Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 2, 2026 10:47 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2020 | mlb |
Tigers
Royals
|
Home win | home | 3.98 | 52.7% | 1.098 | 1.20u | Won | +3.58u |
| Jul 29, 2020 | mlb |
Giants
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.65 | 52.0% | 0.378 | 0.60u | Won | +0.99u |
| Jul 29, 2020 | mlb |
Giants
Padres
|
Home cover | home | 1.95 | 64.7% | 0.262 | 0.75u | Won | +0.71u |
| Jul 29, 2020 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 44.7% | 0.273 | 1.05u | Won | +1.37u |
| Jul 28, 2020 | mlb |
Twins
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.06 | 41.8% | 0.199 | 0.61u | Lost | -0.61u |
| Jul 28, 2020 | mlb |
Rays
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.23 | 42.0% | 0.293 | 1.19u | Lost | -1.19u |
| Jul 28, 2020 | mlb |
Indians
White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.46 | 52.5% | 0.292 | 1.00u | Lost | -1.00u |
| Jul 28, 2020 | mlb |
Twins
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.33 | 50.3% | 0.171 | 0.64u | Won | +0.85u |
| Jul 28, 2020 | mlb |
Pirates
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.57 | 50.1% | 0.287 | 0.91u | Won | +1.43u |
| Jul 27, 2020 | mlb |
Red Sox
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.54 | 50.1% | 0.271 | 0.88u | Lost | -0.88u |
| Jul 27, 2020 | mlb |
Athletics
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 41.9% | 0.359 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 27, 2020 | mlb |
Nationals
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 40.6% | 0.349 | 0.60u | Won | +0.76u |
| Jul 26, 2020 | mlb |
White Sox
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.48 | 42.8% | 0.418 | 1.20u | Won | +1.78u |
| Jul 26, 2020 | mlb |
Phillies
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 41.1% | 0.414 | 0.60u | Won | +0.84u |
| Jul 26, 2020 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.29 | 55.8% | 0.278 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 26, 2020 | mlb |
Cubs
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 50.3% | 0.208 | 0.74u | Won | +1.04u |
| Jul 25, 2020 | mlb |
Nationals
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.89 | 50.2% | 0.451 | 1.19u | Won | +2.25u |
| Jul 25, 2020 | mlb |
Reds
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 41.1% | 0.396 | 0.60u | Won | +0.82u |
| Jul 25, 2020 | mlb |
Padres
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.73 | 41.1% | 0.607 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 25, 2020 | mlb |
Red Sox
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 35.7% | 0.466 | 0.60u | Won | +0.77u |
| Jul 24, 2020 | mlb |
Dodgers
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 41.2% | 0.435 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 24, 2020 | mlb |
Mets
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 42.3% | 0.328 | 0.60u | Won | +0.78u |
| Jul 23, 2020 | mlb |
Dodgers
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 41.6% | 0.319 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 23, 2020 | mlb |
Nationals
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 1.94 | 41.0% | 0.141 | 0.60u | Won | +0.56u |
| Jul 23, 2020 | mlb |
Nationals
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.49 | 50.3% | 0.252 | 0.84u | Lost | -0.84u |
| Oct 25, 2019 | mlb |
Nationals
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.28 | 50.4% | 0.148 | 0.58u | Lost | -0.58u |
| Oct 25, 2019 | mlb |
Nationals
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.13 | 41.2% | 0.253 | 1.12u | Won | +1.27u |
| Oct 18, 2019 | mlb |
Yankees
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.23 | 52.8% | 0.178 | 0.72u | Won | +0.89u |
| Oct 15, 2019 | mlb |
Yankees
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.84 | 55.5% | 0.575 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Oct 15, 2019 | mlb |
Yankees
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.12 | 44.4% | 0.179 | 0.80u | Won | +0.90u |
| Oct 12, 2019 | mlb |
Cardinals
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 46.2% | 0.239 | 0.92u | Won | +1.20u |
| Oct 8, 2019 | mlb |
Rays
Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.14 | 59.4% | 0.272 | 1.19u | Won | +1.36u |
| Oct 8, 2019 | mlb |
Rays
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.84 | 81.7% | 1.321 | 1.20u | Won | +2.21u |
