Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 11:24 AM EDT

Reset

Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
May 14, 2025	mlb	Guardians Brewers	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.6%	0.127	0.23u	Won	+0.64u
May 14, 2025	mlb	Braves Nationals	First3 result	draw	3.80	14.6%	0.585	1.04u	Lost	-1.04u
May 14, 2025	mlb	Phillies Cardinals	First3 result	draw	3.80	32.0%	0.258	0.46u	Won	+1.29u
May 13, 2025	mlb	Braves Nationals	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.1%	0.212	0.38u	Lost	-0.38u
May 13, 2025	mlb	Rangers Rockies	First3 result	draw	3.80	41.1%	0.077	0.14u	Lost	-0.14u
May 13, 2025	mlb	Cubs Marlins	First3 result	away	3.15	45.0%	0.051	0.12u	Lost	-0.12u
May 12, 2025	mlb	Padres Angels	First3 result	away	3.10	47.2%	0.078	0.18u	Lost	-0.18u
May 12, 2025	mlb	Guardians Brewers	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.3%	0.204	0.36u	Won	+1.01u
May 12, 2025	mlb	Phillies Cardinals	First3 result	away	3.05	46.5%	0.054	0.13u	Lost	-0.13u
May 12, 2025	mlb	Rangers Rockies	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.3%	0.195	0.35u	Lost	-0.35u
May 11, 2025	mlb	Nationals Cardinals	First3 result	home	2.90	43.8%	0.271	0.71u	Lost	-0.71u
May 11, 2025	mlb	Royals Red Sox	First3 result	home	3.50	43.3%	0.515	1.03u	Won	+2.58u
May 10, 2025	mlb	Rays Brewers	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.7%	0.103	0.18u	Lost	-0.18u
May 10, 2025	mlb	Mets Cubs	First3 result	home	3.05	43.4%	0.325	0.79u	Lost	-0.79u
May 10, 2025	mlb	Royals Red Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.5%	0.116	0.21u	Won	+0.59u
May 10, 2025	mlb	White Sox Marlins	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.6%	0.113	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
May 9, 2025	mlb	Rays Brewers	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.1%	0.144	0.26u	Won	+0.73u
May 9, 2025	mlb	Nationals Cardinals	First3 result	home	2.30	45.9%	0.057	0.22u	Lost	-0.22u
May 9, 2025	mlb	Angels Orioles	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.8%	0.101	0.18u	Lost	-0.18u
May 9, 2025	mlb	Diamondbacks Dodgers	First3 result	home	2.60	44.6%	0.160	0.50u	Lost	-0.50u
May 8, 2025	mlb	Twins Orioles	First3 result	home	2.75	45.5%	0.252	0.72u	Lost	-0.72u
May 8, 2025	mlb	Rockies Tigers	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.9%	0.162	0.29u	Lost	-0.29u
May 8, 2025	mlb	Diamondbacks Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.7%	0.108	0.19u	Won	+0.53u
May 7, 2025	mlb	Athletics Mariners	First3 result	home	2.40	49.1%	0.179	0.64u	Won	+0.90u
May 7, 2025	mlb	Cardinals Pirates	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.6%	0.113	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
May 7, 2025	mlb	Nationals Guardians	First3 result	home	2.85	44.5%	0.268	0.72u	Won	+1.33u
May 7, 2025	mlb	Yankees Padres	First3 result	draw	3.80	41.1%	0.080	0.14u	Won	+0.39u
May 6, 2025	mlb	Yankees Padres	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.9%	0.095	0.17u	Won	+0.48u
May 6, 2025	mlb	Nationals Guardians	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.6%	0.112	0.20u	Won	+0.56u
May 6, 2025	mlb	Twins Orioles	First3 result	home	3.05	43.8%	0.336	0.82u	Won	+1.68u
May 5, 2025	mlb	Yankees Padres	First3 result	home	2.85	45.2%	0.288	0.78u	Won	+1.44u
May 4, 2025	mlb	Brewers Cubs	First3 result	away	4.15	42.9%	0.319	0.51u	Lost	-0.51u
May 4, 2025	mlb	Pirates Padres	First3 result	home	2.55	41.7%	0.063	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
May 4, 2025	mlb	Red Sox Twins	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.4%	0.129	0.23u	Lost	-0.23u
