Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 2, 2026 10:47 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2017 | mlb |
Red Sox
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 51.9% | 0.323 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 25, 2017 | mlb |
Angels
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.95 | 51.3% | 0.513 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 24, 2017 | mlb |
Royals
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.65 | 51.3% | 0.359 | 1.09u | Lost | -1.09u |
| Aug 24, 2017 | mlb |
Astros
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 51.6% | 0.315 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| Aug 23, 2017 | mlb |
Cardinals
Padres
|
Home win | home | 3.30 | 51.7% | 0.705 | 1.20u | Won | +2.76u |
| Aug 23, 2017 | mlb |
Tigers
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.65 | 52.5% | 0.390 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 22, 2017 | mlb |
Pirates
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.51 | 51.7% | 0.297 | 0.98u | Lost | -0.98u |
| Aug 22, 2017 | mlb |
Mets
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.43 | 51.6% | 0.253 | 0.82u | Lost | -0.82u |
| Aug 20, 2017 | mlb |
Rangers
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 52.1% | 0.328 | 1.06u | Lost | -1.06u |
| Aug 20, 2017 | mlb |
Twins
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.32 | 51.2% | 0.187 | 0.71u | Won | +0.94u |
| Aug 19, 2017 | mlb |
Tigers
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 51.5% | 0.211 | 0.78u | Lost | -0.78u |
| Aug 19, 2017 | mlb |
Red Sox
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 52.1% | 0.276 | 0.95u | Lost | -0.95u |
| Aug 18, 2017 | mlb |
Pirates
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.95 | 52.1% | 0.536 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 18, 2017 | mlb |
Mets
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.85 | 52.1% | 0.484 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 17, 2017 | mlb |
Twins
Indians
|
Home win | home | 2.85 | 51.7% | 0.472 | 1.20u | Won | +2.22u |
| Aug 17, 2017 | mlb |
Mets
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.60 | 51.8% | 0.348 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 16, 2017 | mlb |
Padres
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.43 | 51.3% | 0.247 | 0.86u | Won | +1.23u |
| Aug 15, 2017 | mlb |
Nationals
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.52 | 52.5% | 0.323 | 1.06u | Won | +1.61u |
| Aug 13, 2017 | mlb |
Phillies
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.48 | 52.0% | 0.290 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| Aug 13, 2017 | mlb |
Brewers
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 52.5% | 0.339 | 1.09u | Won | +1.69u |
| Aug 12, 2017 | mlb |
Marlins
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 52.5% | 0.260 | 0.93u | Won | +1.30u |
| Aug 10, 2017 | mlb |
Reds
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.54 | 52.5% | 0.334 | 1.08u | Won | +1.66u |
| Aug 10, 2017 | mlb |
White Sox
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 53.2% | 0.329 | 0.72u | Won | +1.08u |
| Aug 9, 2017 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.95 | 51.9% | 0.532 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 9, 2017 | mlb |
Giants
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.75 | 53.2% | 0.462 | 0.60u | Won | +1.05u |
| Aug 8, 2017 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 3.30 | 51.9% | 0.714 | 1.20u | Won | +2.76u |
| Aug 8, 2017 | mlb |
Angels
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 2.90 | 53.0% | 0.538 | 0.60u | Won | +1.14u |
| Aug 7, 2017 | mlb |
Royals
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.70 | 52.5% | 0.418 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 6, 2017 | mlb |
Indians
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 53.2% | 0.329 | 1.10u | Lost | -1.10u |
| Aug 5, 2017 | mlb |
Reds
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.95 | 53.2% | 0.568 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 5, 2017 | mlb |
Indians
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.41 | 52.3% | 0.261 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 4, 2017 | mlb |
Red Sox
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.43 | 52.3% | 0.271 | 0.95u | Won | +1.36u |
