Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 2, 2026 10:47 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2019 | mlb |
Twins
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.75 | 43.5% | 0.554 | 1.20u | Won | +2.10u |
| Aug 18, 2019 | mlb |
Angels
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 42.9% | 0.398 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 18, 2019 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.55 | 44.9% | 0.406 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 18, 2019 | mlb |
Athletics
Astros
|
Home win | away | 2.80 | 0.0% | 1.800 | 0.60u | Won | +1.08u |
| Aug 18, 2019 | mlb |
Rangers
Twins
|
Home win | home | 4.60 | 71.9% | 2.306 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 17, 2019 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Giants
|
Home win | home | 3.70 | 50.8% | 0.879 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 17, 2019 | mlb |
Nationals
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 4.20 | 50.8% | 1.132 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 17, 2019 | mlb |
Phillies
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.60 | 43.0% | 0.483 | 1.20u | Won | +1.92u |
| Aug 17, 2019 | mlb |
Rockies
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.50 | 42.9% | 0.427 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 16, 2019 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 43.5% | 0.327 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 16, 2019 | mlb |
Athletics
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.55 | 43.3% | 0.445 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 16, 2019 | mlb |
Rangers
Twins
|
Home win | away | 4.00 | 40.0% | 1.400 | 1.20u | Won | +3.60u |
| Aug 16, 2019 | mlb |
Yankees
Indians
|
Home win | home | 2.65 | 66.7% | 0.767 | 0.60u | Won | +0.99u |
| Aug 15, 2019 | mlb |
Athletics
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 71.9% | 0.725 | 0.60u | Won | +0.84u |
| Aug 15, 2019 | mlb |
Yankees
Indians
|
Home win | away | 2.95 | 0.0% | 1.950 | 1.20u | Won | +2.34u |
| Aug 15, 2019 | mlb |
Angels
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 41.9% | 0.394 | 1.20u | Won | +1.68u |
| Aug 15, 2019 | mlb |
Reds
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 42.4% | 0.325 | 0.60u | Won | +0.78u |
| Aug 14, 2019 | mlb |
Angels
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 42.3% | 0.299 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 14, 2019 | mlb |
Tigers
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 43.4% | 0.329 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 14, 2019 | mlb |
Tigers
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.70 | 71.9% | 0.941 | 0.60u | Won | +1.02u |
| Aug 14, 2019 | mlb |
Angels
Pirates
|
Home win | away | 4.80 | 49.0% | 1.449 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 13, 2019 | mlb |
Phillies
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 3.50 | 56.7% | 0.985 | 0.60u | Won | +1.50u |
| Aug 13, 2019 | mlb |
Rockies
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 4.70 | 56.7% | 1.666 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 13, 2019 | mlb |
Indians
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.60 | 50.0% | 0.300 | 0.69u | Lost | -0.69u |
| Aug 13, 2019 | mlb |
Padres
Rays
|
Home cover | home | 2.80 | 50.0% | 0.400 | 1.11u | Lost | -1.11u |
| Aug 12, 2019 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.55 | 49.9% | 0.277 | 0.89u | Lost | -0.89u |
| Aug 11, 2019 | mlb |
Cardinals
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 4.30 | 56.9% | 1.447 | 1.20u | Won | +3.96u |
| Aug 11, 2019 | mlb |
Mariners
Rays
|
Home win | home | 3.90 | 56.5% | 1.204 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 10, 2019 | mlb |
Marlins
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.80 | 56.7% | 0.588 | 0.60u | Won | +1.08u |
| Aug 10, 2019 | mlb |
Mets
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 4.90 | 56.7% | 1.779 | 1.20u | Won | +4.68u |
| Aug 10, 2019 | mlb |
Twins
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.50 | 50.0% | 0.250 | 0.83u | Lost | -0.83u |
| Aug 10, 2019 | mlb |
Cardinals
Pirates
|
Home cover | home | 2.60 | 50.0% | 0.300 | 0.94u | Won | +1.50u |
| Aug 9, 2019 | mlb |
Orioles
