Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 9:14 PM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
Apr 7, 2019	mlb	Giants Rays	First5 result	home	2.66	51.8%	0.379	1.14u	Lost	-1.14u
Apr 7, 2019	mlb	Diamondbacks Red Sox	First5 result	home	2.51	52.4%	0.316	0.66u	Lost	-0.66u
Apr 6, 2019	mlb	Pirates Reds	First5 result	home	2.18	60.2%	0.312	0.98u	Lost	-0.98u
Apr 6, 2019	mlb	White Sox Mariners	First5 result	home	3.05	43.8%	0.337	0.82u	Lost	-0.82u
Apr 6, 2019	mlb	Astros Athletics	First5 result	home	2.18	53.4%	0.165	0.60u	Won	+0.71u
Apr 5, 2019	mlb	Diamondbacks Red Sox	First5 result	home	2.14	56.8%	0.215	0.70u	Won	+0.80u
Apr 5, 2019	mlb	Indians Blue Jays	First5 result	home	2.04	60.2%	0.229	1.10u	Lost	-1.10u
Apr 5, 2019	mlb	Rockies Dodgers	First5 result	home	2.18	53.1%	0.159	0.67u	Lost	-0.67u
Apr 5, 2019	mlb	Braves Marlins	First5 result	home	2.12	53.3%	0.130	0.51u	Won	+0.57u
Apr 4, 2019	mlb	Angels Rangers	First5 result	home	2.91	52.9%	0.541	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 4, 2019	mlb	Mets Nationals	First5 result	home	2.01	53.5%	0.074	0.37u	Lost	-0.37u
Apr 3, 2019	mlb	Marlins Mets	First5 result	home	2.85	60.4%	0.721	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 3, 2019	mlb	Reds Brewers	First5 result	home	2.88	56.6%	0.630	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 2, 2019	mlb	Padres Diamondbacks	First5 result	home	2.99	47.9%	0.432	1.09u	Lost	-1.09u
Apr 2, 2019	mlb	Dodgers Giants	First5 result	home	2.42	55.5%	0.342	0.71u	Won	+1.01u
Apr 1, 2019	mlb	Indians White Sox	First5 result	home	2.56	51.1%	0.308	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 1, 2019	mlb	Dodgers Giants	First5 result	home	2.35	63.1%	0.484	1.20u	Won	+1.62u
Mar 31, 2019	mlb	Athletics Angels	First5 result	home	2.44	59.5%	0.452	0.76u	Won	+1.09u
Mar 31, 2019	mlb	Mariners Red Sox	First5 result	away	3.72	45.1%	0.567	1.04u	Lost	-1.04u
Mar 31, 2019	mlb	Brewers Cardinals	First5 result	home	2.27	53.5%	0.214	0.75u	Lost	-0.75u
Mar 30, 2019	mlb	Phillies Braves	First5 result	home	2.35	56.1%	0.319	1.18u	Won	+1.59u
Mar 30, 2019	mlb	Rangers Cubs	First5 result	away	4.28	52.8%	0.378	0.58u	Won	+1.90u
Mar 30, 2019	mlb	Royals White Sox	First5 result	home	2.43	53.2%	0.293	1.02u	Won	+1.46u
Mar 29, 2019	mlb	Athletics Angels	First5 result	home	2.26	56.0%	0.267	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Mar 29, 2019	mlb	Mariners Red Sox	First5 result	home	2.89	61.2%	0.768	1.20u	Won	+2.27u
Mar 28, 2019	mlb	Phillies Braves	First5 result	home	2.88	52.9%	0.523	1.20u	Won	+2.26u
Mar 28, 2019	mlb	Athletics Angels	First5 result	home	2.22	64.2%	0.424	0.60u	Won	+0.73u
Mar 28, 2019	mlb	Yankees Orioles	First5 result	away	4.15	53.3%	0.309	0.49u	Lost	-0.49u
Mar 21, 2019	mlb	Athletics Mariners	First5 result	home	2.06	51.1%	0.052	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u
Sep 30, 2018	mlb	Mets Marlins	First5 result	home	2.83	51.4%	0.456	0.61u	Won	+1.12u
Sep 30, 2018	mlb	Orioles Astros	First5 result	home	3.14	48.1%	0.511	1.19u	Won	+2.55u
Sep 29, 2018	mlb	Reds Pirates	First5 result	home	3.42	53.3%	0.822	1.20u	Won	+2.90u
