Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 2, 2026 10:47 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Orioles
|
Home cover | home | 2.74 | 57.7% | 0.580 | 1.20u | Won | +2.09u |
| Sep 21, 2018 | mlb |
Athletics
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.16 | 35.0% | 0.404 | 0.60u | Won | +0.70u |
| Sep 20, 2018 | mlb |
Nationals
Mets
|
Home cover | home | 2.25 | 58.5% | 0.316 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 20, 2018 | mlb |
Marlins
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.06 | 41.1% | 0.214 | 0.60u | Won | +0.64u |
| Sep 20, 2018 | mlb |
Marlins
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.37 | 50.6% | 0.199 | 0.73u | Lost | -0.73u |
| Sep 19, 2018 | mlb |
Brewers
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 50.6% | 0.189 | 0.70u | Won | +0.95u |
| Sep 19, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.51 | 50.6% | 0.270 | 0.90u | Won | +1.36u |
| Sep 19, 2018 | mlb |
Rangers
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 46.7% | 0.253 | 0.90u | Won | +1.22u |
| Sep 19, 2018 | mlb |
Dodgers
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.49 | 49.1% | 0.267 | 0.90u | Lost | -0.90u |
| Sep 18, 2018 | mlb |
Phillies
Mets
|
Home cover | home | 2.11 | 55.6% | 0.173 | 0.60u | Won | +0.67u |
| Sep 18, 2018 | mlb |
Padres
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 42.3% | 0.361 | 1.20u | Won | +1.63u |
| Sep 18, 2018 | mlb |
Phillies
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.81 | 50.6% | 0.421 | 0.60u | Won | +1.09u |
| Sep 18, 2018 | mlb |
Indians
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 4.88 | 50.5% | 1.466 | 1.20u | Won | +4.66u |
| Sep 17, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.54 | 66.3% | 0.685 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 17, 2018 | mlb |
Padres
Giants
|
Home cover | home | 2.98 | 51.4% | 0.531 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 16, 2018 | mlb |
Orioles
White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.21 | 57.8% | 0.278 | 1.15u | Won | +1.39u |
| Sep 16, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | home | 2.08 | 57.2% | 0.190 | 0.65u | Lost | -0.65u |
| Sep 16, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.37 | 50.5% | 0.198 | 0.72u | Lost | -0.72u |
| Sep 15, 2018 | mlb |
Phillies
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.38 | 50.6% | 0.205 | 0.74u | Won | +1.02u |
| Sep 15, 2018 | mlb |
Red Sox
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.29 | 50.7% | 0.161 | 0.62u | Won | +0.80u |
| Sep 15, 2018 | mlb |
Angels
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.66 | 45.5% | 0.448 | 0.60u | Won | +1.00u |
| Sep 15, 2018 | mlb |
Cardinals
Dodgers
|
Home cover | home | 2.79 | 52.6% | 0.467 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 14, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | home | 2.50 | 51.5% | 0.288 | 0.68u | Won | +1.02u |
| Sep 14, 2018 | mlb |
Phillies
Marlins
|
Home cover | home | 2.65 | 51.7% | 0.369 | 1.12u | Won | +1.85u |
| Sep 14, 2018 | mlb |
Royals
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 50.6% | 0.215 | 0.77u | Won | +1.08u |
| Sep 13, 2018 | mlb |
Mets
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.39 | 50.5% | 0.208 | 0.60u | Won | +0.83u |
| Sep 13, 2018 | mlb |
Nationals
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 3.35 | 50.7% | 0.699 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 13, 2018 | mlb |
Royals
Twins
|
Home cover | home | 2.46 | 51.1% | 0.258 | 0.88u | Won | +1.28u |
| Sep 13, 2018 | mlb |
Nationals
Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 1.97 | 62.8% | 0.237 | 0.92u | Won | +0.89u |
| Sep 12, 2018 | mlb |
Angels
Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.66 | 55.3% | 0.472 | 1.20u | Won | +1.99u |
| Sep 12, 2018 | mlb |
Phillies
Nationals
|
Home cover | home | 2.15 | 65.6% | 0.410 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 12, 2018 | mlb |
Rays
Indians
|
Home win | home | 3.36 | 50.6% | 0.701 | 1.20u | Won | +2.83u |
| Sep 12, 2018 | mlb |
Cardinals
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.87 | 50.7% | 0.455 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 11, 2018 | mlb |
Cubs
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 3.54 | 52.7% | 0.865 | 0.60u | Won | +1.52u |
