Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 2, 2026 10:47 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2018 | mlb |
Brewers
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.72 | 55.9% | 0.521 | 0.60u | Won | +1.03u |
| Aug 24, 2018 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.83 | 55.9% | 0.583 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 24, 2018 | mlb |
Tigers
White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.44 | 52.1% | 0.272 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Aug 24, 2018 | mlb |
Twins
Athletics
|
Home cover | home | 2.61 | 52.2% | 0.362 | 1.12u | Lost | -1.12u |
| Aug 23, 2018 | mlb |
Tigers
White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.46 | 52.1% | 0.282 | 0.97u | Won | +1.42u |
| Aug 23, 2018 | mlb |
Nationals
Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.43 | 52.5% | 0.276 | 0.83u | Lost | -0.83u |
| Aug 23, 2018 | mlb |
Cubs
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.66 | 55.9% | 0.487 | 1.20u | Won | +1.99u |
| Aug 23, 2018 | mlb |
Mets
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.58 | 55.9% | 0.443 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 22, 2018 | mlb |
Nationals
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.96 | 55.9% | 0.655 | 1.20u | Won | +2.35u |
| Aug 22, 2018 | mlb |
Brewers
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.58 | 55.9% | 0.442 | 0.60u | Won | +0.95u |
| Aug 22, 2018 | mlb |
Tigers
Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.79 | 52.3% | 0.459 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 22, 2018 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Angels
|
Home cover | home | 2.99 | 52.4% | 0.568 | 1.20u | Won | +2.39u |
| Aug 21, 2018 | mlb |
Mariners
Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.45 | 52.0% | 0.275 | 0.60u | Won | +0.87u |
| Aug 21, 2018 | mlb |
Marlins
Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.71 | 52.3% | 0.418 | 1.20u | Won | +2.05u |
| Aug 21, 2018 | mlb |
White Sox
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.93 | 55.9% | 0.638 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 21, 2018 | mlb |
Rays
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.79 | 55.9% | 0.560 | 0.60u | Won | +1.07u |
| Aug 20, 2018 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 2.54 | 55.9% | 0.420 | 1.20u | Won | +1.85u |
| Aug 20, 2018 | mlb |
Athletics
Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.84 | 52.3% | 0.486 | 0.60u | Won | +1.10u |
| Aug 20, 2018 | mlb |
Dodgers
Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 3.00 | 51.9% | 0.558 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 19, 2018 | mlb |
Indians
Orioles
|
Home cover | home | 2.71 | 52.2% | 0.415 | 0.60u | Won | +1.03u |
| Aug 19, 2018 | mlb |
Nationals
Marlins
|
Home cover | home | 2.73 | 52.1% | 0.422 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 19, 2018 | mlb |
Red Sox
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.71 | 55.9% | 0.515 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 19, 2018 | mlb |
Twins
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.79 | 55.9% | 0.560 | 1.20u | Won | +2.15u |
| Aug 18, 2018 | mlb |
Twins
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.52 | 55.9% | 0.409 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 18, 2018 | mlb |
Reds
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.44 | 55.9% | 0.364 | 0.60u | Won | +0.86u |
| Aug 18, 2018 | mlb |
Red Sox
Rays
|
Home cover | home | 2.46 | 52.2% | 0.284 | 0.97u | Won | +1.42u |
| Aug 18, 2018 | mlb |
Athletics
Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.19 | 52.1% | 0.142 | 0.13u | Won | +0.15u |
| Aug 18, 2018 | mlb |
Braves
Rockies
|
Home cover | home | 2.25 | 52.2% | 0.175 | 0.70u | Lost | -0.70u |
| Aug 17, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | home | 2.71 | 51.9% | 0.405 | 0.61u | Won | +1.04u |
| Aug 17, 2018 | mlb |
Nationals
Marlins
|
Home cover | home | 2.70 | 52.1% | 0.405 | 1.19u | Won | +2.02u |
| Aug 17, 2018 | mlb |
Pirates
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 55.9% | 0.230 | 0.77u | Lost | -0.77u |
| Aug 17, 2018 | mlb |
Padres
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 55.9% | 0.258 | 1.03u | Lost | -1.03u |
| Aug 16, 2018 | mlb |
Cardinals
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.31 | 55.9% | 0.292 | 1.11u | Lost | -1.11u |
