Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 2, 2026 10:47 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 46.7% | 0.227 | 0.87u | Won | +1.13u |
| May 8, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 48.4% | 0.171 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| May 8, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Padres
|
Home win | away | 2.66 | 28.6% | 0.900 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 8, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.63 | 61.6% | 0.621 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 7, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Twins
|
Home win | away | 1.70 | 0.0% | 0.699 | 1.20u | Won | +0.84u |
| May 7, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.47 | 61.6% | 0.523 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 7, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.22 | 46.4% | 0.190 | 0.78u | Won | +0.95u |
| May 7, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.07 | 45.1% | 0.136 | 0.63u | Lost | -0.63u |
| May 6, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.46 | 47.3% | 0.296 | 0.74u | Won | +1.08u |
| May 6, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.49 | 47.2% | 0.316 | 1.06u | Won | +1.58u |
| May 6, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 61.6% | 0.356 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 6, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Indians
|
Home win | away | 1.90 | 28.6% | 0.358 | 1.20u | Won | +1.08u |
| May 5, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.43 | 61.1% | 0.485 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 5, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.48 | 61.6% | 0.529 | 1.20u | Won | +1.78u |
| May 5, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 43.7% | 0.279 | 1.10u | Lost | -1.10u |
| May 5, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Rays
|
Home cover | home | 2.49 | 50.9% | 0.267 | 0.70u | Lost | -0.70u |
| May 4, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.21 | 47.5% | 0.160 | 0.66u | Lost | -0.66u |
| May 4, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.46 | 47.4% | 0.293 | 1.00u | Won | +1.46u |
| May 4, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Indians
|
Home win | home | 2.52 | 60.9% | 0.535 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 4, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Giants
|
Home win | away | 3.16 | 44.6% | 0.751 | 1.20u | Won | +2.59u |
| May 3, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.33 | 60.9% | 0.419 | 0.60u | Won | +0.80u |
| May 3, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Blue Jays
|
Home win | away | 2.62 | 44.6% | 0.452 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 3, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 47.8% | 0.257 | 0.91u | Won | +1.28u |
| May 2, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 47.7% | 0.176 | 0.70u | Won | +0.88u |
| May 2, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 47.8% | 0.169 | 0.15u | Won | +0.19u |
| May 2, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 45.8% | 0.246 | 0.95u | Lost | -0.95u |
| May 2, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Rockies
|
Home win | away | 2.77 | 44.6% | 0.535 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 2, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Cardinals
|
Home win | away | 3.10 | 44.6% | 0.718 | 1.20u | Won | +2.52u |
| May 1, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Indians
|
Home win | away | 2.67 | 44.6% | 0.479 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 1, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.57 | 60.9% | 0.565 | 1.20u | Won | +1.88u |
| May 1, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 46.2% | 0.280 | 1.02u | Won | +1.41u |
| Apr 30, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.60 | 49.8% | 0.305 | 0.78u | Lost | -0.78u |
| Apr 30, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.59 | 48.9% | 0.324 | 1.02u | Won | +1.62u |
| Apr 30, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.14 | 60.9% | 0.304 | 0.60u | Won | +0.68u |
| Apr 30, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.19 | 60.9% | 0.334 | 1.20u | Won | +1.43u |
| Apr 29, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.59 | 60.9% | 0.578 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 29, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.80 | 60.9% | 0.706 | 1.20u | Won | +2.16u |
| Apr 29, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 48.1% | 0.236 | 0.68u | Won | +0.94u |
| Apr 29, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.56 | 47.3% | 0.349 | 1.12u | Lost | -1.12u |
| Apr 28, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 47.4% | 0.236 | 0.88u | Won | +1.19u |
| Apr 28, 2021 | mlb |
Dodgers
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 49.2% | 0.239 | 0.83u | Lost | -0.83u |
| Apr 28, 2021 | mlb |
Dodgers
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.02 | 60.9% | 0.230 | 0.60u | Won | +0.61u |
| Apr 28, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Angels
|
Home win | away | 3.32 | 44.6% | 0.840 | 1.20u | Won | +2.78u |
| Apr 27, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.54 | 60.9% | 0.547 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 27, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Tigers
|
Home win | away | 3.11 | 44.6% | 0.723 | 1.20u | Won | +2.53u |
| Apr 27, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.46 | 44.9% | 0.355 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 27, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 47.2% | 0.288 | 0.60u | Won | +0.86u |
| Apr 26, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.54 | 44.8% | 0.401 | 1.20u | Won | +1.85u |
| Apr 26, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
Athletics
|
Home cover | home | 2.28 | 51.0% | 0.162 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 26, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Twins
|
