Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 2, 2026 10:47 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2018 | mlb |
Marlins
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.65 | 44.7% | 0.466 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 27, 2018 | mlb |
Padres
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | home | 2.61 | 52.2% | 0.362 | 1.12u | Lost | -1.12u |
| Jul 27, 2018 | mlb |
Rockies
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 42.1% | 0.349 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Jul 27, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 3.16 | 50.8% | 0.605 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 27, 2018 | mlb |
Tigers
Indians
|
Home win | home | 3.14 | 50.6% | 0.589 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 26, 2018 | mlb |
Giants
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.31 | 50.7% | 0.172 | 0.66u | Lost | -0.66u |
| Jul 26, 2018 | mlb |
Rangers
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 50.7% | 0.166 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| Jul 26, 2018 | mlb |
Braves
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 37.6% | 0.429 | 1.20u | Won | +1.55u |
| Jul 26, 2018 | mlb |
Marlins
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 41.7% | 0.317 | 0.60u | Won | +0.76u |
| Jul 25, 2018 | mlb |
Indians
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 39.0% | 0.367 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 25, 2018 | mlb |
Cubs
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | home | 2.78 | 51.5% | 0.431 | 1.20u | Won | +2.14u |
| Jul 24, 2018 | mlb |
Mariners
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 35.9% | 0.570 | 1.20u | Won | +1.74u |
| Jul 24, 2018 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 36.3% | 0.433 | 0.60u | Won | +0.75u |
| Jul 24, 2018 | mlb |
Royals
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.37 | 50.6% | 0.199 | 0.73u | Won | +1.00u |
| Jul 24, 2018 | mlb |
Indians
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.71 | 50.5% | 0.367 | 1.07u | Lost | -1.07u |
| Jul 23, 2018 | mlb |
Indians
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 3.41 | 50.6% | 0.724 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 23, 2018 | mlb |
Angels
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.72 | 50.4% | 0.371 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 23, 2018 | mlb |
Phillies
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 46.1% | 0.273 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 23, 2018 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.73 | 52.2% | 0.426 | 1.20u | Won | +2.08u |
| Jul 22, 2018 | mlb |
Royals
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 40.2% | 0.381 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 22, 2018 | mlb |
Phillies
Padres
|
Home cover | home | 2.71 | 57.4% | 0.556 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 22, 2018 | mlb |
Mariners
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 3.67 | 50.4% | 0.851 | 1.20u | Won | +3.20u |
| Jul 22, 2018 | mlb |
Athletics
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.49 | 50.5% | 0.258 | 0.60u | Won | +0.89u |
| Jul 21, 2018 | mlb |
Cubs
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.64 | 50.7% | 0.338 | 1.03u | Won | +1.69u |
| Jul 21, 2018 | mlb |
Reds
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.60 | 50.7% | 0.317 | 0.77u | Lost | -0.77u |
| Jul 21, 2018 | mlb |
Tigers
Red Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.57 | 52.2% | 0.343 | 0.60u | Won | +0.94u |
| Jul 21, 2018 | mlb |
Royals
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.13 | 35.3% | 0.378 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 20, 2018 | mlb |
Rangers
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 43.5% | 0.242 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 20, 2018 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 38.9% | 0.376 | 1.20u | Won | +1.50u |
| Jul 20, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.77 | 50.2% | 0.392 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Jul 20, 2018 | mlb |
Tigers
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.76 | 50.6% | 0.397 | 1.13u | Lost | -1.13u |
| Jul 15, 2018 | mlb |
Twins
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.28 | 54.5% | 0.243 | 0.60u | Won | +0.77u |
| Jul 15, 2018 | mlb |
Indians
