Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jun 13, 2026 11:28 PM EDT
Result
mls
Austin FC
LA Galaxy
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
59.5%
EV/u
0.544
Stake
0.60u
Won
+0.99u
Result
mls
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.767
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
Result
mls
Minnesota United FC
Houston Dynamo FC
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
73.0%
EV/u
0.920
Stake
0.85u
Won
+1.45u
Result
mls
New York City FC
Red Bull New York
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
66.1%
EV/u
0.368
Stake
0.08u
Won
+0.32u
Result
mls
New England Revolution
Orlando City SC
draw
Odds
3.75
Prob
54.8%
EV/u
0.512
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
Result
mls
Inter Miami CF
Nashville SC
draw
Odds
3.10
Prob
24.7%
EV/u
0.499
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
Result
mls
Chicago Fire FC
New England Revolution
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
71.8%
EV/u
1.163
Stake
1.03u
Lost
-1.03u
Result
mls
Colorado Rapids
Vancouver Whitecaps
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
78.7%
EV/u
1.066
Stake
1.49u
Lost
-1.49u
Result
mls
Atlanta United FC
D.C. United
home
Odds
5.00
Prob
38.8%
EV/u
0.941
Stake
0.30u
Won
+1.20u
Result
mls
FC Cincinnati
New York City FC
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
65.9%
EV/u
0.398
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
Result
mls
Minnesota United FC
LA Galaxy
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.578
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Result
mls
Real Salt Lake
Seattle Sounders FC
home
Odds
3.30
Prob
57.0%
EV/u
0.834
Stake
0.69u
Won
+1.59u
Result
mls
Inter Miami CF
Red Bull New York
draw
Odds
3.25
Prob
22.3%
EV/u
0.695
Stake
1.50u
Lost
-1.50u
Result
mls
Portland Timbers
Colorado Rapids
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
59.9%
EV/u
0.611
Stake
0.53u
Lost
-0.53u
Result
mls
Sporting Kansas City
Minnesota United FC
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
38.3%
EV/u
0.765
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
Result
mls
Orlando City SC
CF Montréal
draw
Odds
4.75
Prob
20.3%
EV/u
0.304
Stake
0.08u
Lost
-0.08u
Result
mls
D.C. United
Chicago Fire FC
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.805
Stake
0.52u
Lost
-0.52u
Result
mls
Toronto FC
Inter Miami CF
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
36.3%
EV/u
0.476
Stake
0.56u
Lost
-0.56u
Result
mls
New York City FC
FC Dallas
draw
Odds
5.00
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
1.201
Stake
0.60u
Won
+2.40u
Result
mls
Columbus Crew
Red Bull New York
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.364
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
Result
mls
LAFC
Real Salt Lake
draw
Odds
4.75
Prob
52.9%
EV/u
0.540
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
Result
mls
New England Revolution
New York City FC
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.532
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
Result
mls
Colorado Rapids
LA Galaxy
draw
Odds
3.20
Prob
20.0%
EV/u
0.498
Stake
0.54u
Won
+1.19u
Result
mls
FC Dallas
San Jose Earthquakes
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
51.7%
EV/u
0.441
Stake
0.36u
Won
+1.01u
Result
mls
Inter Miami CF
Columbus Crew
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.401
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
Result
mls
Vancouver Whitecaps
Portland Timbers
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
35.4%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.42u
Result
mls
Atlanta United FC
Orlando City SC
draw
Odds
3.75
Prob
36.1%
EV/u
0.054
Stake
0.07u
Lost
-0.07u
Result
mls
Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
35.4%
EV/u
0.611
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
Result
mls
FC Cincinnati
Inter Miami CF
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.2%
EV/u
0.385
Stake
0.49u
Won
+1.37u
Result
mls
Vancouver Whitecaps
Austin FC
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
36.0%
EV/u
0.306
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
Result
mls
Philadelphia Union
New England Revolution
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
35.6%
EV/u
0.147
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.79u
Result
mls
LAFC
Sporting Kansas City
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
35.5%
EV/u
0.053
Stake
0.07u
Lost
-0.07u
Result
mls
Houston Dynamo FC
Portland Timbers
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
35.6%
EV/u
0.061
Stake
0.08u
Lost
-0.08u
Result
mls
Seattle Sounders FC
Portland Timbers
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
36.3%
EV/u
0.249
