Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 11:24 AM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
Apr 10, 2025	mlb	Rockies Brewers	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.7%	0.085	0.15u	Lost	-0.15u
Apr 10, 2025	mlb	Red Sox Blue Jays	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.5%	0.096	0.17u	Won	+0.48u
Apr 10, 2025	mlb	Braves Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.5%	0.100	0.18u	Won	+0.50u
Apr 10, 2025	mlb	Guardians White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.7%	0.082	0.15u	Lost	-0.15u
Apr 10, 2025	mlb	Rays Angels	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.6%	0.089	0.16u	Lost	-0.16u
Apr 9, 2025	mlb	Rays Angels	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.3%	0.111	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
Apr 9, 2025	mlb	Giants Reds	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.0%	0.130	0.23u	Lost	-0.23u
Apr 9, 2025	mlb	Red Sox Blue Jays	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.3%	0.112	0.20u	Won	+0.56u
Apr 9, 2025	mlb	Tigers Yankees	First3 result	draw	3.80	41.3%	0.133	0.24u	Won	+0.67u
Apr 9, 2025	mlb	Braves Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.0%	0.134	0.24u	Won	+0.67u
Apr 9, 2025	mlb	Guardians White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.1%	0.125	0.22u	Lost	-0.22u
Apr 8, 2025	mlb	Mariners Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.2%	0.121	0.22u	Won	+0.62u
Apr 8, 2025	mlb	Mets Marlins	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.2%	0.118	0.21u	Won	+0.59u
Apr 8, 2025	mlb	Nationals Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.1%	0.125	0.22u	Lost	-0.22u
Apr 8, 2025	mlb	Guardians White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	53.5%	0.509	0.91u	Won	+2.55u
Apr 8, 2025	mlb	Rays Angels	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.0%	0.127	0.23u	Lost	-0.23u
Apr 7, 2025	mlb	Giants Reds	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.2%	0.119	0.21u	Won	+0.59u
Apr 7, 2025	mlb	Royals Twins	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.3%	0.112	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
Apr 7, 2025	mlb	Red Sox Blue Jays	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.3%	0.110	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
Apr 7, 2025	mlb	Mets Marlins	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.5%	0.095	0.12u	Lost	-0.12u
Apr 7, 2025	mlb	Nationals Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	54.0%	0.489	0.87u	Lost	-0.87u
Apr 7, 2025	mlb	Diamondbacks Orioles	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.3%	0.113	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
Apr 6, 2025	mlb	Nationals Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.1%	0.126	0.22u	Lost	-0.22u
Apr 6, 2025	mlb	Pirates Yankees	First3 result	draw	3.80	41.2%	0.138	0.25u	Lost	-0.25u
Apr 6, 2025	mlb	Tigers White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	41.4%	0.124	0.22u	Lost	-0.22u
Apr 6, 2025	mlb	Twins Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	55.1%	0.441	0.79u	Lost	-0.79u
Apr 6, 2025	mlb	Red Sox Cardinals	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.1%	0.127	0.23u	Lost	-0.23u
Apr 5, 2025	mlb	Rockies Athletics	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.2%	0.117	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
Apr 5, 2025	mlb	Twins Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.3%	0.111	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
Apr 5, 2025	mlb	Mets Blue Jays	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.8%	0.142	0.25u	Won	+0.70u
