Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 2, 2026 10:47 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.48 | 50.5% | 0.252 | 0.85u | Lost | -0.85u |
| Apr 11, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.27 | 50.6% | 0.150 | 0.59u | Lost | -0.59u |
| Apr 11, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 48.4% | 0.222 | 0.60u | Won | +0.82u |
| Apr 11, 2021 | mlb |
Dodgers
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.04 | 36.8% | 0.288 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 10, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.17 | 36.8% | 0.371 | 0.60u | Won | +0.70u |
| Apr 10, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 36.8% | 0.440 | 1.20u | Won | +1.54u |
| Apr 10, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.37 | 50.7% | 0.202 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| Apr 10, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.39 | 50.6% | 0.210 | 0.75u | Won | +1.04u |
| Apr 9, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.67 | 50.5% | 0.349 | 1.04u | Won | +1.74u |
| Apr 9, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.31 | 50.6% | 0.169 | 0.65u | Won | +0.85u |
| Apr 9, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.02 | 36.8% | 0.276 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 9, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.31 | 53.6% | 0.238 | 0.60u | Won | +0.79u |
| Apr 8, 2021 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.00 | 36.8% | 0.263 | 0.60u | Won | +0.60u |
| Apr 8, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.17 | 36.8% | 0.371 | 1.20u | Won | +1.40u |
| Apr 8, 2021 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.38 | 50.6% | 0.204 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| Apr 8, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.28 | 50.8% | 0.159 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Apr 8, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.31 | 50.7% | 0.172 | 0.66u | Lost | -0.66u |
| Apr 7, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.66 | 50.8% | 0.352 | 1.06u | Lost | -1.06u |
| Apr 7, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.61 | 50.4% | 0.316 | 0.74u | Won | +1.19u |
| Apr 7, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.43 | 48.4% | 0.253 | 0.88u | Lost | -0.88u |
| Apr 7, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 36.8% | 0.211 | 0.92u | Lost | -0.92u |
| Apr 6, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 18.2% | 0.915 | 1.20u | Won | +1.61u |
| Apr 6, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 18.2% | 0.841 | 0.60u | Won | +0.75u |
| Apr 6, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.08 | 34.7% | 0.357 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 6, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Mets
|
Home win | away | 2.62 | 48.8% | 0.342 | 0.60u | Won | +0.97u |
| Apr 6, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Braves
|
Home win | away | 3.52 | 48.7% | 0.805 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 6, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 57.1% | 0.429 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 5, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Twins
|
Home win | away | 2.94 | 48.7% | 0.508 | 1.20u | Won | +2.33u |
| Apr 5, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Blue Jays
|
Home win | away | 2.35 | 48.8% | 0.204 | 0.60u | Won | +0.81u |
| Apr 5, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.74 | 57.1% | 0.566 | 1.20u | Won | +2.09u |
| Apr 5, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Mets
|
Home cover | home | 2.00 | 71.4% | 0.429 | 1.20u | Won | +1.20u |
| Apr 5, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 39.2% | 0.380 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 5, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Dodgers
|
Home cover | home | 2.53 | 64.7% | 0.638 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 5, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 1.99 | 27.4% | 0.445 | 0.60u | Won | +0.59u |
| Apr 4, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Orioles
|
Home cover | home | 2.06 | 71.4% | 0.471 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 4, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 1.83 | 18.2% | 0.494 | 1.20u | Won | +0.99u |
| Apr 4, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 35.0% | 0.424 | 1.20u | Won | +1.43u |
| Apr 4, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Dodgers
|
Home win | away | 2.79 | 48.7% | 0.432 | 1.20u | Won | +2.15u |
| Apr 4, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Orioles
|
Home win | away | 2.63 | 48.7% | 0.349 | 0.60u | Won | +0.98u |
| Apr 3, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | away | 2.80 | 48.7% | 0.436 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 3, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Rangers
|
Home win | away | 2.49 | 48.7% | 0.277 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 3, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.15 | 100.0% | 1.150 | 1.20u | Won | +1.38u |
| Apr 3, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | home | 2.47 | 71.4% | 0.764 | 0.60u | Won | +0.88u |
| Apr 3, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Twins
|
Home cover | home | 2.48 | 61.3% | 0.521 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 3, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 30.1% | 0.643 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 2, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | home | 2.54 | 71.4% | 0.814 | 1.20u | Won | +1.85u |
| Apr 2, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Rays
|
Home cover | home | 1.85 | 71.4% | 0.320 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 2, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Orioles
|
Home win | away | 2.85 | 48.8% | 0.459 | 1.20u | Won | +2.22u |
| Apr 2, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Giants
|
Home win | away | 2.55 | 48.7% | 0.308 | 0.60u | Won | +0.93u |
| Apr 1, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Rangers
|
Home win | away | 2.87 | 48.7% | 0.473 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 1, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | away | 3.06 | 48.7% | 0.569 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 1, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Dodgers