Sep 29, 2018	mlb	Angels Athletics	First5 result	home	3.08	47.5%	0.464	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Sep 28, 2018	mlb	Twins White Sox	First5 result	home	3.13	44.3%	0.386	0.91u	Won	+1.94u
Sep 28, 2018	mlb	Rockies Nationals	First5 result	home	2.24	58.8%	0.317	0.89u	Won	+1.10u
Sep 27, 2018	mlb	Mets Braves	First5 result	draw	4.60	50.9%	0.263	0.37u	Lost	-0.37u
Sep 27, 2018	mlb	Twins Tigers	First5 result	draw	4.60	47.5%	0.210	0.23u	Lost	-0.23u
Sep 27, 2018	mlb	Rockies Phillies	First5 result	home	2.40	56.6%	0.359	1.20u	Won	+1.68u
Sep 26, 2018	mlb	Red Sox Orioles	First5 result	home	2.66	49.6%	0.321	0.97u	Lost	-0.97u
Sep 26, 2018	mlb	Red Sox Orioles	First5 result	draw	4.60	51.7%	0.281	0.16u	Lost	-0.16u
Sep 26, 2018	mlb	Mets Braves	First5 result	away	3.89	55.4%	0.386	0.67u	Lost	-0.67u
Sep 25, 2018	mlb	Reds Royals	First5 result	away	4.22	41.0%	0.903	0.60u	Won	+1.93u
Sep 25, 2018	mlb	Giants Padres	First5 result	draw	4.60	30.1%	0.955	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Sep 24, 2018	mlb	Cardinals Brewers	First5 result	away	2.68	41.2%	0.379	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Sep 24, 2018	mlb	Blue Jays Astros	First5 result	away	3.29	38.9%	0.771	1.20u	Won	+2.75u
Sep 23, 2018	mlb	White Sox Cubs	First5 result	home	2.71	51.4%	0.392	0.90u	Lost	-0.90u
Sep 23, 2018	mlb	Indians Red Sox	First5 result	away	3.59	45.6%	0.466	0.90u	Lost	-0.90u
Sep 22, 2018	mlb	Nationals Mets	First5 result	away	3.73	43.7%	0.585	1.07u	Lost	-1.07u
Sep 22, 2018	mlb	Diamondbacks Rockies	First5 result	away	3.39	42.2%	0.495	0.73u	Won	+1.74u
Sep 21, 2018	mlb	Rangers Mariners	First5 result	away	3.32	43.4%	0.416	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Sep 21, 2018	mlb	Pirates Brewers	First5 result	away	3.62	44.3%	0.750	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Sep 20, 2018	mlb	Tigers Royals	First5 result	home	2.19	54.9%	0.203	0.43u	Won	+0.51u
Sep 20, 2018	mlb	Blue Jays Rays	First5 result	away	2.84	43.5%	0.210	0.57u	Lost	-0.57u
Sep 20, 2018	mlb	Athletics Angels	First5 result	away	3.44	47.9%	0.392	0.80u	Lost	-0.80u
Sep 19, 2018	mlb	Tigers Twins	First5 result	away	4.53	45.3%	0.839	1.19u	Won	+4.20u
Sep 19, 2018	mlb	Dodgers Rockies	First5 result	away	3.56	45.4%	0.454	0.61u	Lost	-0.61u
Sep 18, 2018	mlb	Indians White Sox	First5 result	home	4.88	43.2%	1.107	1.20u	Won	+4.66u
Sep 18, 2018	mlb	Astros Mariners	First5 result	draw	4.60	31.4%	0.941	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Sep 17, 2018	mlb	Dodgers Rockies	First5 result	home	2.26	56.6%	0.280	1.04u	Won	+1.31u
Sep 17, 2018	mlb	Diamondbacks Cubs	First5 result	away	3.07	43.7%	0.313	0.76u	Lost	-0.76u
Sep 16, 2018	mlb	Phillies Marlins	First5 result	away	2.69	40.0%	0.250	0.70u	Won	+1.18u
Sep 16, 2018	mlb	Padres Rangers	First5 result	away	2.83	36.7%	0.402	1.10u	Won	+2.01u
Sep 15, 2018	mlb	Yankees Blue Jays	First5 result	away	3.36	42.8%	0.923	1.20u	Won	+2.83u
Sep 15, 2018	mlb	Padres Rangers	First5 result	away	3.23	41.0%	0.441	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Sep 14, 2018	mlb	Orioles White Sox	First5 result	away	2.63	40.0%	0.221	0.12u	Won	+0.20u
Sep 14, 2018	mlb	Red Sox Mets	First5 result	away	2.83	42.0%	0.239	0.65u	Won	+1.19u
