Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 9:14 PM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
Jun 24, 2019	mlb	Indians Royals	First5 result	home	2.25	49.6%	0.116	0.46u	Lost	-0.46u
Jun 23, 2019	mlb	Phillies Marlins	First5 result	away	3.40	48.9%	0.410	0.83u	Won	+1.99u
Jun 23, 2019	mlb	Red Sox Blue Jays	First5 result	away	4.00	47.4%	0.585	0.97u	Won	+2.91u
Jun 22, 2019	mlb	Nationals Braves	First5 result	away	4.00	47.1%	0.596	0.99u	Lost	-0.99u
Jun 22, 2019	mlb	Brewers Reds	First5 result	away	3.00	49.5%	0.222	0.56u	Lost	-0.56u
Jun 22, 2019	mlb	Indians Tigers	First5 result	home	2.55	47.6%	0.214	0.25u	Won	+0.39u
Jun 21, 2019	mlb	Indians Tigers	First5 result	away	3.00	49.0%	0.240	0.60u	Won	+1.20u
Jun 21, 2019	mlb	Phillies Marlins	First5 result	away	3.30	48.3%	0.389	0.85u	Lost	-0.85u
Jun 21, 2019	mlb	Yankees Astros	First5 result	home	2.40	48.1%	0.154	0.35u	Won	+0.49u
Jun 20, 2019	mlb	Cardinals Marlins	First5 result	away	2.75	49.1%	0.133	0.38u	Lost	-0.38u
Jun 20, 2019	mlb	Cubs Mets	First5 result	home	2.20	47.8%	0.052	0.22u	Won	+0.26u
Jun 20, 2019	mlb	Nationals Phillies	First5 result	away	2.70	47.4%	0.070	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
Jun 20, 2019	mlb	Rangers Indians	First5 result	home	2.60	49.6%	0.290	0.90u	Won	+1.44u
Jun 19, 2019	mlb	Rangers Indians	First5 result	away	4.60	50.6%	0.814	0.60u	Won	+2.16u
Jun 19, 2019	mlb	Nationals Phillies	First5 result	home	4.10	44.3%	0.815	1.20u	Won	+3.72u
Jun 18, 2019	mlb	Cardinals Marlins	First5 result	away	2.90	45.7%	0.189	0.50u	Won	+0.95u
Jun 18, 2019	mlb	Braves Mets	First5 result	away	3.10	41.7%	0.368	0.88u	Won	+1.85u
Jun 18, 2019	mlb	Athletics Orioles	First5 result	away	3.00	47.4%	0.189	0.42u	Lost	-0.42u
Jun 17, 2019	mlb	Yankees Rays	First5 result	away	3.00	38.7%	0.447	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 17, 2019	mlb	Reds Astros	First5 result	away	4.00	41.1%	0.854	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jun 16, 2019	mlb	Orioles Red Sox	First5 result	away	3.60	40.7%	0.681	1.20u	Won	+3.12u
Jun 16, 2019	mlb	Mets Cardinals	First5 result	home	3.80	37.0%	0.407	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 15, 2019	mlb	Orioles Red Sox	First5 result	away	4.20	35.2%	1.138	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jun 15, 2019	mlb	Nationals Diamondbacks	First5 result	home	3.40	52.2%	0.774	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 14, 2019	mlb	Giants Brewers	First5 result	away	3.80	43.0%	0.639	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 14, 2019	mlb	Braves Phillies	First5 result	away	4.80	39.3%	1.289	1.20u	Won	+4.56u
Jun 13, 2019	mlb	White Sox Yankees	First5 result	home	2.50	43.9%	0.097	0.32u	Lost	-0.32u
Jun 13, 2019	mlb	Twins Mariners	First5 result	away	2.60	38.5%	0.214	0.67u	Lost	-0.67u
Jun 13, 2019	mlb	Orioles Blue Jays	First5 result	away	2.75	45.6%	0.130	0.37u	Lost	-0.37u
Jun 13, 2019	mlb	Rockies Padres	First5 result	away	2.70	43.9%	0.144	0.42u	Lost	-0.42u
Jun 12, 2019	mlb	Braves Pirates	First5 result	home	2.60	42.5%	0.105	0.33u	Won	+0.53u
Jun 12, 2019	mlb	Rockies Cubs	First5 result	away	3.10	36.7%	0.550	1.20u	Won	+2.52u
