Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 2, 2026 10:47 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2021 | mlb |
Dodgers
Rockies
|
Home win | away | 3.22 | 49.9% | 0.615 | 1.20u | Won | +2.66u |
| Aug 27, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Astros
|
Home win | away | 3.16 | 49.6% | 0.593 | 0.60u | Won | +1.30u |
| Aug 26, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Angels
|
Home win | away | 2.44 | 49.2% | 0.240 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 26, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Reds
|
Home win | away | 3.25 | 49.7% | 0.635 | 1.20u | Won | +2.70u |
| Aug 26, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 37.5% | 0.375 | 0.60u | Won | +0.72u |
| Aug 26, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Dodgers
|
Home cover | home | 2.42 | 66.7% | 0.613 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 25, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Angels
|
Home cover | home | 2.32 | 68.4% | 0.587 | 1.20u | Won | +1.58u |
| Aug 25, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 47.5% | 0.202 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 25, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Rockies
|
Home win | away | 2.69 | 49.6% | 0.356 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 25, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Rays
|
Home win | away | 3.09 | 49.0% | 0.575 | 1.20u | Won | +2.51u |
| Aug 24, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Yankees
|
Home win | away | 2.75 | 36.4% | 0.750 | 1.20u | Won | +2.10u |
| Aug 24, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Angels
|
Home win | away | 2.52 | 36.4% | 0.604 | 0.60u | Won | +0.91u |
| Aug 24, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.56 | 48.5% | 0.319 | 1.02u | Lost | -1.02u |
| Aug 24, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 47.0% | 0.299 | 0.78u | Won | +1.13u |
| Aug 23, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 48.6% | 0.202 | 0.75u | Lost | -0.75u |
| Aug 23, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.10 | 44.6% | 0.163 | 0.74u | Won | +0.81u |
| Aug 22, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 48.1% | 0.241 | 0.87u | Lost | -0.87u |
| Aug 22, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | away | 2.83 | 48.6% | 0.455 | 0.60u | Won | +1.10u |
| Aug 22, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Nationals
|
Home win | away | 3.24 | 48.6% | 0.666 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 21, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Rangers
|
Home win | away | 3.11 | 48.6% | 0.599 | 0.60u | Won | +1.27u |
| Aug 21, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
Home win | away | 3.24 | 48.6% | 0.666 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 21, 2021 | mlb |
Dodgers
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.06 | 45.1% | 0.131 | 0.24u | Won | +0.25u |
| Aug 21, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 48.1% | 0.246 | 0.88u | Won | +1.23u |
| Aug 21, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.12 | 45.6% | 0.153 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Aug 20, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 47.5% | 0.188 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| Aug 20, 2021 | mlb |
Dodgers
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 47.7% | 0.259 | 0.92u | Won | +1.30u |
| Aug 20, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 49.2% | 0.200 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| Aug 20, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 1.83 | 63.6% | 0.162 | 0.60u | Won | +0.50u |
| Aug 20, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Giants
|
Home win | home | 1.99 | 63.6% | 0.266 | 1.20u | Won | +1.19u |
| Aug 19, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 53.8% | 0.345 | 0.60u | Won | +0.90u |
| Aug 19, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.71 | 53.8% | 0.458 | 1.20u | Won | +2.05u |
| Aug 19, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 43.9% | 0.274 | 0.60u | Won | +0.76u |
| Aug 19, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.54 | 45.4% | 0.386 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 18, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 46.9% | 0.297 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Aug 18, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 45.9% | 0.325 | 1.12u | Lost | -1.12u |
| Aug 18, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Padres
|
Home win | away | 3.65 | 48.6% | 0.877 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 18, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
Orioles
|
Home win | away | 3.50 | 48.6% | 0.800 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 17, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Red Sox
|
Home win | away | 3.78 | 48.6% | 0.944 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 17, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Angels
|
Home win | away | 2.60 | 0.0% | 1.600 | 1.20u | Won | +1.92u |
| Aug 17, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 47.0% | 0.250 | 0.92u | Won | +1.25u |
| Aug 17, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.11 | 43.0% | 0.203 | 0.88u | Lost | -0.88u |
| Aug 16, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.13 | 46.7% | 0.135 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 16, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.18 | 44.5% | 0.209 | 0.89u | Won | +1.05u |
| Aug 16, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 2.44 | 53.8% | 0.312 | 1.08u | Won | +1.56u |
| Aug 16, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.11 | 53.8% | 0.135 | 0.61u | Won | +0.68u |
| Aug 15, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.73 | 63.6% | 0.737 | 1.20u | Won | +2.08u |
