Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 4:25 PM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
May 3, 2018	mlb	Royals Tigers	First5 result	draw	4.60	34.5%	0.392	0.54u	Lost	-0.54u
May 2, 2018	mlb	Cubs Rockies	First5 result	away	3.27	39.4%	0.664	0.60u	Won	+1.36u
May 2, 2018	mlb	Reds Brewers	First5 result	away	2.65	32.3%	0.795	1.20u	Won	+1.98u
May 1, 2018	mlb	Angels Orioles	First5 result	draw	4.60	53.4%	1.142	1.20u	Won	+4.32u
May 1, 2018	mlb	Cardinals White Sox	First5 result	away	3.19	29.9%	1.001	0.60u	Won	+1.31u
Apr 30, 2018	mlb	Indians Rangers	First5 result	away	3.10	32.3%	1.098	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 30, 2018	mlb	Nationals Pirates	First5 result	away	2.51	29.8%	0.575	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 29, 2018	mlb	Phillies Braves	First5 result	away	3.09	38.9%	0.556	1.20u	Won	+2.51u
Apr 29, 2018	mlb	Indians Mariners	First5 result	draw	4.60	34.5%	0.391	0.54u	Lost	-0.54u
Apr 28, 2018	mlb	Giants Dodgers	First5 result	away	2.25	29.5%	0.401	0.60u	Won	+0.75u
Apr 28, 2018	mlb	Giants Dodgers	First5 result	draw	4.60	27.0%	1.088	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 27, 2018	mlb	Cubs Brewers	First5 result	away	3.16	43.7%	0.401	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 27, 2018	mlb	Astros Athletics	First5 result	draw	4.60	27.0%	1.088	1.20u	Won	+4.32u
Apr 26, 2018	mlb	Reds Braves	First5 result	draw	4.60	34.5%	0.391	0.54u	Won	+1.94u
Apr 26, 2018	mlb	Phillies Diamondbacks	First5 result	away	2.87	39.4%	0.461	1.20u	Won	+2.24u
Apr 25, 2018	mlb	Blue Jays Red Sox	First5 result	away	4.16	44.3%	0.863	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 25, 2018	mlb	Rockies Padres	First5 result	away	2.51	29.8%	0.576	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 24, 2018	mlb	Royals Brewers	First5 result	draw	4.60	29.9%	0.572	0.79u	Lost	-0.79u
Apr 24, 2018	mlb	Giants Nationals	First5 result	home	2.46	45.3%	0.115	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
Apr 24, 2018	mlb	Reds Braves	First5 result	away	3.33	47.4%	0.331	0.71u	Lost	-0.71u
Apr 23, 2018	mlb	Dodgers Marlins	First5 result	home	2.33	46.7%	0.087	0.15u	Won	+0.20u
Apr 23, 2018	mlb	Yankees Twins	First5 result	away	3.22	56.0%	0.417	0.94u	Lost	-0.94u
Apr 23, 2018	mlb	Rangers Athletics	First5 result	draw	4.60	32.1%	0.511	0.71u	Won	+2.56u
Apr 22, 2018	mlb	White Sox Astros	First5 result	draw	4.60	30.2%	0.565	0.78u	Won	+2.81u
Apr 22, 2018	mlb	Dodgers Nationals	First5 result	draw	4.60	32.9%	0.488	0.68u	Lost	-0.68u
Apr 22, 2018	mlb	Phillies Pirates	First5 result	away	3.10	41.1%	0.176	0.34u	Lost	-0.34u
Apr 21, 2018	mlb	White Sox Astros	First5 result	draw	4.60	18.5%	1.550	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 21, 2018	mlb	Yankees Blue Jays	First5 result	home	2.80	52.2%	0.461	0.60u	Won	+1.08u
Apr 20, 2018	mlb	Phillies Pirates	First5 result	draw	4.60	17.5%	1.588	1.20u	Won	+4.32u
Apr 20, 2018	mlb	Dodgers Nationals	First5 result	draw	4.60	25.8%	0.678	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 19, 2018	mlb	Yankees Blue Jays	First5 result	home	2.68	40.1%	0.074	0.22u	Won	+0.37u
Apr 19, 2018	mlb	Phillies Pirates	First5 result	away	2.66	57.7%	0.125	0.38u	Lost	-0.38u
