+2.78u
Sep 18, 2020	mlb	Cubs Twins	First5 result	home	3.00	52.0%	0.560	0.60u	Won	+1.20u
Sep 18, 2020	mlb	Athletics Giants	First5 result	home	2.85	54.8%	0.563	1.20u	Won	+2.22u
Sep 17, 2020	mlb	Phillies Mets	First5 result	home	3.35	51.3%	0.719	1.20u	Won	+2.82u
Sep 17, 2020	mlb	Pirates Cardinals	First5 result	home	2.62	54.7%	0.434	0.60u	Won	+0.97u
Sep 16, 2020	mlb	White Sox Twins	First5 result	home	2.63	58.9%	0.550	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Sep 16, 2020	mlb	Orioles Braves	First5 result	home	2.56	49.8%	0.274	0.60u	Won	+0.94u
Sep 15, 2020	mlb	Brewers Cardinals	First5 result	home	2.52	58.8%	0.483	1.20u	Won	+1.82u
Sep 15, 2020	mlb	Yankees Blue Jays	First5 result	home	2.17	55.6%	0.207	0.60u	Won	+0.70u
Sep 14, 2020	mlb	Marlins Phillies	First5 result	home	2.51	56.9%	0.429	1.20u	Won	+1.81u
Sep 14, 2020	mlb	Brewers Cardinals	First5 result	home	2.48	55.9%	0.385	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Sep 13, 2020	mlb	Rockies Angels	First5 result	home	2.31	53.6%	0.237	0.60u	Won	+0.79u
Sep 13, 2020	mlb	Padres Giants	First5 result	home	2.42	55.4%	0.340	1.20u	Won	+1.70u
Sep 12, 2020	mlb	Rays Red Sox	First5 result	home	2.78	53.2%	0.478	0.60u	Won	+1.07u
Sep 12, 2020	mlb	Rangers Athletics	First5 result	home	2.71	55.9%	0.515	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Sep 11, 2020	mlb	Twins Indians	First5 result	home	2.59	55.2%	0.430	0.60u	Won	+0.95u
Sep 11, 2020	mlb	Yankees Orioles	First5 result	home	2.42	64.6%	0.564	1.20u	Won	+1.70u
Sep 10, 2020	mlb	Indians Royals	First5 result	home	2.37	55.4%	0.314	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Sep 10, 2020	mlb	Athletics Astros	First5 result	home	3.03	52.2%	0.583	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Sep 9, 2020	mlb	Pirates White Sox	First5 result	home	3.55	52.5%	0.864	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Sep 9, 2020	mlb	Indians Royals	First5 result	home	2.28	54.6%	0.244	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Sep 8, 2020	mlb	Cardinals Twins	First5 result	home	3.09	46.2%	0.428	1.02u	Won	+2.13u
Sep 8, 2020	mlb	Giants Mariners	First5 result	draw	4.60	38.2%	0.500	0.69u	Won	+2.48u
Sep 7, 2020	mlb	Braves Marlins	First5 result	away	2.77	45.7%	0.078	0.22u	Won	+0.39u
Sep 6, 2020	mlb	Royals White Sox	First5 result	away	2.76	53.1%	0.294	0.45u	Won	+0.79u
Sep 6, 2020	mlb	Angels Astros	First5 result	draw	4.60	37.8%	0.512	0.71u	Lost	-0.71u
Sep 6, 2020	mlb	Pirates Reds	First5 result	away	3.40	45.6%	0.308	0.64u	Won	+1.54u
Sep 5, 2020	mlb	Mariners Rangers	First5 result	draw	4.60	38.6%	0.479	0.66u	Lost	-0.66u
Sep 5, 2020	mlb	Twins Tigers	First5 result	draw	4.60	36.5%	0.659	0.92u	Won	+3.31u
Sep 5, 2020	mlb	Indians Brewers	First5 result	home	2.90	46.3%	0.342	0.22u	Won	+0.42u
Sep 4, 2020	mlb	Indians Brewers	First5 result	home	2.50	45.0%	0.126	0.42u	Lost	-0.42u
Sep 4, 2020	mlb	Athletics Padres	First5 result	home	2.40	53.1%	0.275	0.98u	Lost	-0.98u
Sep 4, 2020	mlb	Rays Marlins	First5 result	away	3.06	45.9%	0.134	0.33u	Lost	-0.33u
Sep 3, 2020	mlb	Angels Padres	First5 result	away	3.49	44.9%	0.318	0.64u	Lost	-0.64u
Sep 3, 2020	mlb	Pirates Cubs	First5 result	home	2.35	45.9%	0.079	0.29u	Won	+0.39u
Sep 3, 2020	mlb	Mets Yankees	First5 result	draw	4.60	38.0%	0.496	0.69u	Won	+2.48u