| Sep 11, 2018 | mlb |
Tigers
Astros
|
Home win | home | 3.83 | 52.7% | 1.018 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 11, 2018 | mlb |
Orioles
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 50.0% | 0.180 | 0.66u | Lost | -0.66u |
| Sep 11, 2018 | mlb |
Twins
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 50.0% | 0.151 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Sep 11, 2018 | mlb |
Reds
Dodgers
|
Home cover | home | 2.56 | 50.0% | 0.280 | 0.90u | Won | +1.40u |
| Sep 10, 2018 | mlb |
Royals
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 50.0% | 0.201 | 0.72u | Won | +1.01u |
| Sep 10, 2018 | mlb |
Rays
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 50.0% | 0.185 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Sep 10, 2018 | mlb |
Angels
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 3.91 | 52.7% | 1.060 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 10, 2018 | mlb |
Cubs
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.82 | 52.7% | 0.486 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 9, 2018 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Indians
|
Home win | home | 2.28 | 52.7% | 0.201 | 0.75u | Won | +0.96u |
| Sep 9, 2018 | mlb |
White Sox
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.49 | 52.7% | 0.312 | 1.05u | Lost | -1.05u |
| Sep 9, 2018 | mlb |
Tigers
Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.51 | 50.0% | 0.255 | 0.84u | Lost | -0.84u |
| Sep 8, 2018 | mlb |
Red Sox
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 50.0% | 0.171 | 0.64u | Won | +0.86u |
| Sep 8, 2018 | mlb |
Mets
Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.71 | 50.0% | 0.355 | 1.04u | Won | +1.78u |
| Sep 8, 2018 | mlb |
Athletics
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.48 | 52.7% | 0.307 | 0.75u | Won | +1.11u |
| Sep 8, 2018 | mlb |
Reds
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.49 | 52.7% | 0.312 | 1.05u | Won | +1.56u |
| Sep 7, 2018 | mlb |
White Sox
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.63 | 52.7% | 0.386 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 7, 2018 | mlb |
Pirates
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.84 | 52.7% | 0.497 | 1.20u | Won | +2.21u |
| Sep 7, 2018 | mlb |
Athletics
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 49.9% | 0.207 | 0.73u | Lost | -0.73u |
| Sep 7, 2018 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Braves
|
Home cover | home | 2.36 | 50.0% | 0.180 | 0.66u | Won | +0.90u |
| Sep 6, 2018 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Indians
|
Home win | home | 3.45 | 52.7% | 0.818 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 5, 2018 | mlb |
Dodgers
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.38 | 52.7% | 0.254 | 0.62u | Lost | -0.62u |
| Sep 5, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.63 | 52.7% | 0.386 | 1.18u | Won | +1.92u |
| Sep 5, 2018 | mlb |
Braves
Red Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.74 | 50.0% | 0.370 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 5, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 3.05 | 50.0% | 0.525 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 4, 2018 | mlb |
Rangers
Angels
|
Home cover | home | 2.46 | 50.0% | 0.230 | 0.79u | Won | +1.15u |
| Sep 4, 2018 | mlb |
Nationals
Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.66 | 50.0% | 0.330 | 0.99u | Lost | -0.99u |
| Sep 4, 2018 | mlb |
Indians
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.51 | 52.7% | 0.322 | 1.07u | Won | +1.62u |
| Sep 4, 2018 | mlb |
Dodgers
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.22 | 52.7% | 0.169 | 0.69u | Won | +0.84u |
| Sep 3, 2018 | mlb |
Pirates
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.32 | 52.7% | 0.222 | 0.84u | Won | +1.11u |
| Sep 3, 2018 | mlb |
Braves
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.32 | 50.0% | 0.161 | 0.61u | Won | +0.81u |
| Sep 3, 2018 | mlb |
Dodgers
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 50.0% | 0.151 | 0.58u | Won | +0.75u |
| Sep 2, 2018 | mlb |
White Sox
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 50.0% | 0.200 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| Sep 2, 2018 | mlb |
Athletics
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.67 | 50.0% | 0.335 | 1.00u | Lost | -1.00u |