Jun 11, 2019	mlb	Giants Padres	First5 result	away	2.40	36.5%	0.202	0.61u	Won	+0.85u
Jun 11, 2019	mlb	Royals Tigers	First5 result	home	2.85	50.6%	0.442	1.19u	Lost	-1.19u
Jun 10, 2019	mlb	Rockies Cubs	First5 result	home	2.35	46.3%	0.087	0.32u	Lost	-0.32u
Jun 10, 2019	mlb	Red Sox Rangers	First5 result	home	2.15	51.1%	0.100	0.43u	Won	+0.49u
Jun 10, 2019	mlb	White Sox Nationals	First5 result	away	2.70	43.1%	0.162	0.48u	Won	+0.82u
Jun 10, 2019	mlb	Phillies Diamondbacks	First5 result	home	2.70	40.1%	0.082	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u
Jun 10, 2019	mlb	Marlins Cardinals	First5 result	away	3.20	48.2%	0.140	0.32u	Won	+0.70u
Jun 9, 2019	mlb	Mets Rockies	First5 result	home	2.35	55.6%	0.306	1.13u	Won	+1.53u
Jun 9, 2019	mlb	Tigers Twins	First5 result	home	3.20	39.2%	0.255	0.58u	Lost	-0.58u
Jun 8, 2019	mlb	Padres Nationals	First5 result	home	4.20	34.9%	0.466	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 8, 2019	mlb	Cubs Cardinals	First5 result	home	2.15	80.4%	0.729	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jun 7, 2019	mlb	Blue Jays Diamondbacks	First5 result	away	2.65	41.3%	0.222	0.24u	Won	+0.40u
Jun 7, 2019	mlb	Royals White Sox	First5 result	away	2.60	36.2%	0.309	0.97u	Won	+1.55u
Jun 7, 2019	mlb	Angels Mariners	First5 result	home	3.20	39.3%	0.259	0.59u	Lost	-0.59u
Jun 6, 2019	mlb	Angels Athletics	First5 result	home	2.55	57.1%	0.456	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jun 6, 2019	mlb	Pirates Braves	First5 result	away	2.70	35.0%	0.377	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 5, 2019	mlb	Mariners Astros	First5 result	away	3.20	40.5%	0.499	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 5, 2019	mlb	Mets Giants	First5 result	home	3.20	51.3%	0.641	1.20u	Won	+2.64u
Jun 4, 2019	mlb	Indians Twins	First5 result	home	2.50	67.3%	0.684	1.20u	Won	+1.80u
Jun 4, 2019	mlb	Brewers Marlins	First5 result	home	3.40	47.6%	0.618	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 3, 2019	mlb	Diamondbacks Dodgers	First5 result	home	2.40	55.0%	0.320	1.14u	Lost	-1.14u
Jun 3, 2019	mlb	Cubs Angels	First5 result	home	2.30	46.0%	0.057	0.22u	Won	+0.29u
Jun 2, 2019	mlb	Cardinals Cubs	First5 result	away	2.55	44.1%	0.050	0.16u	Lost	-0.16u
Jun 2, 2019	mlb	Diamondbacks Mets	First5 result	away	2.15	46.7%	0.059	0.26u	Lost	-0.26u
Jun 2, 2019	mlb	Rockies Blue Jays	First5 result	home	2.25	48.7%	0.096	0.38u	Won	+0.48u
Jun 2, 2019	mlb	Yankees Red Sox	First5 result	home	2.20	48.4%	0.065	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
Jun 1, 2019	mlb	Braves Tigers	First5 result	away	3.40	44.5%	0.366	0.76u	Lost	-0.76u
Jun 1, 2019	mlb	White Sox Indians	First5 result	home	2.60	48.7%	0.266	0.83u	Lost	-0.83u
Jun 1, 2019	mlb	Dodgers Phillies	First5 result	away	2.35	43.8%	0.228	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
May 31, 2019	mlb	Yankees Red Sox	First5 result	home	2.25	50.4%	0.135	0.54u	Won	+0.68u
May 31, 2019	mlb	Rays Twins	First5 result	away	3.40	48.5%	0.240	0.50u	Lost	-0.50u
May 31, 2019	mlb	Braves Tigers	First5 result	away	2.70	43.2%	0.166	0.49u	Won	+0.83u
May 31, 2019	mlb	Mariners Angels	First5 result	home	2.10	53.6%	0.125	0.27u	Won	+0.30u
May 30, 2019	mlb	Mariners Angels	First5 result	home	2.75	47.5%	0.306	0.87u	Lost	-0.87u