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.31 | 58.8% | 0.359 | 1.20u | Won | +1.57u |
| Jul 15, 2018 | mlb |
Orioles
Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.79 | 51.8% | 0.445 | 1.20u | Won | +2.15u |
| Jul 15, 2018 | mlb |
Cardinals
Reds
|
Home cover | home | 2.79 | 51.8% | 0.445 | 0.60u | Won | +1.07u |
| Jul 14, 2018 | mlb |
Braves
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | home | 2.74 | 51.8% | 0.419 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 14, 2018 | mlb |
Pirates
Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 2.76 | 51.8% | 0.429 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 14, 2018 | mlb |
White Sox
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.53 | 58.3% | 0.474 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 14, 2018 | mlb |
Mets
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.33 | 61.1% | 0.425 | 0.60u | Won | +0.80u |
| Jul 13, 2018 | mlb |
Padres
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 1.95 | 63.9% | 0.248 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 13, 2018 | mlb |
Indians
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 1.85 | 63.6% | 0.174 | 0.60u | Won | +0.51u |
| Jul 13, 2018 | mlb |
Orioles
Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.66 | 51.8% | 0.378 | 1.14u | Won | +1.89u |
| Jul 13, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
Tigers
|
Home cover | home | 2.64 | 51.8% | 0.367 | 0.66u | Won | +1.08u |
| Jul 12, 2018 | mlb |
Orioles
Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.87 | 51.8% | 0.487 | 1.20u | Won | +2.24u |
| Jul 12, 2018 | mlb |
Mets
Nationals
|
Home cover | home | 2.74 | 51.8% | 0.419 | 0.60u | Won | +1.04u |
| Jul 12, 2018 | mlb |
Red Sox
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.76 | 62.1% | 0.714 | 0.60u | Won | +1.06u |
| Jul 12, 2018 | mlb |
Indians
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.91 | 59.4% | 0.728 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 11, 2018 | mlb |
Red Sox
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.57 | 57.2% | 0.469 | 1.20u | Won | +1.88u |
| Jul 11, 2018 | mlb |
Rockies
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.51 | 57.1% | 0.434 | 0.60u | Won | +0.91u |
| Jul 11, 2018 | mlb |
Twins
Royals
|
Home cover | home | 2.54 | 51.8% | 0.315 | 0.60u | Won | +0.92u |
| Jul 11, 2018 | mlb |
Mets
Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.74 | 51.8% | 0.419 | 1.20u | Won | +2.09u |
| Jul 10, 2018 | mlb |
Giants
Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.31 | 51.8% | 0.196 | 0.73u | Lost | -0.73u |
| Jul 10, 2018 | mlb |
Rays
Tigers
|
Home cover | home | 2.59 | 51.8% | 0.341 | 1.07u | Won | +1.70u |
| Jul 10, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 2.67 | 61.1% | 0.632 | 0.60u | Won | +1.00u |
| Jul 10, 2018 | mlb |
White Sox
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 3.05 | 66.7% | 1.034 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 9, 2018 | mlb |
Rays
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.92 | 55.5% | 0.620 | 1.20u | Won | +2.30u |
| Jul 9, 2018 | mlb |
Mets
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.60 | 56.6% | 0.471 | 0.60u | Won | +0.96u |
| Jul 9, 2018 | mlb |
Rays
Tigers
|
Home cover | home | 2.30 | 51.8% | 0.191 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 9, 2018 | mlb |
Orioles
Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.73 | 51.8% | 0.414 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 8, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.74 | 51.8% | 0.419 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 8, 2018 | mlb |
Giants
Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.66 | 51.8% | 0.378 | 0.60u | Won | +1.00u |
| Jul 8, 2018 | mlb |
Royals
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 3.06 | 56.2% | 0.721 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 8, 2018 | mlb |
Cubs
Reds
|
Home win | away | 3.83 | 48.6% | 0.969 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 7, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.86 | 60.4% | 0.727 | 0.60u | Won | +1.12u |
| Jul 7, 2018 | mlb |
Mets
Rays
|
Home win | away | 3.21 | 45.0% | 0.764 | 1.20u | Won | +2.65u |
| Jul 7, 2018 | mlb |
Indians
Athletics
|
Home cover | home | 2.47 | 51.8% | 0.279 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Jul 7, 2018 | mlb |
Nationals
Marlins
|