| Aug 3, 2017 | mlb |
Rockies
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 51.9% | 0.194 | 0.60u | Won | +0.78u |
| Aug 3, 2017 | mlb |
Brewers
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 3.05 | 52.3% | 0.596 | 1.20u | Won | +2.46u |
| Aug 2, 2017 | mlb |
Marlins
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.85 | 51.5% | 0.468 | 1.20u | Won | +2.22u |
| Aug 2, 2017 | mlb |
Rockies
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.53 | 53.9% | 0.363 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 1, 2017 | mlb |
White Sox
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.95 | 59.8% | 0.764 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 1, 2017 | mlb |
Athletics
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.90 | 59.8% | 0.734 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 31, 2017 | mlb |
Astros
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.18 | 59.8% | 0.304 | 0.60u | Won | +0.71u |
| Jul 31, 2017 | mlb |
Phillies
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.74 | 59.8% | 0.639 | 1.20u | Won | +2.09u |
| Jul 30, 2017 | mlb |
Athletics
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 59.8% | 0.465 | 1.20u | Won | +1.74u |
| Jul 30, 2017 | mlb |
Dodgers
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 59.8% | 0.405 | 0.60u | Won | +0.81u |
| Jul 29, 2017 | mlb |
Mariners
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.61 | 59.8% | 0.561 | 0.60u | Won | +0.97u |
| Jul 29, 2017 | mlb |
Cardinals
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 3.65 | 59.8% | 1.182 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 28, 2017 | mlb |
Red Sox
Royals
|
Home win | home | 3.20 | 59.8% | 0.914 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 28, 2017 | mlb |
Rangers
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 59.8% | 0.495 | 0.60u | Won | +0.90u |
| Jul 27, 2017 | mlb |
Yankees
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.08 | 59.8% | 0.243 | 0.60u | Won | +0.65u |
| Jul 27, 2017 | mlb |
Padres
Mets
|
Home win | home | 3.40 | 59.8% | 1.033 | 1.20u | Won | +2.88u |
| Jul 26, 2017 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.90 | 59.8% | 0.733 | 0.60u | Won | +1.14u |
| Jul 26, 2017 | mlb |
Mariners
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 3.48 | 59.8% | 1.080 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 25, 2017 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.38 | 59.8% | 0.424 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 25, 2017 | mlb |
Tigers
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.23 | 59.8% | 0.333 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 24, 2017 | mlb |
Cubs
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 59.8% | 0.435 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 24, 2017 | mlb |
Indians
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 59.8% | 0.465 | 1.20u | Won | +1.74u |
| Jul 23, 2017 | mlb |
Royals
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 59.8% | 0.255 | 0.60u | Won | +0.66u |
| Jul 23, 2017 | mlb |
Phillies
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.16 | 59.8% | 0.291 | 1.20u | Won | +1.39u |
| Jul 22, 2017 | mlb |
Mariners
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.26 | 59.8% | 0.351 | 1.20u | Won | +1.51u |
| Jul 22, 2017 | mlb |
Cubs
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.17 | 59.8% | 0.297 | 0.60u | Won | +0.70u |
| Jul 21, 2017 | mlb |
Angels
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.90 | 59.8% | 0.733 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 21, 2017 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.38 | 59.8% | 0.424 | 0.60u | Won | +0.83u |
| Jul 20, 2017 | mlb |
Mariners
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 1.96 | 59.8% | 0.173 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 20, 2017 | mlb |
Dodgers
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.32 | 59.8% | 0.387 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 19, 2017 | mlb |
Angels
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.74 | 59.8% | 0.638 | 0.60u | Won | +1.04u |
| Jul 19, 2017 | mlb |
Reds
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 3.05 | 59.8% | 0.823 | 1.20u | Won | +2.46u |
| Jul 18, 2017 | mlb |
Rockies
Padres
|
Home win | away | 2.63 | 47.6% | 0.378 | 1.16u | Lost | -1.16u |