| Aug 16, 2018 | mlb |
Phillies
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.24 | 55.9% | 0.253 | 0.69u | Lost | -0.69u |
| Aug 16, 2018 | mlb |
Braves
Rockies
|
Home cover | home | 2.55 | 51.9% | 0.323 | 1.04u | Lost | -1.04u |
| Aug 16, 2018 | mlb |
Pirates
Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.19 | 52.1% | 0.142 | 0.60u | Won | +0.71u |
| Aug 15, 2018 | mlb |
Braves
Marlins
|
Home cover | home | 2.79 | 52.3% | 0.460 | 1.20u | Won | +2.15u |
| Aug 15, 2018 | mlb |
Reds
Indians
|
Home cover | home | 2.76 | 52.3% | 0.444 | 0.60u | Won | +1.06u |
| Aug 15, 2018 | mlb |
Athletics
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.16 | 55.9% | 0.208 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 15, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 55.9% | 0.426 | 1.20u | Won | +1.86u |
| Aug 14, 2018 | mlb |
Dodgers
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.87 | 52.5% | 0.508 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 14, 2018 | mlb |
Cubs
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.63 | 53.3% | 0.401 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 14, 2018 | mlb |
Orioles
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 46.9% | 0.194 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Aug 14, 2018 | mlb |
Rangers
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.55 | 47.0% | 0.350 | 1.13u | Won | +1.75u |
| Aug 13, 2018 | mlb |
Rangers
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.48 | 47.1% | 0.311 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| Aug 13, 2018 | mlb |
Braves
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.59 | 47.2% | 0.368 | 1.16u | Lost | -1.16u |
| Aug 13, 2018 | mlb |
Cardinals
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.57 | 50.5% | 0.297 | 0.63u | Won | +0.99u |
| Aug 13, 2018 | mlb |
Padres
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.63 | 52.5% | 0.382 | 1.17u | Lost | -1.17u |
| Aug 12, 2018 | mlb |
Reds
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 3.00 | 53.7% | 0.613 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 12, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 3.91 | 51.9% | 1.028 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 12, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 47.1% | 0.270 | 0.79u | Lost | -0.79u |
| Aug 12, 2018 | mlb |
Padres
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 46.9% | 0.286 | 1.01u | Lost | -1.01u |
| Aug 11, 2018 | mlb |
Angels
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.70 | 47.1% | 0.429 | 1.20u | Won | +2.04u |
| Aug 11, 2018 | mlb |
Padres
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.58 | 47.1% | 0.365 | 0.60u | Won | +0.95u |
| Aug 11, 2018 | mlb |
Giants
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 3.27 | 51.3% | 0.678 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 11, 2018 | mlb |
White Sox
Indians
|
Home win | home | 3.37 | 53.4% | 0.801 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 10, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 3.41 | 51.9% | 0.770 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 10, 2018 | mlb |
Braves
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 51.9% | 0.220 | 0.60u | Won | +0.81u |
| Aug 10, 2018 | mlb |
Royals
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.54 | 47.1% | 0.343 | 1.11u | Won | +1.71u |
| Aug 10, 2018 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 46.9% | 0.249 | 0.69u | Won | +0.93u |
| Aug 9, 2018 | mlb |
Rays
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.21 | 47.1% | 0.170 | 0.70u | Won | +0.85u |
| Aug 9, 2018 | mlb |
Giants
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.46 | 53.4% | 0.314 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 9, 2018 | mlb |
Nationals
Braves
|
Home win | away | 3.38 | 49.5% | 0.707 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 8, 2018 | mlb |
Mets
Reds
|
Home win | home | 3.30 | 52.4% | 0.730 | 1.20u | Won | +2.76u |
| Aug 8, 2018 | mlb |
White Sox
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 3.01 | 51.6% | 0.554 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 8, 2018 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 47.3% | 0.292 | 1.01u | Lost | -1.01u |
| Aug 7, 2018 | mlb |
Nationals
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.69 | 47.5% | 0.412 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 7, 2018 | mlb |