Apr 18, 2018	mlb	Angels Red Sox	First5 result	away	3.02	53.3%	0.411	1.02u	Won	+2.06u
Apr 18, 2018	mlb	Pirates Rockies	First5 result	draw	4.60	33.2%	0.478	0.66u	Lost	-0.66u
Apr 18, 2018	mlb	Padres Dodgers	First5 result	away	2.78	38.4%	0.120	0.12u	Won	+0.21u
Apr 17, 2018	mlb	Cubs Cardinals	First5 result	away	3.75	48.8%	0.461	0.84u	Won	+2.31u
Apr 17, 2018	mlb	Mets Nationals	First5 result	away	2.63	36.8%	0.233	0.15u	Won	+0.24u
Apr 17, 2018	mlb	Yankees Marlins	First5 result	draw	4.60	29.3%	0.586	0.81u	Lost	-0.81u
Apr 16, 2018	mlb	Padres Dodgers	First5 result	away	2.51	53.5%	0.168	0.56u	Won	+0.85u
Apr 16, 2018	mlb	Mariners Astros	First5 result	away	3.81	45.0%	0.373	0.66u	Lost	-0.66u
Apr 15, 2018	mlb	Reds Cardinals	First5 result	away	3.71	39.8%	0.440	0.81u	Won	+2.20u
Apr 15, 2018	mlb	Padres Giants	First5 result	home	2.96	38.9%	0.151	0.36u	Won	+0.71u
Apr 15, 2018	mlb	Marlins Pirates	First5 result	away	2.88	42.6%	0.237	0.63u	Won	+1.18u
Apr 14, 2018	mlb	Royals Angels	First5 result	home	2.74	45.3%	0.240	0.69u	Lost	-0.69u
Apr 14, 2018	mlb	Nationals Rockies	First5 result	away	2.99	51.6%	0.105	0.26u	Won	+0.52u
Apr 14, 2018	mlb	Rays Phillies	First5 result	away	2.77	39.8%	0.087	0.24u	Won	+0.42u
Apr 13, 2018	mlb	Indians Blue Jays	First5 result	away	3.13	51.3%	0.159	0.15u	Lost	-0.15u
Apr 13, 2018	mlb	Cubs Braves	First5 result	away	2.75	43.7%	0.173	0.49u	Won	+0.86u
Apr 13, 2018	mlb	Rays Phillies	First5 result	away	3.14	42.9%	0.164	0.38u	Lost	-0.38u
Apr 13, 2018	mlb	Nationals Rockies	First5 result	home	2.65	47.4%	0.257	0.78u	Lost	-0.78u
Apr 12, 2018	mlb	Royals Angels	First5 result	away	2.64	44.4%	0.108	0.33u	Won	+0.54u
Apr 12, 2018	mlb	Twins White Sox	First5 result	away	3.00	42.7%	0.298	0.74u	Lost	-0.74u
Apr 12, 2018	mlb	Reds Cardinals	First5 result	away	2.86	36.9%	0.165	0.44u	Lost	-0.44u
Apr 12, 2018	mlb	Padres Giants	First5 result	home	2.37	45.2%	0.071	0.26u	Lost	-0.26u
Apr 11, 2018	mlb	Cardinals Brewers	First5 result	draw	4.60	27.6%	0.633	0.88u	Lost	-0.88u
Apr 11, 2018	mlb	Cubs Pirates	First5 result	draw	4.60	27.6%	0.646	0.90u	Won	+3.24u
Apr 10, 2018	mlb	Rockies Padres	First5 result	draw	4.60	39.1%	0.464	0.64u	Won	+2.30u
Apr 10, 2018	mlb	Orioles Blue Jays	First5 result	away	2.84	40.4%	0.269	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
Apr 10, 2018	mlb	Cubs Pirates	First5 result	away	3.01	55.3%	0.344	0.86u	Won	+1.73u
Apr 9, 2018	mlb	White Sox Rays	First5 result	away	2.63	41.2%	0.448	0.85u	Won	+1.39u
Apr 9, 2018	mlb	Marlins Mets	First5 result	away	3.42	43.0%	0.461	0.95u	Won	+2.30u
Apr 9, 2018	mlb	Cardinals Brewers	First5 result	away	2.19	20.5%	0.741	0.60u	Won	+0.71u
Apr 8, 2018	mlb	Indians Royals	First5 result	away	2.35	26.9%	0.718	1.20u	Won	+1.62u
Apr 8, 2018	mlb	Rangers Blue Jays	First5 result	away	2.69	40.9%	0.488	0.60u	Won	+1.01u
Apr 8, 2018	mlb	Astros Padres	First5 result	away	3.36	39.7%	0.770	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 7, 2018	mlb	Angels Athletics	First5 result	away	3.10	41.1%	0.711	1.20u	Won	+2.52u
Apr 7, 2018	mlb	Phillies Marlins	First5 result	away	3.04	45.1%	0.670	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 6, 2018	mlb	Angels Athletics	First5 result	away	3.44	25.2%	1.478	1.20u	Won	+2.93u