Apr 5, 2025	mlb	Phillies Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.1%	0.125	0.22u	Lost	-0.22u
Apr 5, 2025	mlb	Giants Mariners	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.3%	0.110	0.20u	Won	+0.56u
Apr 5, 2025	mlb	Nationals Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.3%	0.108	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
Apr 4, 2025	mlb	Red Sox Cardinals	First3 result	draw	3.80	53.8%	0.500	0.89u	Lost	-0.89u
Apr 4, 2025	mlb	Nationals Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	55.3%	0.434	0.77u	Lost	-0.77u
Apr 4, 2025	mlb	Mets Blue Jays	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.9%	0.138	0.14u	Lost	-0.14u
Apr 3, 2025	mlb	Brewers Reds	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.7%	0.082	0.15u	Won	+0.42u
Apr 3, 2025	mlb	Phillies Rockies	First3 result	draw	3.80	55.1%	0.443	0.79u	Won	+2.21u
Apr 3, 2025	mlb	Orioles Red Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.5%	0.100	0.18u	Lost	-0.18u
Apr 3, 2025	mlb	Yankees Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.7%	0.084	0.15u	Lost	-0.15u
Apr 3, 2025	mlb	Twins Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.6%	0.087	0.15u	Won	+0.42u
Apr 2, 2025	mlb	Brewers Royals	First3 result	draw	3.80	53.7%	0.500	0.89u	Won	+2.49u
Apr 2, 2025	mlb	Reds Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	53.6%	0.507	0.90u	Won	+2.52u
Apr 1, 2025	mlb	Yankees Diamondbacks	First3 result	home	2.40	45.2%	0.086	0.31u	Lost	-0.31u
Apr 1, 2025	mlb	Athletics Cubs	First3 result	away	2.05	19.7%	0.118	0.56u	Won	+0.59u
Apr 1, 2025	mlb	Rays Pirates	First3 result	home	2.15	70.9%	0.524	1.20u	Won	+1.38u
Mar 31, 2025	mlb	Cardinals Angels	First3 result	draw	3.80	64.7%	0.342	0.61u	Lost	-0.61u
Mar 31, 2025	mlb	Athletics Cubs	First3 result	home	2.60	45.3%	0.177	0.48u	Lost	-0.48u
Mar 31, 2025	mlb	Dodgers Braves	First3 result	home	2.60	47.2%	0.228	0.71u	Won	+1.14u
Mar 30, 2025	mlb	Yankees Brewers	First3 result	home	2.05	52.6%	0.079	0.38u	Won	+0.40u
Mar 30, 2025	mlb	Marlins Pirates	First3 result	draw	3.80	65.5%	0.309	0.55u	Won	+1.54u
Mar 30, 2025	mlb	Yankees Brewers	First3 result	draw	3.80	53.5%	0.186	0.33u	Lost	-0.33u
Mar 30, 2025	mlb	Reds Giants	First3 result	away	2.50	20.9%	0.289	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Mar 30, 2025	mlb	Blue Jays Orioles	First3 result	home	2.10	71.8%	0.508	1.20u	Won	+1.32u
Mar 29, 2025	mlb	Rangers Red Sox	First3 result	home	2.35	47.3%	0.112	0.42u	Won	+0.57u
Mar 29, 2025	mlb	Diamondbacks Cubs	First3 result	away	2.65	34.8%	0.263	0.80u	Lost	-0.80u
Mar 29, 2025	mlb	White Sox Angels	First3 result	home	2.30	53.6%	0.232	0.89u	Lost	-0.89u
Mar 28, 2025	mlb	Rays Rockies	First3 result	away	2.25	34.4%	0.063	0.25u	Won	+0.31u
Mar 28, 2025	mlb	Astros Mets	First3 result	draw	3.80	53.6%	0.183	0.33u	Lost	-0.33u
Mar 27, 2025	mlb	Dodgers Tigers	First3 result	home	2.40	65.5%	0.572	1.20u	Won	+1.68u
Mar 27, 2025	mlb	Cardinals Twins	First3 result	draw	3.80	53.6%	0.182	0.33u	Lost	-0.33u
Mar 27, 2025	mlb	Dodgers Tigers	First3 result	draw	3.80	48.7%	0.262	0.32u	Lost	-0.32u
Mar 27, 2025	mlb	Diamondbacks Cubs	First3 result	draw	3.80	48.5%	0.276	0.49u	Lost	-0.49u
Mar 27, 2025	mlb	Padres Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	59.1%	0.555	0.99u	Won	+2.77u
Mar 19, 2025	mlb	Cubs Dodgers	First3 result	home	2.25	47.7%	0.072	0.29u	Lost	-0.29u
Mar 19, 2025	mlb	Cubs Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	41.8%	0.082	0.15u	Lost	-0.15u
Oct 17, 2024	mlb	Guardians Yankees	First3 result	home	2.15	52.9%	0.138	0.60u	Won	+0.69u