Sep 14, 2018	mlb	Braves Nationals	First5 result	away	3.51	42.8%	0.519	1.03u	Lost	-1.03u
Sep 13, 2018	mlb	Red Sox Blue Jays	First5 result	away	4.66	47.3%	0.786	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Sep 13, 2018	mlb	Nationals Cubs	First5 result	draw	4.60	9.7%	2.748	1.20u	Won	+4.32u
Sep 12, 2018	mlb	Twins Yankees	First5 result	draw	4.60	27.8%	0.949	0.60u	Won	+2.16u
Sep 12, 2018	mlb	Mariners Padres	First5 result	away	4.53	36.6%	1.237	1.20u	Won	+4.24u
Sep 11, 2018	mlb	Cubs Brewers	First5 result	home	3.54	44.8%	0.587	0.60u	Won	+1.52u
Sep 11, 2018	mlb	Tigers Astros	First5 result	home	3.83	44.9%	0.718	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Sep 10, 2018	mlb	Angels Rangers	First5 result	home	3.91	45.0%	0.761	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Sep 10, 2018	mlb	Cubs Brewers	First5 result	home	2.82	45.0%	0.269	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Sep 9, 2018	mlb	White Sox Angels	First5 result	home	2.49	44.7%	0.113	0.38u	Lost	-0.38u
Sep 9, 2018	mlb	Athletics Rangers	First5 result	away	3.02	46.1%	0.113	0.28u	Lost	-0.28u
Sep 9, 2018	mlb	Rays Orioles	First5 result	away	3.26	45.5%	0.190	0.42u	Lost	-0.42u
Sep 8, 2018	mlb	Brewers Giants	First5 result	away	3.14	44.7%	0.140	0.33u	Lost	-0.33u
Sep 8, 2018	mlb	Athletics Rangers	First5 result	home	2.48	44.6%	0.106	0.36u	Lost	-0.36u
Sep 8, 2018	mlb	Reds Padres	First5 result	home	2.49	44.7%	0.114	0.38u	Won	+0.57u
Sep 8, 2018	mlb	Rays Orioles	First5 result	home	2.47	44.1%	0.089	0.17u	Won	+0.25u
Sep 8, 2018	mlb	Blue Jays Indians	First5 result	away	3.44	45.2%	0.272	0.56u	Won	+1.37u
Sep 7, 2018	mlb	Rockies Dodgers	First5 result	away	3.66	44.9%	0.371	0.70u	Won	+1.86u
Sep 7, 2018	mlb	Pirates Marlins	First5 result	home	2.84	43.2%	0.228	0.62u	Won	+1.14u
Sep 7, 2018	mlb	White Sox Angels	First5 result	home	2.63	46.5%	0.223	0.48u	Lost	-0.48u
Sep 6, 2018	mlb	Blue Jays Indians	First5 result	home	3.45	43.8%	0.513	1.05u	Lost	-1.05u
Sep 5, 2018	mlb	Mariners Orioles	First5 result	away	3.80	44.8%	0.330	0.59u	Lost	-0.59u
Sep 5, 2018	mlb	Dodgers Mets	First5 result	home	2.38	45.3%	0.079	0.26u	Lost	-0.26u
Sep 5, 2018	mlb	Astros Twins	First5 result	home	2.63	42.7%	0.124	0.38u	Won	+0.62u
Sep 5, 2018	mlb	Indians Royals	First5 result	away	2.97	46.5%	0.098	0.25u	Lost	-0.25u
Sep 5, 2018	mlb	White Sox Tigers	First5 result	away	3.06	46.0%	0.131	0.32u	Won	+0.66u
Sep 4, 2018	mlb	Astros Twins	First5 result	away	3.58	44.9%	0.284	0.55u	Lost	-0.55u
Sep 4, 2018	mlb	Pirates Reds	First5 result	away	3.05	44.7%	0.096	0.23u	Lost	-0.23u
Sep 4, 2018	mlb	Indians Royals	First5 result	home	2.51	46.5%	0.167	0.55u	Won	+0.83u
Sep 4, 2018	mlb	Brewers Cubs	First5 result	away	3.07	46.4%	0.123	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
Sep 3, 2018	mlb	Athletics Yankees	First5 result	away	3.01	45.2%	0.151	0.37u	Lost	-0.37u
Sep 3, 2018	mlb	Mariners Orioles	First5 result	away	3.13	45.4%	0.141	0.33u	Lost	-0.33u
Sep 3, 2018	mlb	Rangers Angels	First5 result	away	2.98	46.1%	0.108	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
Sep 2, 2018	mlb	Royals Orioles	First5 result	home	2.31	46.2%	0.068	0.26u	Won	+0.34u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.