Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 2, 2026 10:47 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.74 | 50.6% | 0.388 | 1.11u | Lost | -1.11u |
| Aug 1, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 3.08 | 50.7% | 0.561 | 1.20u | Won | +2.50u |
| Aug 1, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 50.7% | 0.243 | 0.60u | Won | +0.87u |
| Aug 1, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.07 | 42.2% | 0.197 | 0.85u | Lost | -0.85u |
| Aug 1, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.07 | 41.8% | 0.204 | 0.95u | Won | +1.02u |
| Jul 31, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.46 | 42.8% | 0.408 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 31, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.32 | 41.0% | 0.370 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 31, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 50.7% | 0.292 | 0.80u | Won | +1.24u |
| Jul 31, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.61 | 50.7% | 0.323 | 1.00u | Won | +1.61u |
| Jul 30, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.74 | 50.7% | 0.389 | 1.12u | Lost | -1.12u |
| Jul 30, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.48 | 50.7% | 0.258 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Jul 30, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 41.5% | 0.253 | 0.60u | Won | +0.68u |
| Jul 30, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 41.7% | 0.369 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 29, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 41.6% | 0.361 | 1.20u | Won | +1.60u |
| Jul 29, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 41.7% | 0.347 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 29, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.71 | 50.7% | 0.373 | 1.09u | Lost | -1.09u |
| Jul 29, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.57 | 50.7% | 0.304 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| Jul 28, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.34 | 50.7% | 0.186 | 0.69u | Won | +0.92u |
| Jul 28, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.56 | 50.7% | 0.299 | 0.96u | Lost | -0.96u |
| Jul 28, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 50.7% | 0.166 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| Jul 28, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.43 | 41.8% | 0.415 | 1.20u | Won | +1.72u |
| Jul 28, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 41.8% | 0.368 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 27, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.22 | 42.3% | 0.282 | 0.75u | Won | +0.92u |
| Jul 27, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 45.2% | 0.282 | 1.05u | Won | +1.41u |
| Jul 27, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.43 | 57.0% | 0.384 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 27, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.34 | 56.9% | 0.331 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 26, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.06 | 56.4% | 0.161 | 0.60u | Won | +0.64u |
| Jul 26, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 56.7% | 0.417 | 1.20u | Won | +1.80u |
| Jul 26, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 46.0% | 0.227 | 0.89u | Lost | -0.89u |
| Jul 25, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 45.0% | 0.270 | 1.03u | Won | +1.35u |
| Jul 25, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.17 | 47.5% | 0.139 | 0.59u | Lost | -0.59u |
| Jul 25, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 56.6% | 0.443 | 0.60u | Won | +0.93u |
| Jul 25, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.80 | 57.2% | 0.601 | 1.20u | Won | +2.16u |
| Jul 24, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.39 | 57.1% | 0.366 | 1.20u | Won | +1.67u |
| Jul 24, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 56.2% | 0.349 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 24, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 48.0% | 0.269 | 0.76u | Won | +1.09u |
| Jul 24, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 45.9% | 0.288 | 1.04u | Won | +1.44u |
| Jul 23, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 46.7% | 0.264 | 0.96u | Lost | -0.96u |
| Jul 23, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.16 | 43.2% | 0.227 | 0.84u | Won | +0.97u |
| Jul 23, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.11 | 57.2% | 0.206 | 0.70u | Won | +0.78u |
| Jul 23, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.28 | 56.2% | 0.281 | 1.10u | Lost | -1.10u |
| Jul 22, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 55.9% | 0.314 | 1.16u | Lost | -1.16u |
| Jul 22, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.24 | 56.8% | 0.273 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| Jul 22, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.16 | 45.1% | 0.186 | 0.80u | Won | +0.93u |
| Jul 22, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 45.6% | 0.197 | 0.82u | Lost | -0.82u |
| Jul 21, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 45.5% | 0.308 | 0.60u | Won | +0.84u |
| Jul 21, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 43.8% | 0.359 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 21, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.19 | 56.6% | 0.240 | 1.01u | Lost | -1.01u |
| Jul 21, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 56.4% | 0.157 | 0.75u | Won | +0.79u |
| Jul 20, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.47 | 56.6% | 0.399 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 20, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 56.8% | 0.222 | 0.60u | Won | +0.69u |