Home cover | home | 2.64 | 51.8% | 0.367 | 1.12u | Won | +1.84u |
| Jul 6, 2018 | mlb |
Angels
Dodgers
|
Home cover | home | 2.74 | 51.8% | 0.419 | 0.60u | Won | +1.04u |
| Jul 6, 2018 | mlb |
Pirates
Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.81 | 51.8% | 0.455 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 6, 2018 | mlb |
Pirates
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 4.10 | 58.2% | 1.387 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 6, 2018 | mlb |
Mets
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.39 | 59.2% | 0.414 | 0.60u | Won | +0.83u |
| Jul 5, 2018 | mlb |
Tigers
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.01 | 57.3% | 0.152 | 0.75u | Lost | -0.75u |
| Jul 5, 2018 | mlb |
Mariners
Angels
|
Home win | away | 2.32 | 47.3% | 0.224 | 0.85u | Lost | -0.85u |
| Jul 5, 2018 | mlb |
Tigers
Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.88 | 51.8% | 0.491 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 5, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.58 | 51.8% | 0.336 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 4, 2018 | mlb |
Reds
White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.54 | 51.8% | 0.316 | 0.60u | Won | +0.92u |
| Jul 4, 2018 | mlb |
Rockies
Giants
|
Home cover | home | 2.77 | 51.8% | 0.435 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 4, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Braves
|
Home win | away | 3.05 | 48.5% | 0.570 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 4, 2018 | mlb |
Dodgers
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.59 | 55.9% | 0.448 | 0.60u | Won | +0.95u |
| Jul 3, 2018 | mlb |
Nationals
Red Sox
|
Home win | away | 2.79 | 47.3% | 0.470 | 0.60u | Won | +1.07u |
| Jul 3, 2018 | mlb |
Dodgers
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.57 | 65.6% | 0.687 | 1.20u | Won | +1.88u |
| Jul 3, 2018 | mlb |
Rangers
Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.75 | 50.8% | 0.398 | 1.14u | Lost | -1.14u |
| Jul 2, 2018 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Tigers
|
Home cover | home | 2.68 | 50.1% | 0.342 | 1.02u | Lost | -1.02u |
| Jul 2, 2018 | mlb |
Reds
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 49.8% | 0.215 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| Jul 2, 2018 | mlb |
Rockies
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.21 | 56.5% | 0.248 | 0.60u | Won | +0.73u |
| Jul 2, 2018 | mlb |
Marlins
Rays
|
Home win | home | 3.38 | 55.9% | 0.891 | 1.20u | Won | +2.86u |
| Jul 1, 2018 | mlb |
Reds
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.02 | 63.1% | 0.276 | 1.20u | Won | +1.22u |
| Jul 1, 2018 | mlb |
Rangers
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.33 | 53.3% | 0.242 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 1, 2018 | mlb |
Cubs
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.68 | 49.6% | 0.350 | 1.04u | Won | +1.75u |
| Jul 1, 2018 | mlb |
Cardinals
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 49.7% | 0.213 | 0.75u | Lost | -0.75u |
| Jun 30, 2018 | mlb |
Rangers
White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.67 | 50.1% | 0.337 | 1.01u | Won | +1.69u |
| Jun 30, 2018 | mlb |
Reds
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.53 | 55.0% | 0.391 | 0.60u | Won | +0.92u |
| Jun 30, 2018 | mlb |
Phillies
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.36 | 65.9% | 0.556 | 1.20u | Won | +1.63u |
| Jun 29, 2018 | mlb |
Phillies
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.66 | 52.9% | 0.407 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jun 29, 2018 | mlb |
Cardinals
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.51 | 58.2% | 0.462 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 29, 2018 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Giants
|
Home cover | home | 2.60 | 50.2% | 0.306 | 0.77u | Lost | -0.77u |
| Jun 29, 2018 | mlb |
Rays
Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.68 | 50.3% | 0.347 | 1.03u | Won | +1.73u |
| Jun 28, 2018 | mlb |
Red Sox
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.72 | 49.7% | 0.369 | 1.07u | Lost | -1.07u |
| Jun 28, 2018 | mlb |
Dodgers
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.43 | 49.8% | 0.220 | 0.73u | Won | +1.04u |
| Jun 28, 2018 | mlb |
Rays
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.42 | 52.3% | 0.265 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.