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 50.0% | 0.201 | 0.72u | Lost | -0.72u |
| Aug 9, 2019 | mlb |
Mariners
Rays
|
Home cover | home | 2.35 | 50.0% | 0.175 | 0.65u | Lost | -0.65u |
| Aug 9, 2019 | mlb |
Tigers
Royals
|
Home win | home | 4.60 | 56.7% | 1.609 | 1.20u | Won | +4.32u |
| Aug 9, 2019 | mlb |
Cardinals
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 4.50 | 56.6% | 1.545 | 0.60u | Won | +2.10u |
| Aug 8, 2019 | mlb |
Marlins
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.75 | 56.7% | 0.560 | 1.20u | Won | +2.10u |
| Aug 8, 2019 | mlb |
Reds
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.70 | 56.0% | 0.512 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 8, 2019 | mlb |
Red Sox
Angels
|
Home cover | home | 2.50 | 50.0% | 0.250 | 0.83u | Won | +1.25u |
| Aug 7, 2019 | mlb |
Twins
Braves
|
Home cover | home | 2.95 | 50.0% | 0.475 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 7, 2019 | mlb |
Indians
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.60 | 50.0% | 0.300 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 7, 2019 | mlb |
Giants
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 56.7% | 0.417 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 7, 2019 | mlb |
Indians
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.70 | 56.1% | 0.514 | 1.20u | Won | +2.04u |
| Aug 6, 2019 | mlb |
Red Sox
Royals
|
Home win | home | 4.20 | 56.0% | 1.352 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 6, 2019 | mlb |
Tigers
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 56.7% | 0.446 | 0.60u | Won | +0.93u |
| Aug 6, 2019 | mlb |
Cubs
Athletics
|
Home cover | home | 2.50 | 50.0% | 0.250 | 0.83u | Lost | -0.83u |
| Aug 6, 2019 | mlb |
Dodgers
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.50 | 50.0% | 0.250 | 0.83u | Lost | -0.83u |
| Aug 6, 2019 | mlb |
Tigers
White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.45 | 50.0% | 0.225 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| Aug 5, 2019 | mlb |
Dodgers
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 50.0% | 0.225 | 0.78u | Lost | -0.78u |
| Aug 5, 2019 | mlb |
Reds
Angels
|
Home win | home | 3.10 | 56.4% | 0.750 | 0.60u | Won | +1.26u |
| Aug 5, 2019 | mlb |
Giants
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 4.00 | 56.9% | 1.276 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 4, 2019 | mlb |
Pirates
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 56.7% | 0.248 | 1.03u | Lost | -1.03u |
| Aug 4, 2019 | mlb |
Cubs
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 56.7% | 0.220 | 0.77u | Won | +0.89u |
| Aug 4, 2019 | mlb |
Braves
Reds
|
Home cover | home | 2.60 | 50.0% | 0.300 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 4, 2019 | mlb |
Rockies
Giants
|
Home cover | home | 3.00 | 50.0% | 0.500 | 1.20u | Won | +2.40u |
| Aug 3, 2019 | mlb |
Indians
Angels
|
Home cover | home | 2.50 | 50.0% | 0.250 | 0.77u | Won | +1.16u |
| Aug 3, 2019 | mlb |
Rockies
Giants
|
Home cover | home | 2.70 | 50.0% | 0.350 | 1.03u | Lost | -1.03u |
| Aug 3, 2019 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 56.4% | 0.157 | 0.71u | Won | +0.75u |
| Aug 3, 2019 | mlb |
Rangers
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 56.6% | 0.273 | 1.09u | Won | +1.36u |
| Aug 2, 2019 | mlb |
Braves
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 56.1% | 0.291 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 2, 2019 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.60 | 56.6% | 0.471 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 2, 2019 | mlb |
Cubs
Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 2.50 | 50.0% | 0.250 | 0.83u | Won | +1.25u |
| Aug 2, 2019 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.40 | 50.0% | 0.200 | 0.71u | Won | +0.99u |
| Aug 2, 2019 | mlb |
Braves
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 49.9% | 0.176 | 0.26u | Won | +0.35u |
| Aug 1, 2019 | mlb |
Dodgers
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 50.0% | 0.200 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| Aug 1, 2019 | mlb |
Athletics
Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 2.75 | 50.0% | 0.375 | 1.07u | Won | +1.87u |
| Aug 1, 2019 | mlb |
Braves
Reds
|