May 30, 2019	mlb	Pirates Brewers	First5 result	away	3.20	49.3%	0.142	0.32u	Won	+0.70u
May 29, 2019	mlb	Phillies Cardinals	First5 result	away	2.70	44.3%	0.131	0.39u	Lost	-0.39u
May 29, 2019	mlb	Dodgers Mets	First5 result	away	3.20	45.3%	0.277	0.63u	Won	+1.39u
May 28, 2019	mlb	Braves Nationals	First5 result	away	3.90	52.9%	0.304	0.52u	Lost	-0.52u
May 28, 2019	mlb	White Sox Royals	First5 result	home	2.00	57.7%	0.153	0.49u	Won	+0.49u
May 28, 2019	mlb	Rays Blue Jays	First5 result	away	4.10	49.8%	0.490	0.79u	Lost	-0.79u
May 27, 2019	mlb	Astros Cubs	First5 result	away	2.65	46.3%	0.056	0.17u	Lost	-0.17u
May 27, 2019	mlb	Rays Blue Jays	First5 result	away	3.60	48.0%	0.324	0.62u	Lost	-0.62u
May 26, 2019	mlb	Cubs Reds	First5 result	home	2.45	47.7%	0.169	0.58u	Lost	-0.58u
May 26, 2019	mlb	Mets Tigers	First5 result	away	3.80	52.1%	0.292	0.52u	Lost	-0.52u
May 26, 2019	mlb	Rockies Orioles	First5 result	away	3.20	46.9%	0.263	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
May 26, 2019	mlb	Astros Red Sox	First5 result	away	3.10	57.6%	0.164	0.10u	Won	+0.21u
May 25, 2019	mlb	Giants Diamondbacks	First5 result	away	3.10	46.8%	0.186	0.21u	Won	+0.44u
May 25, 2019	mlb	Mets Tigers	First5 result	away	2.95	52.8%	0.271	0.69u	Lost	-0.69u
May 25, 2019	mlb	Royals Yankees	First5 result	home	2.70	48.4%	0.306	0.90u	Lost	-0.90u
May 24, 2019	mlb	Nationals Marlins	First5 result	away	3.30	43.2%	0.373	0.60u	Won	+1.38u
May 24, 2019	mlb	Twins White Sox	First5 result	home	2.75	56.5%	0.553	1.20u	Won	+2.10u
May 23, 2019	mlb	Tigers Marlins	First5 result	home	2.80	46.8%	0.311	0.86u	Lost	-0.86u
May 23, 2019	mlb	Mets Nationals	First5 result	home	2.15	57.4%	0.233	0.94u	Won	+1.08u
May 22, 2019	mlb	Cubs Phillies	First5 result	away	4.20	57.2%	0.627	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
May 22, 2019	mlb	Brewers Reds	First5 result	away	4.10	43.9%	1.107	1.20u	Won	+3.72u
May 21, 2019	mlb	Mets Nationals	First5 result	home	3.30	43.0%	0.418	0.67u	Lost	-0.67u
May 21, 2019	mlb	Orioles Yankees	First5 result	away	4.00	44.5%	0.680	1.13u	Won	+3.39u
May 20, 2019	mlb	Astros White Sox	First5 result	home	2.60	42.9%	0.115	0.36u	Won	+0.58u
May 20, 2019	mlb	Padres Diamondbacks	First5 result	away	2.50	42.8%	0.082	0.27u	Won	+0.41u
May 20, 2019	mlb	Giants Braves	First5 result	home	2.95	38.0%	0.122	0.31u	Lost	-0.31u
May 20, 2019	mlb	Angels Twins	First5 result	away	3.10	42.8%	0.342	0.81u	Won	+1.70u
May 19, 2019	mlb	Angels Royals	First5 result	home	2.80	44.5%	0.246	0.68u	Lost	-0.68u
May 19, 2019	mlb	Phillies Rockies	First5 result	away	3.10	37.8%	0.460	1.10u	Won	+2.31u
May 18, 2019	mlb	Red Sox Astros	First5 result	home	2.00	59.8%	0.196	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
May 18, 2019	mlb	Diamondbacks Giants	First5 result	home	2.20	59.7%	0.314	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
May 17, 2019	mlb	Red Sox Astros	First5 result	away	2.60	37.7%	0.227	0.71u	Lost	-0.71u
May 17, 2019	mlb	Angels Royals	First5 result	home	3.00	45.5%	0.366	0.91u	Won	+1.82u
May 17, 2019	mlb	Mariners Twins	First5 result	away	2.50	37.9%	0.178	0.18u	Won	+0.27u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.