Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 4:25 PM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
Aug 25, 2017	mlb	Dodgers Brewers	First5 result	away	3.20	46.9%	0.220	0.50u	Lost	-0.50u
Aug 24, 2017	mlb	Royals Rockies	First5 result	home	2.65	56.0%	0.484	1.20u	Won	+1.98u
Aug 24, 2017	mlb	Astros Nationals	First5 result	home	2.55	48.7%	0.241	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Aug 23, 2017	mlb	Cardinals Padres	First5 result	home	3.30	48.3%	0.593	1.20u	Won	+2.76u
Aug 23, 2017	mlb	White Sox Twins	First5 result	home	2.55	48.6%	0.239	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Aug 22, 2017	mlb	Giants Brewers	First5 result	away	2.80	46.3%	0.079	0.22u	Lost	-0.22u
Aug 22, 2017	mlb	Mets Diamondbacks	First5 result	home	2.43	46.9%	0.140	0.49u	Lost	-0.49u
Aug 22, 2017	mlb	Pirates Dodgers	First5 result	home	2.51	46.1%	0.157	0.52u	Lost	-0.52u
Aug 22, 2017	mlb	Indians Red Sox	First5 result	away	2.66	56.3%	0.163	0.49u	Won	+0.81u
Aug 21, 2017	mlb	Angels Rangers	First5 result	home	2.18	49.0%	0.069	0.29u	Lost	-0.29u
Aug 21, 2017	mlb	Giants Brewers	First5 result	home	2.14	56.1%	0.201	0.88u	Won	+1.00u
Aug 20, 2017	mlb	Rangers White Sox	First5 result	home	2.55	48.9%	0.247	0.80u	Lost	-0.80u
Aug 20, 2017	mlb	Pirates Cardinals	First5 result	away	3.15	48.2%	0.236	0.55u	Lost	-0.55u
Aug 20, 2017	mlb	Rays Mariners	First5 result	away	3.20	47.2%	0.212	0.45u	Lost	-0.45u
Aug 19, 2017	mlb	Red Sox Yankees	First5 result	home	2.45	46.2%	0.132	0.46u	Lost	-0.46u
Aug 19, 2017	mlb	Twins Diamondbacks	First5 result	away	2.95	46.6%	0.130	0.17u	Lost	-0.17u
Aug 19, 2017	mlb	Rockies Brewers	First5 result	away	3.15	46.9%	0.201	0.47u	Won	+1.01u
Aug 19, 2017	mlb	Pirates Cardinals	First5 result	away	3.45	48.6%	0.344	0.70u	Lost	-0.70u
Aug 18, 2017	mlb	Astros Athletics	First5 result	away	2.60	55.3%	0.162	0.34u	Lost	-0.34u
Aug 18, 2017	mlb	Mets Marlins	First5 result	home	2.85	47.2%	0.345	0.93u	Lost	-0.93u
Aug 18, 2017	mlb	Rockies Brewers	First5 result	away	3.20	46.3%	0.233	0.53u	Lost	-0.53u
Aug 17, 2017	mlb	Cubs Reds	First5 result	away	3.20	33.7%	0.835	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Aug 17, 2017	mlb	Twins Indians	First5 result	away	2.67	32.3%	0.516	0.60u	Won	+1.00u
Aug 16, 2017	mlb	Blue Jays Rays	First5 result	away	3.75	46.2%	0.449	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Aug 16, 2017	mlb	Mariners Orioles	First5 result	away	2.66	36.7%	0.684	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Aug 15, 2017	mlb	Dodgers White Sox	First5 result	away	2.73	45.1%	0.296	0.60u	Won	+1.04u
Aug 15, 2017	mlb	Mariners Orioles	First5 result	away	4.30	45.1%	1.041	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Aug 14, 2017	mlb	Yankees Mets	First5 result	away	2.51	41.9%	0.100	0.20u	Won	+0.30u
Aug 14, 2017	mlb	Padres Phillies	First5 result	away	2.65	41.2%	0.186	0.56u	Lost	-0.56u
Aug 14, 2017	mlb	Diamondbacks Astros	First5 result	away	2.95	45.0%	0.405	1.04u	Lost	-1.04u
Aug 13, 2017	mlb	Nationals Giants	First5 result	away	3.45	41.9%	0.515	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Aug 13, 2017	mlb	Marlins Rockies	First5 result	away	3.60	44.8%	0.721	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Aug 12, 2017	mlb	Dodgers Padres	First5 result	away	3.20	41.8%	0.407	0.60u	Won	+1.32u