Mets
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 47.2% | 0.252 | 0.60u | Won | +0.82u |
| Aug 7, 2018 | mlb |
Rangers
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.78 | 52.2% | 0.451 | 1.20u | Won | +2.14u |
| Aug 7, 2018 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.64 | 52.7% | 0.392 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 6, 2018 | mlb |
Marlins
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.81 | 51.6% | 0.451 | 1.20u | Won | +2.17u |
| Aug 6, 2018 | mlb |
Royals
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.68 | 51.0% | 0.367 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 6, 2018 | mlb |
Angels
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 47.5% | 0.150 | 0.63u | Lost | -0.63u |
| Aug 6, 2018 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.21 | 47.0% | 0.172 | 0.71u | Won | +0.86u |
| Aug 5, 2018 | mlb |
Red Sox
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 47.1% | 0.259 | 0.60u | Won | +0.83u |
| Aug 5, 2018 | mlb |
Phillies
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.61 | 46.6% | 0.394 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 5, 2018 | mlb |
Mariners
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 51.9% | 0.195 | 0.75u | Won | +0.98u |
| Aug 4, 2018 | mlb |
Cubs
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 47.0% | 0.250 | 0.92u | Won | +1.25u |
| Aug 4, 2018 | mlb |
Pirates
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 47.1% | 0.184 | 0.12u | Won | +0.15u |
| Aug 4, 2018 | mlb |
Nationals
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 47.0% | 0.188 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| Aug 3, 2018 | mlb |
Athletics
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 47.2% | 0.198 | 0.66u | Won | +0.84u |
| Aug 3, 2018 | mlb |
Rays
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.56 | 47.0% | 0.356 | 1.14u | Won | +1.78u |
| Aug 2, 2018 | mlb |
Mets
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 47.1% | 0.159 | 0.67u | Won | +0.80u |
| Aug 2, 2018 | mlb |
Cardinals
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.92 | 54.8% | 0.601 | 1.20u | Won | +2.30u |
| Aug 1, 2018 | mlb |
White Sox
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.19 | 53.4% | 0.171 | 0.65u | Lost | -0.65u |
| Aug 1, 2018 | mlb |
Athletics
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.58 | 52.9% | 0.364 | 1.15u | Won | +1.82u |
| Aug 1, 2018 | mlb |
Twins
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 46.9% | 0.301 | 1.04u | Won | +1.51u |
| Aug 1, 2018 | mlb |
Pirates
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 47.1% | 0.249 | 0.76u | Won | +1.03u |
| Jul 31, 2018 | mlb |
Nationals
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 44.7% | 0.349 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 31, 2018 | mlb |
Rays
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 39.8% | 0.367 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 31, 2018 | mlb |
Padres
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.39 | 50.4% | 0.205 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| Jul 31, 2018 | mlb |
Dodgers
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.42 | 50.6% | 0.224 | 0.79u | Lost | -0.79u |
| Jul 30, 2018 | mlb |
Braves
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.56 | 40.1% | 0.533 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 29, 2018 | mlb |
Angels
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 31.2% | 0.645 | 1.20u | Won | +1.67u |
| Jul 29, 2018 | mlb |
Pirates
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 38.1% | 0.472 | 0.60u | Won | +0.83u |
| Jul 29, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Royals
|
Home win | home | 3.09 | 50.4% | 0.558 | 1.20u | Won | +2.51u |
| Jul 29, 2018 | mlb |
Tigers
Indians
|
Home win | home | 2.34 | 50.4% | 0.180 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 28, 2018 | mlb |
Pirates
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.75 | 50.4% | 0.386 | 1.10u | Won | +1.93u |
| Jul 28, 2018 | mlb |
Braves
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.46 | 50.5% | 0.243 | 0.70u | Lost | -0.70u |
| Jul 28, 2018 | mlb |
Tigers
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 40.8% | 0.450 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.