Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 4:25 PM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
May 29, 2017	mlb	Marlins Phillies	First5 result	home	2.95	53.3%	0.573	1.20u	Won	+2.34u
May 28, 2017	mlb	Nationals Padres	First5 result	away	2.95	41.1%	0.259	0.66u	Won	+1.29u
May 28, 2017	mlb	Twins Rays	First5 result	home	2.00	54.2%	0.085	0.42u	Lost	-0.42u
May 27, 2017	mlb	Brewers Diamondbacks	First5 result	home	2.10	56.2%	0.180	0.82u	Won	+0.90u
May 27, 2017	mlb	Yankees Athletics	First5 result	away	3.30	37.9%	0.256	0.56u	Lost	-0.56u
May 27, 2017	mlb	White Sox Tigers	First5 result	away	2.55	47.3%	0.131	0.42u	Lost	-0.42u
May 26, 2017	mlb	Nationals Padres	First5 result	away	2.52	46.9%	0.121	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
May 26, 2017	mlb	Marlins Angels	First5 result	home	2.20	49.2%	0.082	0.29u	Won	+0.35u
May 26, 2017	mlb	White Sox Tigers	First5 result	home	2.30	52.3%	0.203	0.78u	Won	+1.01u
May 26, 2017	mlb	Red Sox Mariners	First5 result	away	3.20	55.9%	0.144	0.33u	Lost	-0.33u
May 25, 2017	mlb	Mets Padres	First5 result	away	2.42	40.7%	0.234	0.82u	Won	+1.16u
May 25, 2017	mlb	Phillies Rockies	First5 result	home	2.01	60.1%	0.208	0.98u	Lost	-0.98u
May 24, 2017	mlb	Braves Pirates	First5 result	away	2.55	49.7%	0.072	0.23u	Won	+0.36u
May 24, 2017	mlb	Nationals Mariners	First5 result	away	2.53	49.0%	0.081	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
May 24, 2017	mlb	Phillies Rockies	First5 result	away	2.30	44.8%	0.170	0.65u	Won	+0.85u
May 24, 2017	mlb	Diamondbacks White Sox	First5 result	away	3.60	58.8%	0.191	0.37u	Lost	-0.37u
May 24, 2017	mlb	Red Sox Rangers	First5 result	away	2.79	53.1%	0.074	0.21u	Won	+0.38u
May 23, 2017	mlb	Orioles Twins	First5 result	home	2.28	58.4%	0.331	0.69u	Lost	-0.69u
May 23, 2017	mlb	Cubs Giants	First5 result	away	2.55	39.4%	0.345	1.11u	Lost	-1.11u
May 22, 2017	mlb	Reds Indians	First5 result	away	2.85	49.3%	0.204	0.55u	Lost	-0.55u
May 22, 2017	mlb	Yankees Royals	First5 result	away	2.88	45.7%	0.325	0.86u	Lost	-0.86u
May 22, 2017	mlb	Phillies Rockies	First5 result	home	2.12	53.0%	0.123	0.39u	Lost	-0.39u
May 21, 2017	mlb	Rays Yankees	First5 result	away	2.60	41.1%	0.322	0.91u	Won	+1.46u
May 21, 2017	mlb	Orioles Blue Jays	First5 result	away	2.88	45.5%	0.335	0.89u	Won	+1.67u
May 20, 2017	mlb	Orioles Blue Jays	First5 result	home	2.11	50.2%	0.058	0.26u	Won	+0.29u
May 20, 2017	mlb	Astros Indians	First5 result	home	3.00	42.5%	0.276	0.69u	Lost	-0.69u
May 20, 2017	mlb	Rays Yankees	First5 result	away	2.58	44.4%	0.228	0.72u	Lost	-0.72u
May 19, 2017	mlb	Athletics Red Sox	First5 result	away	3.20	40.0%	0.667	1.20u	Won	+2.64u
May 19, 2017	mlb	Reds Rockies	First5 result	home	2.58	55.0%	0.420	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
May 18, 2017	mlb	Royals Yankees	First5 result	away	2.88	48.3%	0.241	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
May 18, 2017	mlb	Braves Blue Jays	First5 result	away	2.83	38.8%	0.506	1.20u	Won	+2.20u
May 17, 2017	mlb	Giants Dodgers	First5 result	away	2.62	40.5%	0.352	0.71u	Won	+1.15u
May 17, 2017	mlb	Mariners Athletics	First5 result	home	2.64	51.4%	0.357	1.09u	Won	+1.79u