Aug 12, 2017	mlb	Rays Indians	First5 result	away	3.10	44.2%	0.503	1.20u	Won	+2.52u
Aug 11, 2017	mlb	Cardinals Braves	First5 result	away	2.75	45.0%	0.309	0.72u	Lost	-0.72u
Aug 11, 2017	mlb	Athletics Orioles	First5 result	away	3.50	41.7%	0.542	1.08u	Won	+2.70u
Aug 10, 2017	mlb	Blue Jays Yankees	First5 result	away	2.40	45.2%	0.136	0.49u	Lost	-0.49u
Aug 10, 2017	mlb	Reds Padres	First5 result	home	2.54	44.4%	0.127	0.14u	Lost	-0.14u
Aug 10, 2017	mlb	Nationals Marlins	First5 result	away	2.75	41.8%	0.211	0.60u	Won	+1.05u
Aug 10, 2017	mlb	Phillies Mets	First5 result	away	2.43	44.7%	0.164	0.57u	Won	+0.82u
Aug 9, 2017	mlb	Diamondbacks Dodgers	First5 result	home	2.95	40.3%	0.188	0.48u	Lost	-0.48u
Aug 9, 2017	mlb	Giants Cubs	First5 result	home	2.75	41.8%	0.149	0.12u	Lost	-0.12u
Aug 9, 2017	mlb	Blue Jays Yankees	First5 result	away	2.38	43.4%	0.177	0.64u	Won	+0.88u
Aug 9, 2017	mlb	Braves Phillies	First5 result	away	2.70	41.8%	0.189	0.56u	Won	+0.95u
Aug 8, 2017	mlb	Mets Rangers	First5 result	away	3.40	45.2%	0.611	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Aug 8, 2017	mlb	Diamondbacks Dodgers	First5 result	home	3.30	40.5%	0.338	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Aug 7, 2017	mlb	Angels Orioles	First5 result	away	2.55	45.1%	0.211	0.68u	Won	+1.05u
Aug 7, 2017	mlb	Giants Cubs	First5 result	away	3.70	42.3%	0.603	1.12u	Won	+3.02u
Aug 6, 2017	mlb	Twins Rangers	First5 result	away	2.90	43.8%	0.419	1.10u	Lost	-1.10u
Aug 6, 2017	mlb	Rockies Phillies	First5 result	away	2.83	44.4%	0.368	0.70u	Lost	-0.70u
Aug 5, 2017	mlb	Rockies Phillies	First5 result	away	3.80	41.5%	0.687	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Aug 5, 2017	mlb	Cubs Nationals	First5 result	away	2.80	44.4%	0.352	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Aug 4, 2017	mlb	Pirates Padres	First5 result	away	2.73	45.0%	0.301	0.87u	Won	+1.51u
Aug 4, 2017	mlb	Rockies Phillies	First5 result	away	2.90	41.5%	0.286	0.75u	Lost	-0.75u
Aug 4, 2017	mlb	Twins Rangers	First5 result	away	2.55	44.2%	0.239	0.18u	Lost	-0.18u
Aug 3, 2017	mlb	Indians Yankees	First5 result	away	3.55	44.2%	0.724	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Aug 3, 2017	mlb	Brewers Cardinals	First5 result	home	3.05	41.6%	0.270	0.60u	Won	+1.23u
Aug 2, 2017	mlb	Yankees Tigers	First5 result	away	2.90	41.9%	0.271	0.60u	Won	+1.14u
Aug 2, 2017	mlb	Rangers Mariners	First5 result	away	3.35	44.9%	0.598	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Aug 1, 2017	mlb	Brewers Cardinals	First5 result	away	2.58	37.7%	0.261	0.81u	Lost	-0.81u
Aug 1, 2017	mlb	Athletics Giants	First5 result	home	2.90	47.5%	0.378	0.99u	Lost	-0.99u
Jul 31, 2017	mlb	White Sox Blue Jays	First5 result	away	2.33	38.1%	0.141	0.53u	Won	+0.70u
Jul 31, 2017	mlb	Orioles Royals	First5 result	away	2.31	37.1%	0.152	0.58u	Lost	-0.58u
Jul 30, 2017	mlb	Mariners Mets	First5 result	away	2.48	30.4%	0.372	0.81u	Lost	-0.81u
Jul 30, 2017	mlb	Marlins Reds	First5 result	away	3.10	40.9%	0.415	0.99u	Won	+2.08u
Jul 29, 2017	mlb	Phillies Braves	First5 result	away	3.70	45.8%	0.512	0.95u	Won	+2.57u
Jul 29, 2017	mlb	Cardinals Diamondbacks	First5 result	home	3.65	39.9%	0.456	0.85u	Lost	-0.85u