May 4, 2025	mlb	Giants Rockies	First3 result	draw	3.80	35.0%	0.487	0.87u	Lost	-0.87u
May 3, 2025	mlb	Phillies Diamondbacks	First3 result	home	2.65	42.6%	0.128	0.39u	Won	+0.64u
May 3, 2025	mlb	Braves Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	41.0%	0.087	0.16u	Lost	-0.16u
May 3, 2025	mlb	Brewers Cubs	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.9%	0.093	0.17u	Won	+0.48u
May 3, 2025	mlb	Red Sox Twins	First3 result	home	2.95	45.8%	0.352	0.90u	Won	+1.76u
May 2, 2025	mlb	Pirates Padres	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.1%	0.207	0.37u	Lost	-0.37u
May 2, 2025	mlb	Yankees Rays	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.6%	0.182	0.32u	Won	+0.90u
May 2, 2025	mlb	Giants Rockies	First3 result	home	3.00	43.1%	0.292	0.73u	Won	+1.46u
May 2, 2025	mlb	Angels Tigers	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.8%	0.166	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
May 1, 2025	mlb	Angels Tigers	First3 result	home	2.40	44.3%	0.063	0.23u	Won	+0.32u
Apr 30, 2025	mlb	Guardians Twins	First3 result	draw	3.80	36.4%	0.397	0.71u	Won	+1.99u
Apr 30, 2025	mlb	Astros Tigers	First3 result	home	3.20	43.0%	0.378	0.86u	Lost	-0.86u
Apr 30, 2025	mlb	Phillies Nationals	First3 result	home	2.45	46.3%	0.134	0.23u	Won	+0.33u
Apr 29, 2025	mlb	Blue Jays Red Sox	First3 result	away	2.60	37.3%	0.336	1.05u	Won	+1.68u
Apr 29, 2025	mlb	Padres Giants	First3 result	home	3.10	43.0%	0.333	0.75u	Won	+1.58u
Apr 28, 2025	mlb	Rangers Athletics	First3 result	home	2.45	71.3%	0.748	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 28, 2025	mlb	Reds Cardinals	First3 result	away	3.35	44.0%	0.454	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 27, 2025	mlb	Yankees Blue Jays	First3 result	draw	3.80	42.8%	0.706	0.60u	Won	+1.68u
Apr 27, 2025	mlb	Padres Rays	First3 result	away	3.50	39.3%	0.871	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 26, 2025	mlb	Mariners Marlins	First3 result	away	3.10	44.2%	0.359	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 26, 2025	mlb	Dodgers Pirates	First3 result	home	2.60	64.5%	0.676	1.20u	Won	+1.92u
Apr 25, 2025	mlb	Twins Angels	First3 result	away	3.50	43.9%	0.526	1.05u	Lost	-1.05u
Apr 25, 2025	mlb	Cardinals Brewers	First3 result	away	3.00	45.1%	0.328	0.75u	Lost	-0.75u
Apr 24, 2025	mlb	Giants Brewers	First3 result	draw	3.80	55.9%	0.102	0.18u	Won	+0.50u
Apr 24, 2025	mlb	Twins White Sox	First3 result	away	2.85	43.4%	0.231	0.62u	Won	+1.15u
Apr 23, 2025	mlb	Marlins Reds	First3 result	home	2.20	59.7%	0.313	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 22, 2025	mlb	Marlins Reds	First3 result	away	3.05	37.8%	0.598	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 22, 2025	mlb	Mets Phillies	First3 result	away	3.10	42.4%	0.308	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 21, 2025	mlb	Mets Phillies	First3 result	home	2.00	61.0%	0.221	1.10u	Won	+1.10u
Apr 20, 2025	mlb	Red Sox White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	62.2%	0.438	0.72u	Lost	-0.72u
Apr 20, 2025	mlb	Brewers Athletics	First3 result	away	3.55	44.4%	0.553	1.08u	Lost	-1.08u
Apr 19, 2025	mlb	Pirates Guardians	First3 result	away	2.85	43.0%	0.217	0.59u	Won	+1.09u
Apr 19, 2025	mlb	Blue Jays Mariners	First3 result	home	2.20	52.5%	0.155	0.57u	Won	+0.68u
Apr 19, 2025	mlb	Brewers Athletics	First3 result	draw	3.80	50.3%	0.359	0.64u	Lost	-0.64u
Apr 18, 2025	mlb	Red Sox White Sox	First3 result	away	2.95	44.2%	0.290	0.74u	Lost	-0.74u
Apr 18, 2025	mlb	Braves Twins	First3 result	away	2.95	42.8%	0.267	0.68u	Won	+1.33u