| Sep 2, 2018 | mlb |
Royals
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 2.31 | 52.7% | 0.217 | 0.60u | Won | +0.79u |
| Sep 2, 2018 | mlb |
Marlins
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.71 | 52.7% | 0.428 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 1, 2018 | mlb |
Giants
Mets
|
Home win | home | 3.97 | 52.7% | 1.092 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 1, 2018 | mlb |
White Sox
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.33 | 52.7% | 0.228 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 1, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Tigers
|
Home cover | home | 2.62 | 50.0% | 0.311 | 0.96u | Lost | -0.96u |
| Sep 1, 2018 | mlb |
Cardinals
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.59 | 50.0% | 0.296 | 0.84u | Won | +1.34u |
| Aug 31, 2018 | mlb |
White Sox
Red Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.55 | 50.0% | 0.276 | 0.89u | Won | +1.38u |
| Aug 31, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 50.0% | 0.210 | 0.74u | Won | +1.05u |
| Aug 31, 2018 | mlb |
Padres
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 50.0% | 0.206 | 0.17u | Lost | -0.17u |
| Aug 31, 2018 | mlb |
Indians
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.49 | 52.7% | 0.312 | 1.05u | Won | +1.56u |
| Aug 30, 2018 | mlb |
Braves
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.88 | 52.7% | 0.518 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 30, 2018 | mlb |
Reds
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.37 | 52.7% | 0.249 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 30, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.84 | 50.0% | 0.420 | 1.14u | Won | +2.10u |
| Aug 30, 2018 | mlb |
Dodgers
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | home | 2.42 | 50.0% | 0.210 | 0.66u | Lost | -0.66u |
| Aug 29, 2018 | mlb |
Orioles
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | home | 2.99 | 50.0% | 0.495 | 1.20u | Won | +2.39u |
| Aug 29, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 50.0% | 0.181 | 0.60u | Won | +0.82u |
| Aug 29, 2018 | mlb |
Braves
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.22 | 52.7% | 0.170 | 0.70u | Lost | -0.70u |
| Aug 29, 2018 | mlb |
Giants
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.47 | 52.7% | 0.302 | 1.03u | Lost | -1.03u |
| Aug 28, 2018 | mlb |
Cardinals
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.17 | 55.9% | 0.213 | 0.60u | Won | +0.70u |
| Aug 28, 2018 | mlb |
Cubs
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.96 | 55.9% | 0.655 | 1.20u | Won | +2.35u |
| Aug 28, 2018 | mlb |
Royals
Tigers
|
Home cover | home | 2.81 | 52.3% | 0.470 | 1.20u | Won | +2.17u |
| Aug 28, 2018 | mlb |
Rangers
Dodgers
|
Home cover | home | 2.69 | 52.1% | 0.403 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 27, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
Athletics
|
Home cover | home | 2.47 | 52.2% | 0.288 | 0.98u | Won | +1.44u |
| Aug 27, 2018 | mlb |
Orioles
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.53 | 55.9% | 0.415 | 1.20u | Won | +1.84u |
| Aug 27, 2018 | mlb |
Phillies
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 55.9% | 0.286 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 26, 2018 | mlb |
Rays
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 3.41 | 55.9% | 0.906 | 1.20u | Won | +2.89u |
| Aug 26, 2018 | mlb |
Orioles
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 3.05 | 55.9% | 0.706 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 26, 2018 | mlb |
Angels
Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.74 | 52.0% | 0.426 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 26, 2018 | mlb |
Mets
Nationals
|
Home cover | home | 2.81 | 52.2% | 0.468 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 25, 2018 | mlb |
Rockies
Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.45 | 52.0% | 0.274 | 0.74u | Won | +1.07u |
| Aug 25, 2018 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.55 | 52.1% | 0.329 | 1.06u | Lost | -1.06u |
| Aug 25, 2018 | mlb |
Angels
Astros
|
Home win | home | 3.28 | 55.9% | 0.834 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 25, 2018 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 3.60 | 55.9% | 1.013 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.