Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 2, 2026 10:47 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2020 | mlb |
Cardinals
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.23 | 60.1% | 0.339 | 1.20u | Won | +1.48u |
| Aug 24, 2020 | mlb |
Indians
Twins
|
Home cover | home | 2.70 | 51.3% | 0.386 | 1.14u | Won | +1.94u |
| Aug 23, 2020 | mlb |
Braves
Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.40 | 51.3% | 0.232 | 0.82u | Lost | -0.82u |
| Aug 23, 2020 | mlb |
Athletics
Angels
|
Home cover | home | 2.53 | 51.3% | 0.299 | 0.98u | Lost | -0.98u |
| Aug 23, 2020 | mlb |
Pirates
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.53 | 54.2% | 0.371 | 1.20u | Won | +1.84u |
| Aug 23, 2020 | mlb |
Rays
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 53.4% | 0.174 | 0.60u | Won | +0.72u |
| Aug 22, 2020 | mlb |
Indians
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.06 | 54.5% | 0.123 | 0.58u | Won | +0.61u |
| Aug 22, 2020 | mlb |
Athletics
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.27 | 53.1% | 0.205 | 0.81u | Lost | -0.81u |
| Aug 22, 2020 | mlb |
Giants
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 1.96 | 56.6% | 0.110 | 0.41u | Won | +0.39u |
| Aug 22, 2020 | mlb |
Orioles
Red Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.43 | 51.3% | 0.248 | 0.84u | Won | +1.20u |
| Aug 22, 2020 | mlb |
Mariners
Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.51 | 51.3% | 0.289 | 0.96u | Won | +1.45u |
| Aug 21, 2020 | mlb |
Cubs
White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.23 | 51.3% | 0.145 | 0.59u | Lost | -0.59u |
| Aug 21, 2020 | mlb |
Pirates
Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 2.55 | 51.3% | 0.309 | 1.00u | Won | +1.55u |
| Aug 21, 2020 | mlb |
Athletics
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 52.3% | 0.124 | 0.32u | Won | +0.37u |
| Aug 21, 2020 | mlb |
Giants
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 55.7% | 0.169 | 0.77u | Won | +0.85u |
| Aug 21, 2020 | mlb |
Mariners
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.21 | 53.1% | 0.173 | 0.71u | Won | +0.86u |
| Aug 20, 2020 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.98 | 53.5% | 0.595 | 0.60u | Won | +1.19u |
| Aug 20, 2020 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 3.44 | 55.8% | 0.919 | 1.20u | Won | +2.93u |
| Aug 20, 2020 | mlb |
Pirates
Indians
|
Home cover | home | 2.46 | 51.3% | 0.263 | 0.79u | Lost | -0.79u |
| Aug 20, 2020 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.56 | 51.3% | 0.314 | 1.01u | Won | +1.58u |
| Aug 19, 2020 | mlb |
Cubs
Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.39 | 51.3% | 0.227 | 0.82u | Lost | -0.82u |
| Aug 19, 2020 | mlb |
Pirates
Indians
|
Home cover | home | 2.53 | 51.3% | 0.299 | 0.98u | Lost | -0.98u |
| Aug 19, 2020 | mlb |
Twins
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 3.07 | 55.4% | 0.702 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 19, 2020 | mlb |
Rockies
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.48 | 58.9% | 0.461 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 18, 2020 | mlb |
Rangers
Padres
|
Home win | away | 2.61 | 44.1% | 0.459 | 1.20u | Won | +1.93u |
| Aug 18, 2020 | mlb |
Dodgers
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.57 | 52.4% | 0.347 | 0.60u | Won | +0.94u |
| Aug 18, 2020 | mlb |
Orioles
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | home | 2.28 | 51.3% | 0.171 | 0.67u | Won | +0.86u |
| Aug 18, 2020 | mlb |
Cubs
Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.46 | 51.3% | 0.263 | 0.90u | Won | +1.31u |
| Aug 17, 2020 | mlb |
Astros
Rockies
|
Home cover | home | 2.24 | 51.3% | 0.150 | 0.61u | Lost | -0.61u |
| Aug 17, 2020 | mlb |
Astros
Rockies
|
Home win | away | 2.45 | 46.7% | 0.305 | 1.05u | Lost | -1.05u |
| Aug 17, 2020 | mlb |
Yankees
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.32 | 54.2% | 0.258 | 0.75u | Won | +0.99u |
| Aug 16, 2020 | mlb |
Angels
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.60 | 53.3% | 0.387 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 16, 2020 | mlb |
Giants
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 52.4% | 0.283 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 16, 2020 | mlb |
Rockies
Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.30 | 51.3% | 0.181 | 0.70u | Won | +0.91u |
| Aug 16, 2020 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Rays
|
Home cover | home | 2.57 | 51.3% | 0.320 | 1.02u | Lost | -1.02u |
| Aug 15, 2020 | mlb |
Tigers
Indians
|
Home cover | home | 2.48 | 51.3% | 0.273 | 0.92u | Lost | -0.92u |
| Aug 15, 2020 | mlb |
White Sox
Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.40 | 51.3% | 0.232 | 0.83u | Lost | -0.83u |
| Aug 15, 2020 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.53 | 53.1% | 0.342 | 0.60u | Won | +0.92u |
| Aug 15, 2020 | mlb |
Marlins
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.68 | 53.0% | 0.420 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 14, 2020 | mlb |
Phillies
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.67 | 52.6% | 0.404 | 1.20u | Won | +2.00u |
| Aug 14, 2020 | mlb |
Rockies
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.76 | 50.8% | 0.402 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 14, 2020 | mlb |
Cubs
Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 2.39 | 51.3% | 0.227 | 0.82u | Won | +1.14u |
| Aug 13, 2020 | mlb |
Cubs
Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 2.55 | 51.3% | 0.309 | 1.00u | Won | +1.55u |
| Aug 13, 2020 | mlb |
Mets
Nationals
|
Home cover | home | 2.34 | 51.3% | 0.201 | 0.75u | Won | +1.01u |
| Aug 13, 2020 | mlb |
Dodgers
Padres
|
Home win | away | 2.55 | 49.5% | 0.288 | 0.93u | Lost | -0.93u |
| Aug 13, 2020 | mlb |
Phillies
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 53.2% | 0.251 | 0.87u | Lost | -0.87u |
| Aug 12, 2020 | mlb |
Angels
Athletics
|
Home win | away | 2.59 | 47.6% | 0.358 | 1.13u | Won | +1.80u |
| Aug 12, 2020 | mlb |
Brewers
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.26 | 54.1% | 0.222 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Aug 12, 2020 | mlb |
Reds
Royals
|
Home cover | home | 2.69 | 51.3% | 0.381 | 1.13u | Lost | -1.13u |
| Aug 12, 2020 | mlb |
Tigers
White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.61 | 51.3% | 0.340 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Aug 11, 2020 | mlb |
Red Sox
Rays
|
Home cover | home | 2.54 | 50.8% | 0.291 | 0.95u | Lost | -0.95u |
| Aug 11, 2020 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Marlins
|
Home cover | home | 2.44 | 51.6% | 0.258 | 0.85u | Lost | -0.85u |
| Aug 11, 2020 | mlb |
Astros
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 50.5% | 0.212 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| Aug 10, 2020 | mlb |
Mets
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.19 | 52.8% | 0.157 | 0.66u | Lost | -0.66u |
| Aug 10, 2020 | mlb |
Dodgers
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 41.7% | 0.359 | 1.20u | Won | +1.60u |
| Aug 10, 2020 | mlb |
Rangers
Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.29 | 54.6% | 0.250 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 9, 2020 | mlb |
Athletics
Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.75 | 55.4% | 0.525 | 0.60u | Won | +1.05u |
| Aug 9, 2020 | mlb |
Mariners
Rockies
|
Home cover | home | 2.67 | 61.2% | 0.634 | 1.20u | Won | +2.00u |
| Aug 9, 2020 | mlb |
Pirates
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 52.7% | 0.238 | 0.88u | Lost | -0.88u |
| Aug 9, 2020 | mlb |
Dodgers
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.38 | 52.1% | 0.240 | 0.87u | Won | +1.20u |
| Aug 8, 2020 | mlb |
Padres
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 53.3% | 0.252 | 0.93u | Lost | -0.93u |
| Aug 8, 2020 | mlb |
Phillies
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.31 | 53.7% | 0.240 | 0.87u | Won | +1.14u |
| Aug 8, 2020 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.10 | 54.9% | 0.153 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 8, 2020 | mlb |
Rangers
Angels
|
Home cover | home | 1.95 | 64.0% | 0.250 | 1.20u | Won | +1.14u |
| Aug 7, 2020 | mlb |
Padres
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | home | 2.07 | 58.7% | 0.215 | 0.60u | Won | +0.64u |
| Aug 7, 2020 | mlb |
Nationals
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 35.2% | 0.587 | 1.20u | Won | +1.74u |
| Aug 7, 2020 | mlb |
Pirates
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 52.7% | 0.187 | 0.75u | Lost | -0.75u |
| Aug 7, 2020 | mlb |