| Jul 18, 2017 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
Home win | away | 2.47 | 47.2% | 0.304 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| Jul 17, 2017 | mlb |
Marlins
Phillies
|
Home win | away | 3.05 | 47.8% | 0.593 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 17, 2017 | mlb |
Braves
Cubs
|
Home win | away | 2.47 | 47.1% | 0.307 | 0.60u | Won | +0.88u |
| Jul 16, 2017 | mlb |
Red Sox
Yankees
|
Home win | away | 2.80 | 47.8% | 0.462 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 16, 2017 | mlb |
Reds
Nationals
|
Home win | away | 2.50 | 47.1% | 0.324 | 0.60u | Won | +0.90u |
| Jul 15, 2017 | mlb |
Padres
Giants
|
Home win | away | 2.57 | 47.4% | 0.351 | 1.12u | Lost | -1.12u |
| Jul 15, 2017 | mlb |
Pirates
Cardinals
|
Home win | away | 2.50 | 47.1% | 0.324 | 0.68u | Won | +1.02u |
| Jul 14, 2017 | mlb |
Red Sox
Yankees
|
Home win | away | 2.56 | 47.8% | 0.337 | 1.08u | Lost | -1.08u |
| Jul 14, 2017 | mlb |
Angels
Rays
|
Home win | away | 2.53 | 47.4% | 0.332 | 0.72u | Won | +1.10u |
| Jul 9, 2017 | mlb |
Cardinals
Mets
|
Home win | away | 3.68 | 47.0% | 0.949 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 9, 2017 | mlb |
Cubs
Pirates
|
Home win | away | 3.03 | 47.4% | 0.593 | 0.60u | Won | +1.22u |
| Jul 8, 2017 | mlb |
Twins
Orioles
|
Home win | away | 2.81 | 46.7% | 0.498 | 0.60u | Won | +1.09u |
| Jul 8, 2017 | mlb |
Indians
Tigers
|
Home win | away | 3.18 | 47.2% | 0.679 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 7, 2017 | mlb |
Rangers
Angels
|
Home win | away | 3.54 | 47.6% | 0.855 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 7, 2017 | mlb |
Cubs
Pirates
|
Home win | away | 2.92 | 47.3% | 0.539 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 6, 2017 | mlb |
Phillies
Pirates
|
Home win | away | 2.70 | 46.7% | 0.438 | 0.60u | Won | +1.02u |
| Jul 6, 2017 | mlb |
Rays
Red Sox
|
Home win | away | 2.85 | 47.6% | 0.493 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 5, 2017 | mlb |
Athletics
White Sox
|
Home win | away | 3.20 | 47.1% | 0.694 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 5, 2017 | mlb |
Braves
Astros
|
Home win | away | 3.15 | 47.6% | 0.651 | 0.60u | Won | +1.29u |
| Jul 4, 2017 | mlb |
Dodgers
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 50.3% | 0.182 | 0.67u | Won | +0.90u |
| Jul 3, 2017 | mlb |
Mariners
Royals
|
Home win | away | 2.68 | 49.9% | 0.342 | 1.02u | Won | +1.71u |
| Jul 2, 2017 | mlb |
Mets
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.95 | 51.4% | 0.516 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 2, 2017 | mlb |
Royals
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.52 | 50.5% | 0.272 | 0.60u | Won | +0.91u |
| Jul 1, 2017 | mlb |
Pirates
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.68 | 51.3% | 0.374 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 1, 2017 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.88 | 50.5% | 0.455 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 30, 2017 | mlb |
White Sox
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.90 | 50.6% | 0.466 | 1.20u | Won | +2.28u |
| Jun 30, 2017 | mlb |
Orioles
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.28 | 51.8% | 0.180 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jun 29, 2017 | mlb |
White Sox
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.56 | 52.0% | 0.331 | 0.60u | Won | +0.94u |
| Jun 29, 2017 | mlb |
Red Sox
Twins
|
Home win | home | 3.20 | 51.8% | 0.657 | 1.20u | Won | +2.64u |
| Jun 27, 2017 | mlb |
Tigers
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.33 | 52.1% | 0.214 | 0.60u | Won | +0.80u |
| Jun 27, 2017 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Cardinals
|
Home win | away | 2.90 | 49.6% | 0.462 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 26, 2017 | mlb |
White Sox
Yankees
|
Home win | away | 2.90 | 49.9% | 0.453 | 1.19u | Won | +2.26u |
| Jun 26, 2017 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Phillies
|
Home win | away | 2.61 | 48.3% | 0.350 | 0.61u | Lost | -0.61u |
| Jun 25, 2017 | mlb |
Royals
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 52.2% | 0.201 | 0.77u | Lost | -0.77u |
| Jun 24, 2017 | mlb |
Nationals
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.48 | 51.1% | 0.268 | 0.90u | Won | +1.33u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.