Sep 2, 2020	mlb	Brewers Tigers	First5 result	draw	4.60	38.1%	0.494	0.69u	Won	+2.48u
Sep 2, 2020	mlb	Twins White Sox	First5 result	home	2.46	53.1%	0.306	1.05u	Won	+1.53u
Sep 1, 2020	mlb	Pirates Cubs	First5 result	draw	4.60	38.6%	0.462	0.64u	Lost	-0.64u
Sep 1, 2020	mlb	Marlins Blue Jays	First5 result	away	3.06	45.4%	0.141	0.12u	Won	+0.25u
Sep 1, 2020	mlb	Orioles Mets	First5 result	home	2.43	48.3%	0.173	0.60u	Won	+0.86u
Sep 1, 2020	mlb	Brewers Tigers	First5 result	away	2.84	47.1%	0.163	0.44u	Won	+0.81u
Aug 31, 2020	mlb	Royals Indians	First5 result	home	2.62	45.7%	0.199	0.61u	Lost	-0.61u
Aug 31, 2020	mlb	Angels Mariners	First5 result	home	2.88	48.3%	0.392	1.04u	Lost	-1.04u
Aug 31, 2020	mlb	Yankees Rays	First5 result	away	3.22	45.6%	0.194	0.15u	Won	+0.33u
Aug 30, 2020	mlb	Diamondbacks Giants	First5 result	home	2.79	46.4%	0.296	0.15u	Lost	-0.15u
Aug 30, 2020	mlb	Rockies Padres	First5 result	draw	4.60	38.2%	0.514	0.71u	Lost	-0.71u
Aug 30, 2020	mlb	Yankees Mets	First5 result	home	2.80	47.7%	0.337	0.94u	Lost	-0.94u
Aug 29, 2020	mlb	Diamondbacks Giants	First5 result	draw	4.60	36.2%	0.696	0.97u	Lost	-0.97u
Aug 29, 2020	mlb	Astros Athletics	First5 result	draw	4.60	37.9%	0.518	0.72u	Lost	-0.72u
Aug 29, 2020	mlb	Rangers Dodgers	First5 result	home	2.24	47.9%	0.073	0.11u	Lost	-0.11u
Aug 28, 2020	mlb	Rangers Dodgers	First5 result	home	2.83	52.8%	0.493	1.11u	Won	+2.03u
Aug 28, 2020	mlb	Blue Jays Orioles	First5 result	draw	4.60	38.4%	0.499	0.69u	Lost	-0.69u
Aug 27, 2020	mlb	Brewers Reds	First5 result	home	2.96	46.7%	0.382	0.97u	Lost	-0.97u
Aug 27, 2020	mlb	Padres Mariners	First5 result	away	3.04	46.0%	0.134	0.33u	Won	+0.67u
Aug 26, 2020	mlb	Diamondbacks Rockies	First5 result	draw	4.60	38.0%	0.505	0.70u	Lost	-0.70u
Aug 26, 2020	mlb	Nationals Phillies	First5 result	draw	4.60	36.4%	0.669	0.93u	Lost	-0.93u
Aug 26, 2020	mlb	Indians Twins	First5 result	away	3.16	45.2%	0.193	0.17u	Lost	-0.17u
Aug 25, 2020	mlb	Brewers Reds	First5 result	home	2.81	52.7%	0.481	1.20u	Won	+2.17u
Aug 25, 2020	mlb	Mets Marlins	First5 result	away	3.01	42.2%	0.352	0.60u	Won	+1.21u
Aug 24, 2020	mlb	Tigers Cubs	First5 result	away	2.76	49.9%	0.051	0.15u	Won	+0.26u
Aug 24, 2020	mlb	Astros Angels	First5 result	home	2.22	51.4%	0.141	0.58u	Won	+0.71u
Aug 24, 2020	mlb	Rays Blue Jays	First5 result	away	2.32	38.4%	0.083	0.32u	Lost	-0.32u
Aug 24, 2020	mlb	Cardinals Royals	First5 result	home	2.23	50.2%	0.119	0.48u	Won	+0.59u
Aug 23, 2020	mlb	Giants Diamondbacks	First5 result	home	2.10	55.1%	0.158	0.43u	Won	+0.47u
Aug 23, 2020	mlb	Cardinals Reds	First5 result	away	3.06	43.6%	0.317	0.77u	Lost	-0.77u
Aug 23, 2020	mlb	Pirates Brewers	First5 result	home	2.53	46.8%	0.185	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Aug 22, 2020	mlb	Braves Phillies	First5 result	away	2.88	47.4%	0.151	0.40u	Won	+0.75u
Aug 22, 2020	mlb	Royals Twins	First5 result	away	3.06	45.0%	0.287	0.70u	Won	+1.44u
Aug 22, 2020	mlb	Athletics Angels	First5 result	home	2.27	47.5%	0.079	0.31u	Lost	-0.31u
Aug 22, 2020	mlb	Rays Blue Jays	First5 result	home	2.46	42.9%	0.055	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
Aug 21, 2020	mlb	Padres Astros	First5 result	away	3.08	50.6%	0.166	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.