|
Home cover | home | 2.20 | 71.4% | 0.571 | 0.60u | Won | +0.72u |
| Apr 1, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Rays
|
Home cover | home | 2.73 | 71.4% | 0.950 | 1.20u | Won | +2.08u |
| Apr 1, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 1.89 | 27.0% | 0.376 | 0.60u | Won | +0.53u |
| Oct 25, 2020 | mlb |
Rays
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 1.94 | 39.2% | 0.181 | 0.96u | Won | +0.91u |
| Oct 24, 2020 | mlb |
Rays
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 1.99 | 39.2% | 0.210 | 1.06u | Lost | -1.06u |
| Oct 23, 2020 | mlb |
Rays
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.12 | 39.2% | 0.289 | 1.20u | Won | +1.34u |
| Oct 17, 2020 | mlb |
Rays
Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.66 | 50.4% | 0.342 | 1.03u | Won | +1.71u |
| Oct 16, 2020 | mlb |
Rays
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.66 | 53.5% | 0.424 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Oct 15, 2020 | mlb |
Braves
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.84 | 55.3% | 0.571 | 1.20u | Won | +2.21u |
| Oct 15, 2020 | mlb |
Astros
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.17 | 52.8% | 0.146 | 0.60u | Won | +0.70u |
| Oct 15, 2020 | mlb |
Astros
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.17 | 47.8% | 0.133 | 0.57u | Lost | -0.57u |
| Oct 14, 2020 | mlb |
Astros
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.23 | 47.8% | 0.164 | 0.66u | Lost | -0.66u |
| Oct 14, 2020 | mlb |
Astros
Rays
|
Home win | home | 3.03 | 52.8% | 0.601 | 1.20u | Won | +2.44u |
| Oct 14, 2020 | mlb |
Braves
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.60 | 53.3% | 0.387 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Oct 13, 2020 | mlb |
Astros
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 46.3% | 0.293 | 1.04u | Won | +1.47u |
| Oct 9, 2020 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.09 | 45.7% | 0.134 | 0.62u | Lost | -0.62u |
| Oct 9, 2020 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 53.8% | 0.264 | 0.98u | Won | +1.32u |
| Oct 8, 2020 | mlb |
Yankees
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.46 | 53.8% | 0.324 | 1.11u | Won | +1.62u |
| Oct 8, 2020 | mlb |
Padres
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.22 | 47.9% | 0.157 | 0.64u | Won | +0.78u |
| Oct 6, 2020 | mlb |
Athletics
Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.48 | 50.0% | 0.240 | 0.81u | Lost | -0.81u |
| Oct 6, 2020 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 1.95 | 61.6% | 0.203 | 1.06u | Won | +1.01u |
| Oct 5, 2020 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.34 | 61.6% | 0.442 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Oct 5, 2020 | mlb |
Athletics
Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.54 | 50.0% | 0.270 | 0.88u | Lost | -0.88u |
| Oct 1, 2020 | mlb |
Dodgers
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 1.97 | 61.6% | 0.215 | 1.11u | Won | +1.08u |
| Sep 30, 2020 | mlb |
Twins
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.13 | 61.6% | 0.312 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 30, 2020 | mlb |
Dodgers
Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 2.50 | 50.0% | 0.250 | 0.83u | Won | +1.25u |
| Sep 29, 2020 | mlb |
Rays
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 50.0% | 0.210 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| Sep 29, 2020 | mlb |
Athletics
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.03 | 61.6% | 0.251 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 29, 2020 | mlb |
Rays
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 1.98 | 61.6% | 0.220 | 0.60u | Won | +0.59u |
| Sep 27, 2020 | mlb |
Rangers
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 61.6% | 0.294 | 0.60u | Won | +0.66u |
| Sep 27, 2020 | mlb |
Nationals
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 61.6% | 0.417 | 1.20u | Won | +1.56u |
| Sep 27, 2020 | mlb |
White Sox
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 50.0% | 0.151 | 0.58u | Won | +0.75u |
| Sep 26, 2020 | mlb |
Mariners
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 50.0% | 0.200 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| Sep 26, 2020 | mlb |
Rays
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 50.0% | 0.220 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| Sep 26, 2020 | mlb |
Braves
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 61.6% | 0.417 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 26, 2020 | mlb |
Rangers
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 61.6% | 0.386 | 0.60u | Won | +0.75u |
| Sep 25, 2020 | mlb |
Giants
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.52 | 61.6% | 0.553 | 1.20u | Won | +1.82u |
| Sep 25, 2020 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.48 | 61.6% | 0.528 | 0.60u | Won | +0.89u |
| Sep 24, 2020 | mlb |
Cardinals
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.42 | 61.6% | 0.491 | 1.20u | Won | +1.70u |
| Sep 24, 2020 | mlb |
Pirates
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.22 | 61.6% | 0.368 | 0.60u | Won | +0.73u |
| Sep 23, 2020 | mlb |
Nationals
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.96 | 61.6% | 0.824 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 23, 2020 | mlb |
Reds
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 3.30 | 61.6% | 1.033 | 1.20u | Won | +2.76u |
| Sep 23, 2020 | mlb |
Royals
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 50.0% | 0.185 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Sep 22, 2020 | mlb |
Dodgers
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 3.33 | 57.1% | 0.900 | 1.20u | Won | +2.80u |
| Sep 22, 2020 | mlb |
Red Sox
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 2.74 | 57.6% | 0.578 | 0.60u | Won | +1.04u |
| Sep 21, 2020 | mlb |
Braves
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.42 | 57.1% | 0.381 | 0.60u | Won | +0.85u |
| Sep 21, 2020 | mlb |
Indians
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.64 | 57.5% | 0.519 | 1.20u | Won | +1.97u |
| Sep 20, 2020 | mlb |
Reds
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 3.32 | 57.6% | 0.912 | 1.20u | Won | +2.78u |
| Sep 20, 2020 | mlb |
Tigers
Indians
|
Home win | home | 2.68 | 58.8% | 0.576 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.