| Aug 15, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.65 | 53.8% | 0.425 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 15, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 48.5% | 0.247 | 0.72u | Lost | -0.72u |
| Aug 15, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 44.9% | 0.290 | 1.08u | Won | +1.45u |
| Aug 14, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.53 | 48.5% | 0.303 | 0.60u | Won | +0.92u |
| Aug 14, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.46 | 44.9% | 0.356 | 1.20u | Won | +1.75u |
| Aug 14, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.71 | 63.6% | 0.725 | 0.60u | Won | +1.03u |
| Aug 14, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.75 | 63.6% | 0.750 | 1.20u | Won | +2.10u |
| Aug 13, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Indians
|
Home win | home | 2.57 | 53.8% | 0.382 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 13, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.18 | 63.6% | 0.387 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 13, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 1.99 | 44.1% | 0.112 | 0.25u | Won | +0.25u |
| Aug 13, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 47.7% | 0.230 | 0.85u | Lost | -0.85u |
| Aug 13, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 46.9% | 0.168 | 0.70u | Won | +0.84u |
| Aug 12, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.21 | 47.3% | 0.164 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Aug 12, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 66.7% | 0.667 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 12, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.17 | 66.7% | 0.447 | 0.60u | Won | +0.70u |
| Aug 11, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
White Sox
|
Home win | away | 2.40 | 36.4% | 0.527 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 11, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 3.24 | 53.8% | 0.743 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 11, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.08 | 44.1% | 0.163 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Aug 11, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 48.0% | 0.191 | 0.74u | Won | +0.95u |
| Aug 11, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 47.0% | 0.198 | 0.79u | Won | +1.00u |
| Aug 10, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.13 | 41.9% | 0.239 | 0.66u | Won | +0.75u |
| Aug 10, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 42.0% | 0.271 | 1.14u | Won | +1.36u |
| Aug 10, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 50.6% | 0.265 | 0.72u | Won | +1.08u |
| Aug 10, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.70 | 50.7% | 0.368 | 1.08u | Won | +1.84u |
| Aug 9, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 50.7% | 0.294 | 0.66u | Won | +1.02u |
| Aug 9, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.76 | 50.7% | 0.400 | 1.14u | Lost | -1.14u |
| Aug 9, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 1.89 | 41.4% | 0.109 | 0.61u | Won | +0.54u |
| Aug 9, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 1.97 | 42.5% | 0.134 | 0.69u | Lost | -0.69u |
| Aug 8, 2021 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 41.9% | 0.249 | 0.60u | Won | +0.69u |
| Aug 8, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 41.6% | 0.432 | 1.20u | Won | +1.74u |
| Aug 8, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 50.7% | 0.294 | 0.83u | Won | +1.29u |
| Aug 8, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.58 | 50.6% | 0.307 | 0.97u | Won | +1.53u |
| Aug 7, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.92 | 50.6% | 0.479 | 1.20u | Won | +2.30u |
| Aug 7, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.67 | 50.7% | 0.354 | 0.60u | Won | +1.00u |
| Aug 7, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.54 | 41.7% | 0.481 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 7, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.22 | 41.9% | 0.290 | 0.60u | Won | +0.73u |
| Aug 6, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 42.4% | 0.393 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 6, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 41.8% | 0.333 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 6, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.68 | 50.7% | 0.359 | 1.07u | Won | +1.80u |
| Aug 6, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 50.6% | 0.165 | 0.63u | Won | +0.82u |
| Aug 5, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.46 | 50.7% | 0.248 | 0.85u | Lost | -0.85u |
| Aug 5, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 42.1% | 0.268 | 0.60u | Won | +0.71u |
| Aug 5, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 41.8% | 0.368 | 1.20u | Won | +1.62u |
| Aug 4, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.11 | 41.8% | 0.228 | 0.63u | Lost | -0.63u |
| Aug 4, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 41.8% | 0.281 | 1.17u | Won | +1.40u |
| Aug 4, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 50.7% | 0.292 | 0.80u | Lost | -0.80u |
| Aug 4, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.61 | 50.6% | 0.322 | 1.00u | Won | +1.61u |
| Aug 3, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.62 | 50.6% | 0.327 | 1.01u | Lost | -1.01u |
| Aug 3, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.56 | 50.7% | 0.297 | 0.79u | Won | +1.23u |
| Aug 3, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 42.0% | 0.277 | 0.60u | Won | +0.72u |
| Aug 3, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 41.7% | 0.330 | 1.20u | Won | +1.54u |
| Aug 2, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 40.9% | 0.329 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 2, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 42.1% | 0.332 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 2, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.43 | 50.8% | 0.234 | 0.69u | Won | +0.99u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.