Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 11:24 AM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
May 28, 2024	mlb	Twins Royals	First3 result	draw	3.80	65.5%	0.313	0.56u	Lost	-0.56u
May 27, 2024	mlb	Rockies Guardians	First3 result	home	2.75	52.7%	0.448	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
May 27, 2024	mlb	White Sox Blue Jays	First3 result	away	2.80	37.5%	0.191	0.53u	Won	+0.95u
May 26, 2024	mlb	Cardinals Cubs	First3 result	home	2.05	65.5%	0.343	0.60u	Won	+0.63u
May 26, 2024	mlb	Pirates Braves	First3 result	home	2.75	52.5%	0.444	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
May 25, 2024	mlb	Pirates Braves	First3 result	home	2.50	43.5%	0.087	0.22u	Won	+0.33u
May 25, 2024	mlb	Twins Rangers	First3 result	home	3.20	37.5%	0.202	0.46u	Won	+1.01u
May 25, 2024	mlb	Tigers Blue Jays	First3 result	draw	3.80	65.4%	0.315	0.56u	Lost	-0.56u
May 25, 2024	mlb	Diamondbacks Marlins	First3 result	draw	3.80	65.4%	0.315	0.56u	Lost	-0.56u
May 24, 2024	mlb	Tigers Blue Jays	First3 result	home	3.10	37.4%	0.161	0.38u	Won	+0.80u
May 24, 2024	mlb	Mets Giants	First3 result	home	2.80	43.5%	0.219	0.61u	Lost	-0.61u
May 24, 2024	mlb	Diamondbacks Marlins	First3 result	home	2.55	43.5%	0.109	0.35u	Lost	-0.35u
May 24, 2024	mlb	Pirates Braves	First3 result	home	2.00	52.7%	0.054	0.23u	Won	+0.23u
May 24, 2024	mlb	Rockies Phillies	First3 result	home	2.45	43.6%	0.068	0.23u	Lost	-0.23u
May 23, 2024	mlb	Pirates Giants	First3 result	home	3.00	43.6%	0.308	0.77u	Won	+1.54u
May 23, 2024	mlb	White Sox Orioles	First3 result	away	2.70	37.5%	0.149	0.44u	Lost	-0.44u
May 22, 2024	mlb	Rays Red Sox	First3 result	away	3.70	43.5%	0.233	0.43u	Lost	-0.43u
May 22, 2024	mlb	Dodgers Diamondbacks	First3 result	home	2.10	65.3%	0.372	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
May 21, 2024	mlb	Reds Padres	First3 result	home	2.40	65.5%	0.571	1.20u	Won	+1.68u
May 21, 2024	mlb	Guardians Mets	First3 result	home	2.50	43.7%	0.092	0.31u	Won	+0.47u
May 20, 2024	mlb	Marlins Brewers	First3 result	away	2.90	37.5%	0.234	0.62u	Lost	-0.62u
May 20, 2024	mlb	Nationals Twins	First3 result	home	2.30	52.6%	0.210	0.42u	Won	+0.55u
May 20, 2024	mlb	Braves Padres	First3 result	away	3.10	37.5%	0.318	0.76u	Lost	-0.76u
May 19, 2024	mlb	Cardinals Red Sox	First3 result	away	2.05	12.6%	0.654	1.20u	Won	+1.26u
May 19, 2024	mlb	Braves Padres	First3 result	away	3.00	37.6%	0.275	0.60u	Won	+1.20u
May 18, 2024	mlb	Dodgers Reds	First3 result	away	2.55	37.5%	0.085	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
May 18, 2024	mlb	Diamondbacks Tigers	First3 result	away	2.75	37.5%	0.170	0.49u	Lost	-0.49u
May 18, 2024	mlb	Yankees White Sox	First3 result	away	3.40	43.6%	0.132	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
May 17, 2024	mlb	Yankees White Sox	First3 result	away	3.35	43.9%	0.111	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u
May 17, 2024	mlb	Dodgers Reds	First3 result	draw	3.80	65.5%	0.313	0.56u	Lost	-0.56u
May 17, 2024	mlb	Royals Athletics	First3 result	away	2.65	37.5%	0.127	0.38u	Lost	-0.38u
May 17, 2024	mlb	Cubs Pirates	First3 result	away	2.80	37.5%	0.192	0.53u	Won	+0.95u
May 16, 2024	mlb	Dodgers Reds	First3 result	away	3.50	37.5%	0.490	0.98u	Won	+2.45u
May 15, 2024	mlb	Brewers Pirates	First3 result	home	2.05	52.5%	0.076	0.36u	Won	+0.38u
May 15, 2024	mlb	Rangers Guardians	First3 result	draw	3.80	65.5%	0.311	0.56u	Won	+1.57u
May 14, 2024	mlb	Tigers Marlins	First3 result	draw	3.80	45.8%	0.363	0.65u	Won	+1.82u