| Oct 7, 2019 | mlb |
Nationals
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.06 | 84.1% | 0.732 | 0.60u | Won | +0.64u |
| Oct 7, 2019 | mlb |
Rays
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.22 | 82.8% | 0.838 | 1.20u | Won | +1.46u |
| Oct 7, 2019 | mlb |
Twins
Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.70 | 50.5% | 0.364 | 0.61u | Lost | -0.61u |
| Oct 7, 2019 | mlb |
Cardinals
Braves
|
Home cover | home | 2.70 | 52.0% | 0.405 | 1.19u | Lost | -1.19u |
| Oct 5, 2019 | mlb |
Yankees
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.16 | 40.9% | 0.276 | 1.19u | Lost | -1.19u |
| Oct 4, 2019 | mlb |
Yankees
Twins
|
Home cover | home | 2.35 | 54.4% | 0.279 | 1.03u | Won | +1.39u |
| Oct 4, 2019 | mlb |
Dodgers
Nationals
|
Home cover | home | 2.30 | 51.8% | 0.192 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| Oct 4, 2019 | mlb |
Dodgers
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 1.69 | 73.6% | 0.244 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Oct 3, 2019 | mlb |
Braves
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 1.67 | 76.3% | 0.271 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Oct 3, 2019 | mlb |
Dodgers
Nationals
|
Home win | away | 3.22 | 40.4% | 0.918 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Oct 3, 2019 | mlb |
Dodgers
Nationals
|
Home cover | home | 2.23 | 72.3% | 0.612 | 1.20u | Won | +1.48u |
| Oct 2, 2019 | mlb |
Athletics
Rays
|
Home cover | home | 2.61 | 57.1% | 0.491 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Oct 1, 2019 | mlb |
Nationals
Brewers
|
Home win | away | 2.38 | 36.2% | 0.519 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 29, 2019 | mlb |
Phillies
Marlins
|
Home win | away | 3.50 | 44.9% | 0.929 | 0.60u | Won | +1.50u |
| Sep 29, 2019 | mlb |
Cardinals
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 4.30 | 57.7% | 1.479 | 1.20u | Won | +3.96u |
| Sep 29, 2019 | mlb |
Cardinals
Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.90 | 55.0% | 0.596 | 1.20u | Won | +2.28u |
| Sep 29, 2019 | mlb |
White Sox
Tigers
|
Home cover | home | 2.75 | 54.4% | 0.497 | 0.60u | Won | +1.05u |
| Sep 28, 2019 | mlb |
Phillies
Marlins
|
Home cover | home | 2.80 | 56.2% | 0.574 | 1.20u | Won | +2.16u |
| Sep 28, 2019 | mlb |
Rockies
Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 2.60 | 53.4% | 0.388 | 0.60u | Won | +0.96u |
| Sep 28, 2019 | mlb |
Red Sox
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 74.9% | 0.911 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 28, 2019 | mlb |
Rockies
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 3.00 | 63.9% | 0.917 | 1.20u | Won | +2.40u |
| Sep 27, 2019 | mlb |
Mariners
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 4.20 | 71.9% | 2.018 | 1.20u | Won | +3.84u |
| Sep 27, 2019 | mlb |
Rockies
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 3.80 | 76.8% | 1.917 | 0.60u | Won | +1.68u |
| Sep 27, 2019 | mlb |
Rockies
Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 2.35 | 56.9% | 0.337 | 1.20u | Won | +1.62u |
| Sep 27, 2019 | mlb |
Mariners
Athletics
|
Home cover | home | 2.55 | 51.2% | 0.307 | 0.60u | Won | +0.93u |
| Sep 26, 2019 | mlb |
Nationals
Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.70 | 60.2% | 0.626 | 0.60u | Won | +1.02u |
| Sep 26, 2019 | mlb |
Pirates
Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.70 | 67.5% | 0.822 | 1.20u | Won | +2.04u |
| Sep 26, 2019 | mlb |
Tigers
Twins
|
Home win | home | 3.70 | 60.2% | 1.229 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 26, 2019 | mlb |
Mets
Marlins
|
Home win | away | 4.30 | 47.8% | 1.246 | 1.20u | Won | +3.96u |
| Sep 25, 2019 | mlb |
Nationals
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 3.10 | 55.7% | 0.725 | 0.60u | Won | +1.26u |
| Sep 25, 2019 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 3.50 | 85.9% | 2.006 | 1.20u | Won | +3.00u |
| Sep 25, 2019 | mlb |
Angels
Athletics
|
Home cover | home | 2.20 | 79.2% | 0.743 | 1.20u | Won | +1.44u |
| Sep 25, 2019 | mlb |
Mariners
Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.75 | 52.3% | 0.438 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 24, 2019 | mlb |
Rangers
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 39.8% | 0.149 | 0.60u | Won | +0.55u |