Home win | away | 2.80 | 44.6% | 0.551 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 26, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.46 | 60.9% | 0.498 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 25, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Reds
|
Home win | away | 2.67 | 44.6% | 0.479 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 25, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Mariners
|
Home win | away | 2.71 | 44.6% | 0.502 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 25, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 46.4% | 0.234 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| Apr 25, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | home | 2.67 | 50.4% | 0.347 | 1.04u | Lost | -1.04u |
| Apr 24, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.52 | 47.7% | 0.317 | 1.04u | Won | +1.58u |
| Apr 24, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.48 | 51.9% | 0.287 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| Apr 24, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Rangers
|
Home win | away | 2.36 | 44.6% | 0.308 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 24, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 60.9% | 0.553 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 23, 2021 | mlb |
Dodgers
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 60.9% | 0.462 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 23, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 1.67 | 100.0% | 0.667 | 1.20u | Won | +0.80u |
| Apr 23, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Royals
|
Home cover | home | 2.52 | 53.9% | 0.359 | 1.18u | Lost | -1.18u |
| Apr 23, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.54 | 50.0% | 0.271 | 0.62u | Won | +0.95u |
| Apr 22, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.43 | 46.2% | 0.308 | 1.08u | Lost | -1.08u |
| Apr 22, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Angels
|
Home win | home | 1.89 | 60.9% | 0.153 | 0.86u | Won | +0.77u |
| Apr 22, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Pirates
|
Home win | away | 2.13 | 44.6% | 0.180 | 0.80u | Won | +0.90u |
| Apr 21, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | away | 2.09 | 44.6% | 0.158 | 0.60u | Won | +0.65u |
| Apr 21, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Rangers
|
Home win | away | 2.53 | 44.6% | 0.402 | 1.20u | Won | +1.84u |
| Apr 21, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.38 | 50.7% | 0.207 | 0.75u | Lost | -0.75u |
| Apr 21, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 45.8% | 0.246 | 0.95u | Won | +1.24u |
| Apr 20, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Rays
|
Home cover | home | 2.61 | 53.6% | 0.398 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 20, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | home | 2.47 | 53.6% | 0.323 | 0.60u | Won | +0.88u |
| Apr 20, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.61 | 50.6% | 0.320 | 0.99u | Won | +1.59u |
| Apr 19, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.81 | 50.5% | 0.418 | 1.15u | Won | +2.08u |
| Apr 19, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.49 | 48.4% | 0.284 | 0.95u | Won | +1.42u |
| Apr 19, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 48.4% | 0.263 | 0.85u | Won | +1.23u |
| Apr 18, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.04 | 36.8% | 0.288 | 0.60u | Won | +0.62u |
| Apr 18, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.05 | 66.7% | 0.367 | 1.20u | Won | +1.26u |
| Apr 18, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.41 | 50.3% | 0.212 | 0.75u | Won | +1.06u |
| Apr 18, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 2.58 | 50.5% | 0.303 | 0.96u | Won | +1.52u |
| Apr 17, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 3.29 | 50.3% | 0.655 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 17, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Mets
|
Home win | home | 3.44 | 50.3% | 0.732 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 17, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.43 | 36.8% | 0.535 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 17, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.48 | 36.8% | 0.566 | 1.20u | Won | +1.78u |
| Apr 16, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Dodgers
|
Home cover | home | 2.44 | 53.6% | 0.307 | 0.69u | Lost | -0.69u |
| Apr 16, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Pirates
|
Home cover | home | 2.48 | 53.6% | 0.329 | 1.11u | Lost | -1.11u |
| Apr 16, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.28 | 50.5% | 0.152 | 0.59u | Won | +0.76u |
| Apr 15, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.29 | 50.6% | 0.158 | 0.61u | Lost | -0.61u |
| Apr 15, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Padres
|
Home cover | home | 2.34 | 53.6% | 0.254 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 15, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 36.8% | 0.510 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 14, 2021 | mlb |
Dodgers
Rockies
|
Home cover | home | 2.53 | 53.6% | 0.355 | 0.60u | Won | +0.92u |
| Apr 14, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 36.8% | 0.503 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 14, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.79 | 50.5% | 0.410 | 1.15u | Lost | -1.15u |
| Apr 13, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 3.09 | 50.5% | 0.561 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 13, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.40 | 53.6% | 0.286 | 0.60u | Won | +0.84u |
| Apr 13, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.49 | 66.7% | 0.660 | 1.20u | Won | +1.79u |
| Apr 12, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 36.8% | 0.352 | 0.60u | Won | +0.68u |
| Apr 12, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Indians
|
Home cover | home | 2.48 | 66.7% | 0.653 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 12, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.69 | 50.5% | 0.358 | 0.60u | Won | +1.01u |
| Apr 12, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 2.85 | 50.7% | 0.444 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.