Apr 18, 2025	mlb	Rays Yankees	First3 result	draw	3.80	56.6%	0.074	0.13u	Lost	-0.13u
Apr 17, 2025	mlb	Orioles Guardians	First3 result	home	2.15	60.5%	0.302	1.20u	Won	+1.38u
Apr 16, 2025	mlb	Marlins Diamondbacks	First3 result	away	3.60	40.9%	0.486	0.93u	Won	+2.42u
Apr 16, 2025	mlb	Twins Mets	First3 result	home	2.05	58.3%	0.195	0.87u	Lost	-0.87u
Apr 15, 2025	mlb	Brewers Tigers	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.3%	0.112	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
Apr 15, 2025	mlb	Pirates Nationals	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.3%	0.111	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
Apr 15, 2025	mlb	Phillies Giants	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.0%	0.131	0.23u	Lost	-0.23u
Apr 15, 2025	mlb	Yankees Royals	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.1%	0.121	0.22u	Lost	-0.22u
Apr 15, 2025	mlb	Blue Jays Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.2%	0.120	0.21u	Won	+0.59u
Apr 15, 2025	mlb	Marlins Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.3%	0.109	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
Apr 14, 2025	mlb	Padres Cubs	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.4%	0.105	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
Apr 14, 2025	mlb	Twins Mets	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.3%	0.112	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
Apr 14, 2025	mlb	Brewers Tigers	First3 result	away	3.85	40.4%	0.177	0.31u	Won	+0.88u
Apr 14, 2025	mlb	Pirates Nationals	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.4%	0.105	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
Apr 14, 2025	mlb	Yankees Royals	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.2%	0.120	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
Apr 14, 2025	mlb	Dodgers Rockies	First3 result	draw	3.80	41.6%	0.113	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
Apr 13, 2025	mlb	Cardinals Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	54.4%	0.470	0.84u	Won	+2.35u
Apr 13, 2025	mlb	Reds Pirates	First3 result	draw	3.80	54.0%	0.491	0.88u	Lost	-0.88u
Apr 12, 2025	mlb	Rays Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.1%	0.126	0.23u	Lost	-0.23u
Apr 12, 2025	mlb	Yankees Giants	First3 result	draw	3.80	53.5%	0.513	0.92u	Won	+2.58u
Apr 12, 2025	mlb	Padres Rockies	First3 result	draw	3.80	41.5%	0.123	0.22u	Lost	-0.22u
Apr 12, 2025	mlb	Mariners Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.2%	0.118	0.13u	Lost	-0.13u
Apr 12, 2025	mlb	Diamondbacks Brewers	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.7%	0.170	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
Apr 11, 2025	mlb	Mariners Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.9%	0.139	0.25u	Lost	-0.25u
Apr 11, 2025	mlb	Cardinals Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.3%	0.110	0.20u	Won	+0.56u
Apr 11, 2025	mlb	White Sox Red Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.0%	0.128	0.23u	Lost	-0.23u
Apr 11, 2025	mlb	Marlins Nationals	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.6%	0.160	0.29u	Won	+0.81u
Apr 11, 2025	mlb	Reds Pirates	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.3%	0.109	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
Apr 11, 2025	mlb	Rays Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.3%	0.108	0.19u	Won	+0.53u
Apr 10, 2025	mlb	Royals Twins	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.6%	0.093	0.17u	Won	+0.48u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.