| Sep 24, 2019 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 39.9% | 0.323 | 1.20u | Won | +1.44u |
| Sep 24, 2019 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 4.00 | 52.2% | 1.089 | 0.60u | Won | +1.80u |
| Sep 24, 2019 | mlb |
Mets
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 4.20 | 51.2% | 1.152 | 1.20u | Won | +3.84u |
| Sep 23, 2019 | mlb |
Nationals
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 52.6% | 0.290 | 1.00u | Won | +1.45u |
| Sep 23, 2019 | mlb |
Nationals
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.10 | 39.8% | 0.263 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 23, 2019 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.10 | 39.8% | 0.265 | 1.20u | Won | +1.32u |
| Sep 22, 2019 | mlb |
Astros
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 3.00 | 39.8% | 0.807 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 22, 2019 | mlb |
Braves
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 39.5% | 0.482 | 0.60u | Won | +0.87u |
| Sep 22, 2019 | mlb |
Reds
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.80 | 53.5% | 0.499 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 22, 2019 | mlb |
Brewers
Pirates
|
Home win | away | 4.00 | 49.4% | 1.024 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 21, 2019 | mlb |
Orioles
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 3.80 | 52.3% | 0.988 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 21, 2019 | mlb |
Rays
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 53.1% | 0.327 | 0.60u | Won | +0.90u |
| Sep 21, 2019 | mlb |
Twins
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.65 | 39.8% | 0.595 | 1.20u | Won | +1.98u |
| Sep 21, 2019 | mlb |
Marlins
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.50 | 39.6% | 0.510 | 0.60u | Won | +0.90u |
| Sep 20, 2019 | mlb |
Rays
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.55 | 39.4% | 0.546 | 1.20u | Won | +1.86u |
| Sep 20, 2019 | mlb |
Marlins
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.55 | 40.1% | 0.527 | 0.60u | Won | +0.93u |
| Sep 20, 2019 | mlb |
Cubs
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.75 | 52.0% | 0.429 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 20, 2019 | mlb |
Astros
Angels
|
Home win | home | 4.30 | 51.3% | 1.205 | 1.20u | Won | +3.96u |
| Sep 19, 2019 | mlb |
Red Sox
Giants
|
Home win | away | 2.90 | 47.3% | 0.529 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 19, 2019 | mlb |
Indians
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.60 | 40.1% | 0.559 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 19, 2019 | mlb |
Twins
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 39.8% | 0.324 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 18, 2019 | mlb |
Cubs
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 40.1% | 0.469 | 0.60u | Won | +0.87u |
| Sep 18, 2019 | mlb |
Dodgers
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.85 | 40.3% | 0.703 | 1.20u | Won | +2.22u |
| Sep 18, 2019 | mlb |
Braves
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 51.2% | 0.203 | 0.75u | Lost | -0.75u |
| Sep 17, 2019 | mlb |
Pirates
Mariners
|
Home win | away | 2.85 | 48.5% | 0.467 | 1.20u | Won | +2.22u |
| Sep 17, 2019 | mlb |
Orioles
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.50 | 39.7% | 0.509 | 1.20u | Won | +1.80u |
| Sep 17, 2019 | mlb |
Rockies
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.50 | 39.7% | 0.507 | 0.60u | Won | +0.90u |
| Sep 16, 2019 | mlb |
Tigers
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 39.7% | 0.446 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 16, 2019 | mlb |
Rockies
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 40.0% | 0.290 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 16, 2019 | mlb |
Cardinals
Nationals
|
Home win | away | 4.00 | 49.2% | 1.031 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 15, 2019 | mlb |
Phillies
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 3.60 | 50.7% | 0.825 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 15, 2019 | mlb |
Royals
Astros
|
Home win | home | 4.00 | 50.5% | 1.020 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 15, 2019 | mlb |
Cardinals
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 39.8% | 0.444 | 1.20u | Won | +1.68u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.