Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 2, 2026 10:47 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2018 | mlb |
Mariners
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 43.1% | 0.325 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 1, 2018 | mlb |
Nationals
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.54 | 43.3% | 0.441 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 1, 2018 | mlb |
Mets
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.47 | 50.5% | 0.248 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| May 1, 2018 | mlb |
Tigers
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.66 | 50.5% | 0.344 | 1.04u | Won | +1.73u |
| Apr 30, 2018 | mlb |
Cubs
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 50.5% | 0.187 | 0.69u | Won | +0.93u |
| Apr 30, 2018 | mlb |
Tigers
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 43.3% | 0.326 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 30, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.22 | 43.3% | 0.258 | 0.60u | Won | +0.73u |
| Apr 29, 2018 | mlb |
Red Sox
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 43.4% | 0.297 | 0.60u | Won | +0.77u |
| Apr 29, 2018 | mlb |
Pirates
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 43.2% | 0.364 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 29, 2018 | mlb |
Indians
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.36 | 50.5% | 0.192 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| Apr 28, 2018 | mlb |
Royals
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 50.5% | 0.213 | 0.76u | Won | +1.06u |
| Apr 28, 2018 | mlb |
Indians
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 43.2% | 0.385 | 0.60u | Won | +0.86u |
| Apr 28, 2018 | mlb |
Giants
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.48 | 42.9% | 0.416 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 27, 2018 | mlb |
Royals
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 43.2% | 0.272 | 0.63u | Won | +0.78u |
| Apr 27, 2018 | mlb |
Padres
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 43.2% | 0.301 | 1.17u | Won | +1.51u |
| Apr 27, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 2.42 | 50.5% | 0.223 | 0.78u | Lost | -0.78u |
| Apr 26, 2018 | mlb |
Reds
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.82 | 50.5% | 0.425 | 1.17u | Lost | -1.17u |
| Apr 26, 2018 | mlb |
Indians
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 43.1% | 0.251 | 1.05u | Won | +1.26u |
| Apr 26, 2018 | mlb |
Phillies
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.00 | 43.1% | 0.139 | 0.69u | Won | +0.69u |
| Apr 25, 2018 | mlb |
Rangers
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.43 | 43.5% | 0.373 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 25, 2018 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 43.3% | 0.390 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 25, 2018 | mlb |
Giants
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 50.5% | 0.238 | 0.82u | Lost | -0.82u |
| Apr 24, 2018 | mlb |
Giants
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.46 | 52.4% | 0.290 | 0.99u | Won | +1.45u |
| Apr 24, 2018 | mlb |
Indians
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.61 | 49.4% | 0.322 | 0.60u | Won | +0.97u |
| Apr 24, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
Angels
|
Home cover | home | 2.89 | 53.9% | 0.557 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 23, 2018 | mlb |
Rangers
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 2.65 | 50.8% | 0.347 | 1.05u | Lost | -1.05u |
| Apr 23, 2018 | mlb |
Dodgers
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.33 | 51.3% | 0.194 | 0.73u | Won | +0.97u |
| Apr 22, 2018 | mlb |
Angels
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.79 | 52.2% | 0.457 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 22, 2018 | mlb |
Dodgers
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 3.25 | 50.7% | 0.648 | 1.20u | Won | +2.70u |
| Apr 22, 2018 | mlb |
Athletics
Red Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.77 | 50.7% | 0.405 | 1.14u | Won | +2.02u |
| Apr 22, 2018 | mlb |
Rangers
Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.69 | 51.1% | 0.376 | 0.66u | Won | +1.12u |