Oct 15, 2024	mlb	Yankees Guardians	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.4%	0.264	0.47u	Lost	-0.47u
Oct 14, 2024	mlb	Dodgers Mets	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.3%	0.266	0.47u	Lost	-0.47u
Oct 14, 2024	mlb	Yankees Guardians	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.3%	0.268	0.48u	Lost	-0.48u
Oct 13, 2024	mlb	Dodgers Mets	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.5%	0.273	0.49u	Lost	-0.49u
Oct 12, 2024	mlb	Guardians Tigers	First3 result	draw	3.80	32.5%	0.304	0.54u	Won	+1.51u
Oct 11, 2024	mlb	Dodgers Padres	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.1%	0.251	0.45u	Lost	-0.45u
Oct 10, 2024	mlb	Royals Yankees	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.4%	0.265	0.47u	Lost	-0.47u
Oct 10, 2024	mlb	Tigers Guardians	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.3%	0.267	0.48u	Won	+1.34u
Oct 9, 2024	mlb	Mets Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.2%	0.269	0.48u	Won	+1.34u
Oct 9, 2024	mlb	Padres Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.4%	0.259	0.46u	Lost	-0.46u
Oct 9, 2024	mlb	Royals Yankees	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.4%	0.263	0.47u	Won	+1.32u
Oct 9, 2024	mlb	Tigers Guardians	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.2%	0.256	0.39u	Lost	-0.39u
Oct 8, 2024	mlb	Padres Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.5%	0.264	0.47u	Lost	-0.47u
Oct 8, 2024	mlb	Mets Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.2%	0.257	0.46u	Lost	-0.46u
Oct 7, 2024	mlb	Yankees Royals	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.4%	0.263	0.47u	Lost	-0.47u
Oct 7, 2024	mlb	Guardians Tigers	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.7%	0.254	0.45u	Won	+1.26u
Oct 6, 2024	mlb	Phillies Mets	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.4%	0.263	0.47u	Lost	-0.47u
Oct 6, 2024	mlb	Dodgers Padres	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.4%	0.264	0.47u	Lost	-0.47u
Oct 5, 2024	mlb	Dodgers Padres	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.3%	0.267	0.48u	Lost	-0.48u
Oct 5, 2024	mlb	Yankees Royals	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.3%	0.266	0.47u	Lost	-0.47u
Oct 5, 2024	mlb	Guardians Tigers	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.4%	0.260	0.38u	Lost	-0.38u
Oct 5, 2024	mlb	Phillies Mets	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.4%	0.265	0.47u	Lost	-0.47u
Oct 3, 2024	mlb	Brewers Mets	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.6%	0.256	0.46u	Won	+1.29u
Oct 2, 2024	mlb	Brewers Mets	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.3%	0.265	0.47u	Lost	-0.47u
Oct 2, 2024	mlb	Padres Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.5%	0.265	0.47u	Lost	-0.47u
Oct 2, 2024	mlb	Astros Tigers	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.5%	0.264	0.47u	Won	+1.32u
Oct 2, 2024	mlb	Orioles Royals	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.5%	0.262	0.39u	Lost	-0.39u
Oct 1, 2024	mlb	Padres Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	27.4%	0.103	0.18u	Lost	-0.18u
Oct 1, 2024	mlb	Astros Tigers	First3 result	draw	3.80	25.9%	0.204	0.36u	Lost	-0.36u
Oct 1, 2024	mlb	Orioles Royals	First3 result	draw	3.80	26.1%	0.190	0.34u	Won	+0.95u
Sep 30, 2024	mlb	Braves Mets	First3 result	away	2.30	28.9%	0.053	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
Sep 30, 2024	mlb	Braves Mets	First3 result	away	3.40	26.6%	0.461	0.96u	Lost	-0.96u
Sep 29, 2024	mlb	Twins Orioles	First3 result	away	2.75	28.8%	0.257	0.73u	Lost	-0.73u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.