| Jul 20, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 44.9% | 0.283 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Jul 20, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 45.8% | 0.328 | 1.13u | Lost | -1.13u |
| Jul 19, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 47.3% | 0.259 | 0.84u | Lost | -0.84u |
| Jul 19, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 47.8% | 0.278 | 0.96u | Won | +1.39u |
| Jul 19, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.07 | 57.0% | 0.179 | 0.84u | Won | +0.90u |
| Jul 19, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Twins
|
Home win | home | 1.99 | 56.8% | 0.129 | 0.65u | Lost | -0.65u |
| Jul 18, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.21 | 56.5% | 0.249 | 0.60u | Won | +0.73u |
| Jul 18, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.34 | 57.3% | 0.341 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 18, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 44.9% | 0.312 | 1.13u | Lost | -1.13u |
| Jul 18, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 45.4% | 0.284 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Jul 17, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 44.1% | 0.281 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| Jul 17, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 44.7% | 0.322 | 1.16u | Lost | -1.16u |
| Jul 17, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Padres
|
Home win | home | 3.09 | 57.1% | 0.765 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 17, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.54 | 56.4% | 0.434 | 0.60u | Won | +0.92u |
| Jul 16, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.46 | 56.5% | 0.390 | 0.60u | Won | +0.88u |
| Jul 16, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 3.13 | 56.2% | 0.758 | 1.20u | Won | +2.56u |
| Jul 16, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.23 | 47.0% | 0.181 | 0.73u | Won | +0.90u |
| Jul 16, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 46.3% | 0.279 | 1.01u | Won | +1.39u |
| Jul 11, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 43.1% | 0.285 | 0.60u | Won | +0.76u |
| Jul 11, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.56 | 43.3% | 0.451 | 1.20u | Won | +1.87u |
| Jul 11, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.22 | 52.4% | 0.163 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Jul 11, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.52 | 52.4% | 0.321 | 1.06u | Won | +1.61u |
| Jul 10, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.81 | 52.4% | 0.473 | 1.20u | Won | +2.17u |
| Jul 10, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.60 | 43.7% | 0.464 | 1.20u | Won | +1.92u |
| Jul 10, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 43.3% | 0.349 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 9, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 43.4% | 0.280 | 1.11u | Won | +1.40u |
| Jul 9, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 43.4% | 0.217 | 0.69u | Lost | -0.69u |
| Jul 9, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 2.32 | 52.4% | 0.216 | 0.82u | Won | +1.08u |
| Jul 9, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.26 | 52.4% | 0.184 | 0.73u | Won | +0.92u |
| Jul 8, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.19 | 52.4% | 0.148 | 0.62u | Lost | -0.62u |
| Jul 8, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.41 | 52.4% | 0.264 | 0.94u | Won | +1.33u |
| Jul 8, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.01 | 43.4% | 0.138 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Jul 8, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 43.4% | 0.211 | 0.93u | Won | +1.06u |
| Jul 7, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 43.3% | 0.287 | 0.60u | Won | +0.76u |
| Jul 7, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 43.5% | 0.339 | 1.20u | Won | +1.64u |
| Jul 7, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.68 | 52.4% | 0.405 | 1.20u | Won | +2.02u |
| Jul 7, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.43 | 52.5% | 0.276 | 0.60u | Won | +0.86u |
| Jul 6, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.61 | 52.4% | 0.368 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 6, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.69 | 52.4% | 0.410 | 1.20u | Won | +2.03u |
| Jul 6, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 43.1% | 0.354 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 6, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 43.4% | 0.318 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 5, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 42.9% | 0.308 | 1.19u | Won | +1.54u |
| Jul 5, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 43.2% | 0.271 | 0.61u | Lost | -0.61u |
| Jul 5, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.64 | 52.3% | 0.382 | 1.16u | Won | +1.90u |
| Jul 4, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.66 | 52.4% | 0.394 | 0.60u | Won | +1.00u |
| Jul 4, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.82 | 52.4% | 0.478 | 1.20u | Won | +2.18u |
| Jul 4, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.18 | 43.4% | 0.234 | 0.60u | Won | +0.71u |
| Jul 4, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 43.4% | 0.323 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 3, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.00 | 43.7% | 0.127 | 0.63u | Lost | -0.63u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.