Home win | home | 3.30 | 56.8% | 0.875 | 0.60u | Won | +1.38u |
| Aug 1, 2019 | mlb |
Indians
Astros
|
Home win | home | 4.10 | 56.7% | 1.326 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 31, 2019 | mlb |
Red Sox
Rays
|
Home win | home | 3.20 | 56.8% | 0.818 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 31, 2019 | mlb |
Rangers
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 56.7% | 0.390 | 0.60u | Won | +0.87u |
| Jul 31, 2019 | mlb |
Nationals
Braves
|
Home cover | home | 2.65 | 50.0% | 0.325 | 0.98u | Won | +1.62u |
| Jul 31, 2019 | mlb |
Cardinals
Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.50 | 50.0% | 0.250 | 0.82u | Lost | -0.82u |
| Jul 30, 2019 | mlb |
Nationals
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.10 | 33.3% | 0.400 | 1.20u | Won | +1.32u |
| Jul 30, 2019 | mlb |
Athletics
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 43.0% | 0.340 | 0.60u | Won | +0.81u |
| Jul 30, 2019 | mlb |
Rangers
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 3.50 | 52.0% | 0.821 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 30, 2019 | mlb |
Reds
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.75 | 52.8% | 0.452 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 29, 2019 | mlb |
Padres
Orioles
|
Home win | away | 2.65 | 45.4% | 0.447 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 29, 2019 | mlb |
Royals
Blue Jays
|
Home win | away | 5.00 | 47.8% | 1.612 | 1.20u | Won | +4.80u |
| Jul 29, 2019 | mlb |
Nationals
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.60 | 43.0% | 0.483 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 29, 2019 | mlb |
Reds
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.10 | 36.4% | 0.336 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 28, 2019 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.70 | 43.0% | 0.540 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 28, 2019 | mlb |
Phillies
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 43.0% | 0.397 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 28, 2019 | mlb |
Athletics
Rangers
|
Home win | away | 2.95 | 47.1% | 0.560 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 28, 2019 | mlb |
Royals
Indians
|
Home win | away | 3.30 | 50.0% | 0.651 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 27, 2019 | mlb |
Brewers
Cubs
|
Home win | away | 3.20 | 49.4% | 0.618 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 27, 2019 | mlb |
Marlins
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 4.60 | 51.9% | 1.386 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 27, 2019 | mlb |
Royals
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 33.3% | 0.433 | 0.60u | Won | +0.69u |
| Jul 27, 2019 | mlb |
Mariners
Tigers
|
Home cover | home | 2.15 | 100.0% | 1.150 | 1.20u | Won | +1.38u |
| Jul 26, 2019 | mlb |
Cardinals
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 33.3% | 0.467 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 26, 2019 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 36.4% | 0.496 | 1.20u | Won | +1.62u |
| Jul 26, 2019 | mlb |
Padres
Giants
|
Home win | away | 4.00 | 49.6% | 1.018 | 1.20u | Won | +3.60u |
| Jul 26, 2019 | mlb |
Mariners
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 3.20 | 55.0% | 0.761 | 0.60u | Won | +1.32u |
| Jul 25, 2019 | mlb |
White Sox
Twins
|
Home win | away | 3.20 | 48.3% | 0.654 | 0.60u | Won | +1.32u |
| Jul 25, 2019 | mlb |
Mets
Padres
|
Home win | home | 3.40 | 53.8% | 0.828 | 1.20u | Won | +2.88u |
| Jul 25, 2019 | mlb |
White Sox
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 43.0% | 0.340 | 0.60u | Won | +0.81u |
| Jul 25, 2019 | mlb |
Pirates
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 33.3% | 0.433 | 1.20u | Won | +1.38u |
| Jul 24, 2019 | mlb |
Rays
Red Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.85 | 50.0% | 0.425 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 24, 2019 | mlb |
Giants
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 36.4% | 0.496 | 1.20u | Won | +1.62u |
| Jul 24, 2019 | mlb |
White Sox
Marlins
|
Home win | away | 3.00 | 48.3% | 0.550 | 1.20u | Won | +2.40u |
| Jul 24, 2019 | mlb |
Giants
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 57.2% | 0.460 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.