Jul 28, 2017	mlb	Athletics Twins	First5 result	away	2.80	36.3%	0.373	1.04u	Won	+1.87u
Jul 28, 2017	mlb	Yankees Rays	First5 result	away	3.70	49.0%	0.398	0.74u	Lost	-0.74u
Jul 27, 2017	mlb	White Sox Cubs	First5 result	away	2.37	28.8%	0.361	1.20u	Won	+1.64u
Jul 27, 2017	mlb	Blue Jays Athletics	First5 result	away	3.60	53.2%	0.191	0.19u	Won	+0.49u
Jul 27, 2017	mlb	Padres Mets	First5 result	home	3.40	35.1%	0.195	0.41u	Won	+0.98u
Jul 26, 2017	mlb	Blue Jays Athletics	First5 result	away	2.37	26.8%	0.424	1.20u	Won	+1.64u
Jul 26, 2017	mlb	Padres Mets	First5 result	away	3.15	41.4%	0.415	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jul 25, 2017	mlb	Phillies Astros	First5 result	away	2.90	42.5%	0.247	0.60u	Won	+1.14u
Jul 25, 2017	mlb	Yankees Reds	First5 result	away	2.83	34.9%	0.469	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jul 24, 2017	mlb	Diamondbacks Braves	First5 result	away	2.95	48.7%	0.128	0.33u	Lost	-0.33u
Jul 24, 2017	mlb	Dodgers Twins	First5 result	away	3.45	48.7%	0.318	0.65u	Lost	-0.65u
Jul 24, 2017	mlb	Cardinals Rockies	First5 result	home	2.40	51.0%	0.223	0.80u	Won	+1.12u
Jul 23, 2017	mlb	Orioles Astros	First5 result	away	2.58	36.7%	0.287	0.75u	Lost	-0.75u
Jul 23, 2017	mlb	Mariners Yankees	First5 result	away	4.55	48.2%	0.743	1.05u	Lost	-1.05u
Jul 22, 2017	mlb	Mets Athletics	First5 result	away	2.48	30.9%	0.379	1.20u	Won	+1.78u
Jul 22, 2017	mlb	Rays Rangers	First5 result	away	3.30	46.9%	0.307	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jul 21, 2017	mlb	Angels Red Sox	First5 result	home	2.90	42.5%	0.233	0.29u	Lost	-0.29u
Jul 21, 2017	mlb	Mets Athletics	First5 result	away	3.50	51.2%	0.244	0.49u	Won	+1.23u
Jul 21, 2017	mlb	Rays Rangers	First5 result	away	2.68	36.9%	0.341	1.02u	Lost	-1.02u
Jul 20, 2017	mlb	Mets Cardinals	First5 result	away	2.95	37.0%	0.467	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jul 20, 2017	mlb	Giants Padres	First5 result	away	2.85	31.3%	0.528	1.20u	Won	+2.22u
Jul 19, 2017	mlb	Athletics Rays	First5 result	away	2.33	31.2%	0.298	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jul 19, 2017	mlb	Braves Cubs	First5 result	away	2.82	35.1%	0.455	1.20u	Won	+2.18u
Jul 18, 2017	mlb	Pirates Brewers	First5 result	home	2.50	49.5%	0.238	0.61u	Lost	-0.61u
Jul 18, 2017	mlb	Reds Diamondbacks	First5 result	home	4.00	42.9%	0.715	1.19u	Lost	-1.19u
Jul 17, 2017	mlb	Marlins Phillies	First5 result	away	3.05	33.0%	0.617	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jul 17, 2017	mlb	Athletics Rays	First5 result	home	2.35	54.4%	0.277	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jul 16, 2017	mlb	Red Sox Yankees	First5 result	away	2.80	34.3%	0.407	1.13u	Lost	-1.13u
Jul 16, 2017	mlb	Reds Nationals	First5 result	away	2.50	37.2%	0.272	0.67u	Won	+1.01u
Jul 15, 2017	mlb	Astros Twins	First5 result	home	3.00	49.1%	0.472	1.18u	Lost	-1.18u
Jul 15, 2017	mlb	Padres Giants	First5 result	away	2.57	29.7%	0.435	0.62u	Lost	-0.62u
Jul 14, 2017	mlb	Marlins Dodgers	First5 result	away	2.50	34.2%	0.247	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jul 14, 2017	mlb	Red Sox Yankees	First5 result	away	2.56	31.2%	0.443	1.20u	Won	+1.87u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.