Mets
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.57 | 51.3% | 0.319 | 1.02u | Lost | -1.02u |
| Aug 6, 2020 | mlb |
Mariners
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.81 | 51.1% | 0.437 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 6, 2020 | mlb |
Indians
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.53 | 52.5% | 0.329 | 0.60u | Won | +0.92u |
| Aug 6, 2020 | mlb |
White Sox
Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 2.74 | 51.8% | 0.418 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 6, 2020 | mlb |
Phillies
Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.60 | 56.3% | 0.465 | 1.20u | Won | +1.92u |
| Aug 5, 2020 | mlb |
Orioles
Marlins
|
Home cover | home | 2.48 | 62.8% | 0.558 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 5, 2020 | mlb |
Marlins
Orioles
|
Home cover | home | 2.25 | 65.3% | 0.470 | 0.60u | Won | +0.75u |
| Aug 5, 2020 | mlb |
Rockies
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.73 | 52.3% | 0.429 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 5, 2020 | mlb |
Phillies
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.52 | 51.2% | 0.289 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 4, 2020 | mlb |
Brewers
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.64 | 52.2% | 0.379 | 1.15u | Lost | -1.15u |
| Aug 4, 2020 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.44 | 54.2% | 0.323 | 0.65u | Lost | -0.65u |
| Aug 4, 2020 | mlb |
Reds
Indians
|
Home cover | home | 2.56 | 54.7% | 0.399 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 4, 2020 | mlb |
Nationals
Mets
|
Home cover | home | 2.43 | 50.4% | 0.226 | 0.60u | Won | +0.86u |
| Aug 3, 2020 | mlb |
Cubs
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 26.2% | 0.588 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 3, 2020 | mlb |
Reds
Indians
|
Home cover | home | 2.30 | 58.4% | 0.342 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 3, 2020 | mlb |
Twins
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.17 | 53.6% | 0.164 | 0.61u | Won | +0.71u |
| Aug 3, 2020 | mlb |
Brewers
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.58 | 53.4% | 0.377 | 1.19u | Lost | -1.19u |
| Aug 2, 2020 | mlb |
Twins
Indians
|
Home win | home | 2.77 | 52.8% | 0.463 | 1.20u | Won | +2.12u |
| Aug 2, 2020 | mlb |
Orioles
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.65 | 52.2% | 0.384 | 0.60u | Won | +0.99u |
| Aug 2, 2020 | mlb |
Braves
Mets
|
Home cover | home | 2.53 | 53.7% | 0.359 | 0.60u | Won | +0.92u |
| Aug 2, 2020 | mlb |
Angels
Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.59 | 58.6% | 0.517 | 1.20u | Won | +1.91u |
| Aug 1, 2020 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Dodgers
|
Home cover | home | 2.47 | 54.5% | 0.347 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 1, 2020 | mlb |
Angels
Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.48 | 69.3% | 0.720 | 1.20u | Won | +1.78u |
| Aug 1, 2020 | mlb |
Braves
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.94 | 52.7% | 0.549 | 1.20u | Won | +2.33u |
| Aug 1, 2020 | mlb |
Rockies
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 51.6% | 0.238 | 0.60u | Won | +0.84u |
| Jul 31, 2020 | mlb |
Orioles
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.70 | 52.4% | 0.414 | 1.20u | Won | +2.04u |
| Jul 31, 2020 | mlb |
Royals
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.66 | 52.3% | 0.391 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 31, 2020 | mlb |
Rockies
Padres
|
Home cover | home | 2.64 | 57.3% | 0.514 | 1.20u | Won | +1.97u |
| Jul 31, 2020 | mlb |
Twins
Indians
|
Home cover | home | 2.35 | 51.4% | 0.209 | 0.60u | Won | +0.81u |
| Jul 30, 2020 | mlb |
Angels
Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.67 | 56.9% | 0.520 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 30, 2020 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Nationals
|
Home cover | home | 2.22 | 56.0% | 0.244 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 30, 2020 | mlb |
Tigers
Royals
|
Home win | home | 3.10 | 52.9% | 0.640 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 30, 2020 | mlb |
Orioles
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.49 | 51.9% | 0.292 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.