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.90u
Result
mls
Austin FC
FC Dallas
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
36.0%
EV/u
0.269
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.98u
Result
mls
Vancouver Whitecaps
Real Salt Lake
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
36.1%
EV/u
0.125
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
Result
mls
Sporting Kansas City
Colorado Rapids
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
35.8%
EV/u
0.656
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
Result
mls
LAFC
LA Galaxy
away
Odds
3.90
Prob
36.1%
EV/u
0.400
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
Result
mls
D.C. United
Philadelphia Union
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
35.7%
EV/u
0.501
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
Result
mls
New York City FC
New England Revolution
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
35.3%
EV/u
0.665
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
Result
mls
CF Montréal
Toronto FC
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
52.7%
EV/u
0.343
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
Result
mls
Orlando City SC
Inter Miami CF
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
52.6%
EV/u
0.036
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
Result
mls
Columbus Crew
FC Cincinnati
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
52.0%
EV/u
0.062
Stake
0.08u
Lost
-0.08u
Result
mls
Houston Dynamo FC
FC Dallas
home
Odds
3.80
Prob
49.8%
EV/u
0.893
Stake
0.80u
Lost
-0.80u
Result
mls
Columbus Crew
Seattle Sounders FC
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
51.3%
EV/u
0.481
Stake
0.29u
Won
+1.16u
Result
mls
D.C. United
Atlanta United FC
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
0.247
Stake
0.17u
Lost
-0.17u
Result
mls
Minnesota United FC
Sporting Kansas City
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
48.8%
EV/u
0.401
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
Result
mls
LA Galaxy
San Jose Earthquakes
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
51.1%
EV/u
0.069
Stake
0.05u
Won
+0.16u
Result
mls
Austin FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.396
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.94u
Result
mls
FC Cincinnati
CF Montréal
draw
Odds
4.50
Prob
48.9%
EV/u
0.213
Stake
0.15u
Won
+0.53u
Result
mls
Atlanta United FC
Toronto FC
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.385
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Result
mls
FC Dallas
Seattle Sounders FC
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.547
Stake
0.35u
Won
+1.31u
Result
mls
San Jose Earthquakes
Minnesota United FC
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.031
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
Result
mls
Portland Timbers
Seattle Sounders FC
home
Odds
2.38
Prob
51.2%
EV/u
0.176
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
Result
mls
Atlanta United FC
LAFC
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
50.7%
EV/u
0.197
Stake
0.47u
Won
+0.68u
Result
mls
Chicago Fire FC
Columbus Crew
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
49.6%
EV/u
0.226
Stake
0.60u
Won
+0.90u
Result
mls
Houston Dynamo FC
Colorado Rapids
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.611
Stake
0.28u
Won
+1.12u
Result
mls
New York City FC
Inter Miami CF
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
0.233
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.43u
Result
mls
FC Dallas
Sporting Kansas City
draw
Odds
5.00
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.372
Stake
0.17u
Lost
-0.17u
Result
mls
Minnesota United FC
LA Galaxy
home
Odds
2.88
Prob
51.2%
EV/u
0.448
Stake
0.77u
Lost
-0.77u
Result
mls
San Jose Earthquakes
Vancouver Whitecaps
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
33.3%
EV/u
0.891
Stake
0.60u
Won
+1.80u
Result
mls
LA Galaxy
Vancouver Whitecaps
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
32.9%
EV/u
0.902
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.90u
Result
mls
San Jose Earthquakes
LAFC
draw
Odds
4.20
Prob
32.9%
EV/u
0.987
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
Result
mls
New England Revolution
Philadelphia Union
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
33.4%
EV/u
1.052
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
Result
mls
Inter Miami CF
Nashville SC
draw
Odds
4.75
Prob
33.4%
EV/u
1.251
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
Result
mls
Minnesota United FC
Houston Dynamo FC
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.9%
EV/u
0.785
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
Result
mls
Colorado Rapids
Sporting Kansas City