May 14, 2024	mlb	Red Sox Rays	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.3%	0.146	0.26u	Lost	-0.26u
May 14, 2024	mlb	White Sox Nationals	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.1%	0.348	0.62u	Lost	-0.62u
May 14, 2024	mlb	White Sox Nationals	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.3%	0.146	0.26u	Lost	-0.26u
May 13, 2024	mlb	Rangers Guardians	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.1%	0.349	0.62u	Won	+1.74u
May 13, 2024	mlb	Diamondbacks Reds	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.1%	0.348	0.62u	Lost	-0.62u
May 13, 2024	mlb	Giants Dodgers	First3 result	home	2.85	47.1%	0.341	0.56u	Won	+1.04u
May 12, 2024	mlb	Orioles Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	45.8%	0.361	0.63u	Won	+1.76u
May 12, 2024	mlb	Blue Jays Twins	First3 result	draw	3.80	56.4%	0.655	1.17u	Won	+3.28u
May 11, 2024	mlb	White Sox Guardians	First3 result	draw	3.80	45.8%	0.366	0.65u	Lost	-0.65u
May 11, 2024	mlb	Brewers Cardinals	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.1%	0.349	0.62u	Lost	-0.62u
May 11, 2024	mlb	Tigers Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.1%	0.348	0.53u	Lost	-0.53u
May 10, 2024	mlb	Red Sox Nationals	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.2%	0.148	0.26u	Lost	-0.26u
May 10, 2024	mlb	Giants Reds	First3 result	draw	3.80	55.8%	0.679	1.20u	Won	+3.36u
May 10, 2024	mlb	White Sox Guardians	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.3%	0.146	0.26u	Won	+0.73u
May 9, 2024	mlb	Reds Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.1%	0.158	0.28u	Lost	-0.28u
May 9, 2024	mlb	White Sox Guardians	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.3%	0.142	0.11u	Lost	-0.11u
May 9, 2024	mlb	Yankees Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.3%	0.146	0.26u	Lost	-0.26u
May 9, 2024	mlb	Angels Royals	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.1%	0.157	0.28u	Lost	-0.28u
May 9, 2024	mlb	Rockies Giants	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.4%	0.143	0.25u	Won	+0.70u
May 9, 2024	mlb	Brewers Cardinals	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.1%	0.348	0.62u	Lost	-0.62u
May 8, 2024	mlb	Nationals Orioles	First3 result	away	3.15	26.1%	0.740	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
May 8, 2024	mlb	Royals Brewers	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.0%	0.355	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
May 7, 2024	mlb	Cardinals Mets	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.1%	0.349	0.53u	Lost	-0.53u
May 7, 2024	mlb	Braves Red Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.0%	0.354	0.63u	Lost	-0.63u
May 7, 2024	mlb	Reds Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	45.9%	0.360	0.64u	Lost	-0.64u
May 6, 2024	mlb	Phillies Giants	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.0%	0.162	0.29u	Won	+0.81u
May 6, 2024	mlb	Pirates Angels	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.2%	0.342	0.61u	Lost	-0.61u
May 6, 2024	mlb	Rays White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.1%	0.154	0.28u	Lost	-0.28u
May 6, 2024	mlb	Guardians Tigers	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.8%	0.171	0.31u	Won	+0.87u
May 6, 2024	mlb	Twins Mariners	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.1%	0.157	0.28u	Won	+0.78u
May 5, 2024	mlb	Pirates Rockies	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.1%	0.349	0.62u	Lost	-0.62u