May 16, 2017	mlb	Tigers Orioles	First5 result	home	2.40	57.5%	0.380	0.64u	Lost	-0.64u
May 16, 2017	mlb	Cubs Reds	First5 result	away	2.73	41.0%	0.402	1.16u	Lost	-1.16u
May 15, 2017	mlb	Giants Dodgers	First5 result	away	2.17	41.1%	0.110	0.47u	Lost	-0.47u
May 15, 2017	mlb	Marlins Astros	First5 result	away	2.88	42.4%	0.435	1.16u	Lost	-1.16u
May 15, 2017	mlb	Diamondbacks Mets	First5 result	away	2.13	41.6%	0.080	0.17u	Won	+0.19u
May 14, 2017	mlb	Rangers Athletics	First5 result	away	2.85	40.7%	0.464	1.20u	Won	+2.22u
May 14, 2017	mlb	Nationals Phillies	First5 result	away	2.95	48.0%	0.274	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
May 13, 2017	mlb	White Sox Padres	First5 result	away	2.60	50.1%	0.068	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
May 12, 2017	mlb	White Sox Padres	First5 result	away	2.36	43.7%	0.137	0.50u	Won	+0.68u
May 12, 2017	mlb	Brewers Mets	First5 result	away	2.13	42.5%	0.056	0.10u	Lost	-0.10u
May 12, 2017	mlb	Rockies Dodgers	First5 result	home	2.85	51.8%	0.476	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
May 11, 2017	mlb	White Sox Twins	First5 result	away	2.42	46.7%	0.087	0.30u	Won	+0.43u
May 11, 2017	mlb	Blue Jays Mariners	First5 result	home	2.23	51.1%	0.141	0.57u	Won	+0.70u
May 11, 2017	mlb	Diamondbacks Pirates	First5 result	away	2.22	38.5%	0.196	0.80u	Lost	-0.80u
May 10, 2017	mlb	Dodgers Pirates	First5 result	away	2.88	44.9%	0.348	0.92u	Lost	-0.92u
May 10, 2017	mlb	Rays Royals	First5 result	away	2.65	43.2%	0.287	0.87u	Lost	-0.87u
May 9, 2017	mlb	Rockies Cubs	First5 result	away	2.80	52.7%	0.324	0.90u	Won	+1.62u
May 9, 2017	mlb	White Sox Twins	First5 result	home	2.45	52.6%	0.289	0.90u	Lost	-0.90u
May 8, 2017	mlb	Padres Rangers	First5 result	away	3.18	53.4%	0.482	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
May 8, 2017	mlb	Mets Giants	First5 result	draw	4.60	0.6%	3.552	1.20u	Won	+4.32u
May 7, 2017	mlb	Cubs Yankees	First5 result	home	2.65	43.9%	0.162	0.49u	Lost	-0.49u
May 6, 2017	mlb	Twins Red Sox	First5 result	home	3.10	45.5%	0.410	0.98u	Lost	-0.98u
May 6, 2017	mlb	Royals Indians	First5 result	away	2.90	45.4%	0.136	0.36u	Lost	-0.36u
May 5, 2017	mlb	Rays Blue Jays	First5 result	home	2.49	44.3%	0.103	0.35u	Won	+0.52u
May 5, 2017	mlb	Padres Dodgers	First5 result	home	2.63	44.8%	0.178	0.55u	Won	+0.90u
May 5, 2017	mlb	Reds Giants	First5 result	home	2.56	46.0%	0.178	0.57u	Won	+0.89u
May 4, 2017	mlb	Cubs Phillies	First5 result	away	3.57	43.9%	0.443	0.86u	Lost	-0.86u
May 3, 2017	mlb	Cubs Phillies	First5 result	home	2.41	45.5%	0.097	0.34u	Lost	-0.34u
May 3, 2017	mlb	Mariners Angels	First5 result	away	3.05	44.0%	0.219	0.53u	Lost	-0.53u
May 3, 2017	mlb	Tigers Indians	First5 result	away	2.73	43.4%	0.116	0.34u	Won	+0.59u
May 2, 2017	mlb	Cubs Phillies	First5 result	away	2.78	44.0%	0.117	0.33u	Lost	-0.33u
May 2, 2017	mlb	Yankees Blue Jays	First5 result	away	3.10	44.7%	0.230	0.55u	Lost	-0.55u
May 2, 2017	mlb	Tigers Indians	First5 result	away	2.95	44.7%	0.164	0.42u	Lost	-0.42u
May 2, 2017	mlb	Twins Athletics	First5 result	away	2.80	45.5%	0.087	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u