Apr 6, 2018	mlb	Indians Royals	First5 result	away	2.60	49.3%	0.211	0.14u	Lost	-0.14u
Apr 6, 2018	mlb	Rangers Blue Jays	First5 result	draw	4.60	30.0%	0.333	0.46u	Lost	-0.46u
Apr 5, 2018	mlb	Padres Rockies	First5 result	draw	4.60	34.7%	2.006	1.20u	Won	+4.32u
Apr 5, 2018	mlb	Phillies Marlins	First5 result	away	3.19	43.3%	0.354	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 5, 2018	mlb	Brewers Cubs	First5 result	draw	4.60	33.7%	0.345	0.48u	Lost	-0.48u
Apr 5, 2018	mlb	Red Sox Rays	First5 result	draw	4.60	31.3%	0.249	0.12u	Won	+0.43u
Apr 4, 2018	mlb	Athletics Rangers	First5 result	draw	4.60	19.5%	1.394	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 4, 2018	mlb	Brewers Cardinals	First5 result	away	3.20	25.7%	1.290	0.60u	Won	+1.32u
Apr 3, 2018	mlb	Astros Orioles	First5 result	away	2.07	22.1%	0.552	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 3, 2018	mlb	Brewers Cardinals	First5 result	draw	4.60	39.2%	0.462	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 3, 2018	mlb	Marlins Red Sox	First5 result	away	3.14	36.4%	0.518	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 2, 2018	mlb	Brewers Cardinals	First5 result	away	2.44	21.6%	0.672	1.20u	Won	+1.73u
Apr 2, 2018	mlb	Braves Nationals	First5 result	away	2.97	44.4%	0.651	0.60u	Won	+1.18u
Apr 2, 2018	mlb	Marlins Red Sox	First5 result	draw	4.60	46.3%	0.519	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 1, 2018	mlb	Tigers Pirates	First5 result	draw	4.60	18.5%	1.292	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 1, 2018	mlb	Reds Nationals	First5 result	draw	4.60	38.1%	0.488	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 1, 2018	mlb	Athletics Angels	First5 result	away	2.69	39.7%	0.417	0.60u	Won	+1.01u
Mar 31, 2018	mlb	Rays Red Sox	First5 result	away	2.79	40.9%	0.543	1.20u	Won	+2.15u
Mar 31, 2018	mlb	Blue Jays Yankees	First5 result	draw	4.60	37.8%	0.496	0.60u	Won	+2.16u
Mar 30, 2018	mlb	Marlins Cubs	First5 result	draw	4.60	26.2%	0.406	0.56u	Won	+2.02u
Mar 30, 2018	mlb	Tigers Pirates	First5 result	away	2.46	41.3%	0.351	1.20u	Won	+1.75u
Mar 29, 2018	mlb	Rangers Astros	First5 result	away	3.57	33.6%	0.885	1.20u	Won	+3.08u
Mar 29, 2018	mlb	Diamondbacks Rockies	First5 result	draw	4.60	37.3%	0.507	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Mar 29, 2018	mlb	Orioles Twins	First5 result	draw	4.60	43.2%	0.725	0.60u	Won	+2.16u
Oct 31, 2017	mlb	Dodgers Astros	First5 result	draw	4.60	32.6%	0.399	0.55u	Lost	-0.55u
Oct 29, 2017	mlb	Astros Dodgers	First5 result	draw	4.60	38.2%	1.841	1.20u	Won	+4.32u
Oct 24, 2017	mlb	Dodgers Astros	First5 result	draw	4.60	33.1%	0.499	0.69u	Won	+2.48u
Oct 21, 2017	mlb	Astros Yankees	First5 result	draw	4.60	33.6%	0.477	0.66u	Lost	-0.66u
Oct 20, 2017	mlb	Astros Yankees	First5 result	draw	4.60	32.9%	0.429	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Oct 19, 2017	mlb	Cubs Dodgers	First5 result	draw	4.60	32.8%	0.519	0.72u	Lost	-0.72u
Oct 18, 2017	mlb	Yankees Astros	First5 result	draw	4.60	34.3%	0.538	0.75u	Lost	-0.75u
Oct 18, 2017	mlb	Cubs Dodgers	First5 result	draw	4.60	34.2%	0.515	0.72u	Lost	-0.72u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.