draw
Odds
3.75
Prob
33.5%
EV/u
0.777
Stake
0.39u
Won
+1.07u
Result
mls
FC Dallas
Austin FC
draw
Odds
4.20
Prob
32.7%
EV/u
0.954
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
Result
mls
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
33.5%
EV/u
0.706
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
Result
mls
LAFC
Sporting Kansas City
draw
Odds
4.20
Prob
32.9%
EV/u
0.973
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
Result
mls
Orlando City SC
Inter Miami CF
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
33.8%
EV/u
1.048
Stake
0.41u
Won
+1.37u
Result
mls
Philadelphia Union
Toronto FC
draw
Odds
4.10
Prob
32.9%
EV/u
0.926
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
Result
mls
Portland Timbers
San Jose Earthquakes
draw
Odds
4.20
Prob
33.0%
EV/u
0.987
Stake
0.38u
Won
+1.22u
Result
mls
Toronto FC
Nashville SC
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
32.9%
EV/u
0.644
Stake
0.80u
Won
+2.00u
Result
mls
Philadelphia Union
Chicago Fire FC
draw
Odds
4.75
Prob
33.5%
EV/u
1.270
Stake
0.60u
Won
+2.25u
Result
mls
Seattle Sounders FC
San Jose Earthquakes
draw
Odds
3.75
Prob
33.1%
EV/u
0.782
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
Result
mls
Vancouver Whitecaps
Minnesota United FC
draw
Odds
3.75
Prob
33.3%
EV/u
0.748
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.94u
Result
mls
FC Cincinnati
D.C. United
draw
Odds
3.75
Prob
33.4%
EV/u
0.799
Stake
0.39u
Won
+1.07u
Result
mls
Red Bull New York
New England Revolution
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
33.5%
EV/u
1.051
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
Result
mls
LA Galaxy
Portland Timbers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.087
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
Result
mls
Orlando City SC
Atlanta United FC
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
52.0%
EV/u
0.298
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
Result
mls
New York City FC
Columbus Crew
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
60.2%
EV/u
0.145
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
Result
mls
LAFC
Minnesota United FC
draw
Odds
4.75
Prob
57.4%
EV/u
0.669
Stake
0.43u
Won
+1.61u
Result
mls
Seattle Sounders FC
Sporting Kansas City
draw
Odds
5.00
Prob
56.0%
EV/u
0.771
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
Result
mls
D.C. United
Red Bull New York
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
49.5%
EV/u
0.341
Stake
0.64u
Won
+1.12u
Result
mls
New York City FC
Orlando City SC
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
56.5%
EV/u
0.223
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.44u
Result
mls
Inter Miami CF
Philadelphia Union
draw
Odds
4.20
Prob
54.2%
EV/u
0.249
Stake
0.15u
Won
+0.48u
Result
mls
FC Dallas
LA Galaxy
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
56.1%
EV/u
0.406
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
Result
mls
San Jose Earthquakes
Houston Dynamo FC
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
55.4%
EV/u
0.202
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
Result
mls
Nashville SC
FC Cincinnati
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
52.4%
EV/u
0.551
Stake
0.70u
Lost
-0.70u
Result
mls
Atlanta United FC
Columbus Crew
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
52.2%
EV/u
0.186
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
Result
mls
Orlando City SC
Philadelphia Union
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
54.8%
EV/u
0.243
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
Result
mls
Portland Timbers
LAFC
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
50.3%
EV/u
0.594
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
mls
FC Cincinnati
Atlanta United FC
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
51.7%
EV/u
0.717
Stake
0.70u
Lost
-0.70u
Result
mls
Columbus Crew
Nashville SC
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.429
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.65u
Result
mls
Toronto FC
Red Bull New York
draw
Odds
4.75
Prob
57.0%
EV/u
0.549
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.90u
Result
mls
Vancouver Whitecaps
Houston Dynamo FC
home
Odds
2.88
Prob
50.2%
EV/u
0.421
Stake
1.19u
Lost
-1.19u
Result
mls
Minnesota United FC
Seattle Sounders FC
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
57.9%
EV/u
0.101
Stake
0.08u
Lost
-0.08u
Result
mls
Nashville SC
Chicago Fire FC
home
Odds
3.75
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.874
Stake
0.50u
Won
+1.38u
Result
mls
LAFC
Real Salt Lake
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
59.0%
EV/u
0.786
Stake
0.50u
Won
+1.05u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.