May 1, 2017	mlb	Reds Pirates	First5 result	away	3.25	47.4%	0.216	0.48u	Won	+1.08u
May 1, 2017	mlb	Yankees Blue Jays	First5 result	away	3.00	45.5%	0.167	0.42u	Won	+0.84u
Apr 30, 2017	mlb	Nationals Mets	First5 result	away	2.85	46.0%	0.188	0.51u	Lost	-0.51u
Apr 30, 2017	mlb	Cardinals Reds	First5 result	away	2.85	43.6%	0.159	0.43u	Lost	-0.43u
Apr 29, 2017	mlb	Dodgers Phillies	First5 result	away	3.00	44.8%	0.178	0.45u	Won	+0.90u
Apr 29, 2017	mlb	Nationals Mets	First5 result	away	2.60	43.0%	0.065	0.20u	Won	+0.32u
Apr 29, 2017	mlb	Indians Mariners	First5 result	away	2.56	51.3%	0.246	0.79u	Lost	-0.79u
Apr 28, 2017	mlb	Brewers Braves	First5 result	away	2.80	45.4%	0.182	0.51u	Lost	-0.51u
Apr 28, 2017	mlb	Cardinals Reds	First5 result	away	2.70	45.3%	0.057	0.17u	Lost	-0.17u
Apr 28, 2017	mlb	Diamondbacks Rockies	First5 result	away	2.56	53.7%	0.184	0.59u	Won	+0.92u
Apr 27, 2017	mlb	Mets Braves	First5 result	away	2.80	53.4%	0.306	0.85u	Won	+1.53u
Apr 27, 2017	mlb	Cardinals Blue Jays	First5 result	away	2.83	44.2%	0.131	0.18u	Won	+0.33u
Apr 27, 2017	mlb	Cardinals Blue Jays	First5 result	away	2.69	53.1%	0.262	0.77u	Lost	-0.77u
Apr 26, 2017	mlb	Indians Astros	First5 result	home	2.42	45.1%	0.091	0.32u	Won	+0.45u
Apr 26, 2017	mlb	Phillies Marlins	First5 result	home	2.00	54.4%	0.088	0.44u	Won	+0.44u
Mar 30, 2026	mlb	Reds Pirates	First3 result	draw	3.80	7.7%	1.313	1.20u	Won	+3.36u
Mar 30, 2026	mlb	Padres Giants	First3 result	draw	3.80	8.5%	1.217	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Mar 30, 2026	mlb	Phillies Nationals	First3 result	draw	3.80	11.9%	1.267	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Mar 30, 2026	mlb	Royals Twins	First3 result	draw	3.80	17.1%	1.201	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Mar 29, 2026	mlb	Cubs Nationals	First3 result	draw	3.80	12.5%	1.128	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Mar 29, 2026	mlb	Brewers White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	10.8%	1.192	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Mar 29, 2026	mlb	Astros Angels	First3 result	draw	3.80	15.1%	1.184	0.60u	Won	+1.68u
Mar 28, 2026	mlb	Brewers White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	15.3%	1.061	0.60u	Won	+1.68u
Mar 28, 2026	mlb	Mariners Guardians	First3 result	draw	3.80	13.3%	1.087	1.20u	Won	+3.36u
Mar 28, 2026	mlb	Astros Angels	First3 result	draw	3.80	15.8%	1.168	1.20u	Won	+3.36u
Mar 28, 2026	mlb	Giants Yankees	First3 result	draw	3.80	15.8%	1.168	0.60u	Won	+1.68u
Mar 28, 2026	mlb	Padres Tigers	First3 result	draw	3.80	17.1%	1.200	0.60u	Won	+1.68u
Mar 28, 2026	mlb	Dodgers Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	17.1%	1.201	1.20u	Won	+3.36u
Mar 27, 2026	mlb	Mariners Guardians	First3 result	draw	3.80	7.9%	1.262	1.20u	Won	+3.36u
Mar 27, 2026	mlb	Padres Tigers	First3 result	draw	3.80	10.3%	1.179	0.60u	Won	+1.68u
Mar 27, 2026	mlb	Braves Royals	First3 result	draw	3.80	17.1%	1.200	1.20u	Won	+3.36u
Mar 26, 2026	mlb	Astros Angels	First3 result	draw	3.80	12.0%	1.119	1.20u	Won	+3.36u
Mar 26, 2026	mlb	Padres Tigers	First3 result	draw	3.80	12.7%	1.100	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.