May 5, 2024	mlb	Rays Mets	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.4%	0.332	0.57u	Lost	-0.57u
May 5, 2024	mlb	Royals Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.2%	0.343	0.61u	Lost	-0.61u
May 4, 2024	mlb	Dodgers Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.2%	0.343	0.56u	Lost	-0.56u
May 4, 2024	mlb	Cardinals White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.1%	0.348	0.62u	Lost	-0.62u
May 4, 2024	mlb	Diamondbacks Padres	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.1%	0.348	0.62u	Lost	-0.62u
May 3, 2024	mlb	Cardinals White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.1%	0.348	0.62u	Lost	-0.62u
May 3, 2024	mlb	Yankees Tigers	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.0%	0.355	0.63u	Won	+1.76u
May 3, 2024	mlb	Cubs Brewers	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.1%	0.348	0.55u	Won	+1.54u
May 2, 2024	mlb	Astros Guardians	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.2%	0.346	0.62u	Lost	-0.62u
May 2, 2024	mlb	Marlins Rockies	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.0%	0.166	0.30u	Won	+0.84u
May 2, 2024	mlb	Orioles Yankees	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.3%	0.146	0.26u	Won	+0.73u
May 2, 2024	mlb	Red Sox Giants	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.5%	0.131	0.23u	Won	+0.64u
May 2, 2024	mlb	Rangers Nationals	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.1%	0.096	0.11u	Lost	-0.11u
May 2, 2024	mlb	Mets Cubs	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.1%	0.159	0.28u	Lost	-0.28u
May 1, 2024	mlb	Padres Reds	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.2%	0.346	0.56u	Lost	-0.56u
May 1, 2024	mlb	Athletics Pirates	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.1%	0.348	0.62u	Lost	-0.62u
May 1, 2024	mlb	Red Sox Giants	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.1%	0.348	0.62u	Lost	-0.62u
Apr 30, 2024	mlb	Athletics Pirates	First3 result	away	2.40	30.0%	0.189	0.67u	Lost	-0.67u
Apr 30, 2024	mlb	Tigers Cardinals	First3 result	away	2.35	32.5%	0.123	0.45u	Lost	-0.45u
Apr 29, 2024	mlb	Mets Cubs	First3 result	away	2.30	31.8%	0.110	0.42u	Lost	-0.42u
Apr 29, 2024	mlb	Brewers Rays	First3 result	away	2.40	34.3%	0.115	0.41u	Won	+0.57u
Apr 28, 2024	mlb	Marlins Nationals	First3 result	away	2.30	33.5%	0.083	0.32u	Lost	-0.32u
Apr 28, 2024	mlb	Mariners Diamondbacks	First3 result	away	2.35	29.4%	0.174	0.64u	Lost	-0.64u
Apr 27, 2024	mlb	Angels Twins	First3 result	away	2.30	30.9%	0.124	0.36u	Won	+0.47u
Apr 27, 2024	mlb	Rockies Astros	First3 result	home	2.80	43.9%	0.230	0.64u	Lost	-0.64u
Apr 27, 2024	mlb	Marlins Nationals	First3 result	away	2.70	33.3%	0.274	0.80u	Lost	-0.80u
Apr 26, 2024	mlb	Marlins Nationals	First3 result	home	2.70	44.7%	0.206	0.61u	Won	+1.04u
Apr 25, 2024	mlb	Nationals Dodgers	First3 result	away	2.80	32.9%	0.328	0.91u	Won	+1.64u
Apr 25, 2024	mlb	Twins White Sox	First3 result	home	2.55	42.1%	0.075	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u
Apr 24, 2024	mlb	Rangers Mariners	First3 result	away	2.80	37.0%	0.147	0.41u	Won	+0.74u
Apr 23, 2024	mlb	Twins White Sox	First3 result	away	3.10	31.1%	0.512	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 23, 2024	mlb	Cubs Astros	First3 result	away	3.30	30.3%	0.627	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 22, 2024	mlb	Reds Phillies	First3 result	away	3.10	33.5%	0.460	0.60u	Won	+1.26u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.