| Apr 21, 2018 | mlb |
Rangers
Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.79 | 50.2% | 0.402 | 1.12u | Lost | -1.12u |
| Apr 21, 2018 | mlb |
Cardinals
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 49.4% | 0.220 | 0.68u | Won | +0.96u |
| Apr 21, 2018 | mlb |
Brewers
Marlins
|
Home win | away | 2.99 | 49.6% | 0.507 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 21, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.80 | 53.5% | 0.499 | 0.60u | Won | +1.08u |
| Apr 20, 2018 | mlb |
Phillies
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 3.34 | 50.2% | 0.677 | 1.20u | Won | +2.81u |
| Apr 20, 2018 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.28 | 51.4% | 0.173 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 20, 2018 | mlb |
Brewers
Marlins
|
Home cover | home | 2.79 | 50.2% | 0.402 | 0.64u | Won | +1.15u |
| Apr 20, 2018 | mlb |
Braves
Mets
|
Home cover | home | 2.75 | 51.1% | 0.406 | 1.16u | Lost | -1.16u |
| Apr 19, 2018 | mlb |
Tigers
Orioles
|
Home cover | home | 3.08 | 50.7% | 0.563 | 1.20u | Won | +2.50u |
| Apr 19, 2018 | mlb |
Braves
Mets
|
Home cover | home | 2.76 | 50.7% | 0.400 | 0.60u | Won | +1.06u |
| Apr 19, 2018 | mlb |
Phillies
Pirates
|
Home win | away | 2.66 | 49.7% | 0.339 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 19, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.68 | 52.4% | 0.403 | 1.20u | Won | +2.02u |
| Apr 18, 2018 | mlb |
Pirates
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.51 | 53.2% | 0.336 | 1.11u | Won | +1.68u |
| Apr 18, 2018 | mlb |
Brewers
Reds
|
Home cover | home | 2.70 | 50.7% | 0.370 | 0.60u | Won | +1.02u |
| Apr 18, 2018 | mlb |
Braves
Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.73 | 51.8% | 0.415 | 1.20u | Won | +2.08u |
| Apr 17, 2018 | mlb |
Mariners
Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.63 | 50.7% | 0.334 | 0.62u | Lost | -0.62u |
| Apr 17, 2018 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Royals
|
Home cover | home | 2.81 | 50.7% | 0.426 | 1.18u | Lost | -1.18u |
| Apr 17, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.71 | 52.7% | 0.429 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 17, 2018 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.89 | 53.3% | 0.540 | 1.20u | Won | +2.27u |
| Apr 16, 2018 | mlb |
Braves
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.19 | 51.7% | 0.131 | 0.55u | Won | +0.65u |
| Apr 16, 2018 | mlb |
Athletics
White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.60 | 50.7% | 0.319 | 0.79u | Won | +1.26u |
| Apr 16, 2018 | mlb |
Mets
Nationals
|
Home cover | home | 2.64 | 50.5% | 0.333 | 1.01u | Lost | -1.01u |
| Apr 15, 2018 | mlb |
Red Sox
Orioles
|
Home cover | home | 2.53 | 50.7% | 0.284 | 0.76u | Won | +1.16u |
| Apr 15, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.68 | 50.3% | 0.348 | 1.04u | Lost | -1.04u |
| Apr 15, 2018 | mlb |
Padres
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.96 | 51.9% | 0.535 | 1.20u | Won | +2.35u |
| Apr 15, 2018 | mlb |
Marlins
Pirates
|
Home win | away | 2.88 | 49.9% | 0.443 | 0.60u | Won | +1.13u |
| Apr 14, 2018 | mlb |
Reds
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 51.8% | 0.294 | 0.98u | Lost | -0.98u |
| Apr 14, 2018 | mlb |
Mariners
Athletics
|
Home cover | home | 2.71 | 57.5% | 0.557 | 1.20u | Won | +2.05u |
| Apr 14, 2018 | mlb |
Mets
Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 2.74 | 51.8% | 0.420 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 13, 2018 | mlb |
Tigers
Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.75 | 51.1% | 0.406 | 1.16u | Lost | -1.16u |
| Apr 13, 2018 | mlb |
Royals
Angels
|
Home cover | home | 2.36 | 50.2% | 0.185 | 0.64u | Won | +0.87u |
| Apr 13, 2018 | mlb |
Cubs
Braves
|
Home win | away | 2.75 | 49.4% | 0.392 | 1.12u | Won | +1.96u |
| Apr 13, 2018 | mlb |
Nationals
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.65 | 52.3% | 0.386 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Apr 12, 2018 | mlb |
Padres
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.37 | 51.0% | 0.208 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| Apr 11, 2018 | mlb |
Cubs
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.26 | 53.7% | 0.214 | 0.85u | Won | +1.07u |
| Apr 11, 2018 | mlb |
Twins
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.38 | 52.3% | 0.244 | 0.89u | Won | +1.23u |
| Apr 11, 2018 | mlb |
White Sox
Rays
|
Home cover | home | 2.34 | 57.5% | 0.345 | 1.20u | Won | +1.61u |
| Apr 11, 2018 | mlb |
Dodgers
Athletics
|
Home cover | home | 2.65 | 50.2% | 0.331 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 10, 2018 | mlb |
Royals
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 44.6% | 0.245 | 0.75u | Won | +0.94u |
| Apr 10, 2018 | mlb |
White Sox
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 44.6% | 0.273 | 1.05u | Won | +1.37u |
| Apr 10, 2018 | mlb |
Cardinals
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.71 | 52.0% | 0.410 | 0.60u | Won | +1.03u |
| Apr 10, 2018 | mlb |
Red Sox
Yankees
|
Home win | away | 2.75 | 45.4% | 0.503 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 10, 2018 | mlb |
Orioles
Blue Jays
|
Home win | away | 2.84 | 46.4% | 0.521 | 0.60u | Won | +1.10u |
| Apr 10, 2018 | mlb |
Cubs
Pirates
|
Home win | away | 3.01 | 47.3% | 0.586 | 1.20u | Won | +2.41u |
| Apr 9, 2018 | mlb |
White Sox
Rays
|
Home win | away | 2.63 | 46.6% | 0.404 | 0.60u | Won | +0.98u |
| Apr 9, 2018 | mlb |
Marlins
Mets
|
Home win | away | 3.42 | 40.8% | 1.024 | 1.20u | Won | +2.90u |
| Apr 9, 2018 | mlb |
Rangers
Angels
|
Home win | away | 3.12 | 47.9% | 0.624 | 0.60u | Won | +1.27u |
| Apr 9, 2018 | mlb |
Nationals
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.57 | 44.7% | 0.422 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 9, 2018 | mlb |
Rockies
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 44.6% | 0.212 | 0.60u | Won | +0.71u |
| Apr 8, 2018 | mlb |
White Sox
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 44.7% | 0.295 | 1.10u | Won | +1.47u |
| Apr 8, 2018 | mlb |
Phillies
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 44.6% | 0.279 | 0.70u | Won | +0.92u |
| Apr 8, 2018 | mlb |
Brewers
Cubs
|
Home win | away | 2.81 | 34.5% | 0.840 | 1.20u | Won | +2.17u |
| Apr 8, 2018 | mlb |
Rangers
Blue Jays
|
Home win | away | 2.69 | 34.5% | 0.761 | 0.60u | Won | +1.01u |
| Apr 8, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
Padres
|
Home win | away | 3.36 | 47.0% | 0.782 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 8, 2018 | mlb |
Red Sox
Rays
|
Home win | away | 2.94 | 45.8% | 0.592 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 7, 2018 | mlb |
Pirates
Reds
|
Home win | away | 2.54 | 34.5% | 0.663 | 1.20u | Won | +1.85u |
| Apr 7, 2018 | mlb |
Cardinals
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.48 | 54.1% | 0.342 | 0.60u | Won | +0.89u |
| Apr 7, 2018 | mlb |
Angels
Athletics
|
Home win | away | 3.10 | 46.2% | 0.669 | 0.60u | Won | +1.26u |
| Apr 7, 2018 | mlb |
Nationals
Mets
|
Home win | away | 3.53 | 47.1% | 0.869 | 1.20u | Won | +3.04u |
| Apr 7, 2018 | mlb |
Rangers
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 44.6% | 0.257 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| Apr 7, 2018 | mlb |
Giants
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 44.6% | 0.290 | 1.09u | Lost | -1.09u |
| Apr 6, 2018 | mlb |
Brewers
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 44.7% | 0.251 | 0.69u | Lost | -0.69u |
| Apr 6, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 44.6% | 0.301 | 1.11u | Won | +1.50u |
| Apr 6, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Orioles
|
Home win | away | 3.01 | 41.6% | 0.759 | 0.60u | Won | +1.21u |
| Apr 6, 2018 | mlb |
Angels
Athletics
|
Home win | away | 3.44 | 35.6% | 1.215 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 5, 2018 | mlb |
Twins
Mariners
|
Home win | away | 3.13 | 46.6% | 0.671 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 5, 2018 | mlb |
Phillies
Marlins
|
Home win | away | 3.19 | 49.4% | 0.613 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 5, 2018 | mlb |
Brewers
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.69 | 44.6% | 0.489 | 1.20u | Won | +2.03u |
| Apr 5, 2018 | mlb |
Pirates
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.49 | 44.6% | 0.378 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.