Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jun 13, 2026 11:28 PM EDT
Result
mls
Portland Timbers
FC Dallas
draw
Odds
5.00
Prob
54.7%
EV/u
0.612
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
Result
mls
Philadelphia Union
D.C. United
draw
Odds
4.75
Prob
52.2%
EV/u
0.750
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
mls
FC Cincinnati
Columbus Crew
draw
Odds
3.30
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.69u
Result
mls
Nashville SC
Atlanta United FC
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.360
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.87u
Result
mls
Red Bull New York
Philadelphia Union
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.222
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.81u
Result
mls
Chicago Fire FC
Orlando City SC
draw
Odds
4.75
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.587
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
Result
mls
Seattle Sounders FC
Houston Dynamo FC
home
Odds
4.00
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.574
Stake
0.41u
Won
+1.23u
Result
mls
Colorado Rapids
Minnesota United FC
home
Odds
4.20
Prob
39.1%
EV/u
0.641
Stake
0.48u
Won
+1.54u
Result
mls
New England Revolution
Toronto FC
draw
Odds
4.20
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.465
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Result
mls
Colorado Rapids
Seattle Sounders FC
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.308
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
Result
mls
LA Galaxy
Sporting Kansas City
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
39.1%
EV/u
0.361
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
Result
mls
FC Dallas
Vancouver Whitecaps
draw
Odds
3.75
Prob
39.0%
EV/u
0.309
Stake
0.40u
Won
+1.10u
Result
mls
Houston Dynamo FC
FC Cincinnati
draw
Odds
4.60
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.537
Stake
0.36u
Won
+1.30u
Result
mls
D.C. United
Toronto FC
draw
Odds
3.75
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.275
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
Result
mls
Minnesota United FC
San Jose Earthquakes
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
39.3%
EV/u
0.352
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
Result
mls
Real Salt Lake
LAFC
draw
Odds
3.75
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.293
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
Result
mls
Austin FC
Portland Timbers
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.269
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
Result
mls
Austin FC
Columbus Crew
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
55.4%
EV/u
0.200
Stake
0.15u
Won
+0.45u
Result
mls
FC Dallas
New England Revolution
home
Odds
2.63
Prob
50.7%
EV/u
0.314
Stake
0.55u
Won
+0.90u
Result
mls
Atlanta United FC
Red Bull New York
home
Odds
3.60
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
0.716
Stake
0.80u
Lost
-0.80u
Result
mls
Seattle Sounders FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.216
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.78u
Result
mls
Chicago Fire FC
Philadelphia Union
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
48.4%
EV/u
0.283
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.69u
Result
mls
San Jose Earthquakes
LA Galaxy
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
48.7%
EV/u
0.370
Stake
0.51u
Lost
-0.51u
Result
mls
Real Salt Lake
Houston Dynamo FC
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.632
Stake
0.46u
Won
+1.53u
Result
mls
Toronto FC
FC Cincinnati
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
33.8%
EV/u
0.345
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
Result
mls
Inter Miami CF
Orlando City SC
home
Odds
3.30
Prob
32.3%
EV/u
0.058
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
Result
mls
Sporting Kansas City
Colorado Rapids
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.417
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
Result
mls
Nashville SC
Toronto FC
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.434
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
Result
mls
CF Montréal
D.C. United
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.2%
EV/u
0.715
Stake
0.62u
Won
+1.74u
Result
mls
Minnesota United FC
Austin FC
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
36.1%
EV/u
0.620
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
Result
mls
Orlando City SC
San Jose Earthquakes
draw
Odds
4.50
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.640
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
Result
mls
Atlanta United FC
Philadelphia Union
home
Odds
2.38
Prob
51.2%
EV/u
0.178
Stake
0.63u
Lost
-0.63u
Result
mls
Atlanta United FC
Philadelphia Union
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.58u
Result
mls
Austin FC
San Jose Earthquakes
draw
Odds
3.75
Prob
53.9%
EV/u
0.350
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.96u
Result
mls
LA Galaxy
Seattle Sounders FC
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.612
Stake
0.34u
Won
+1.28u
Result
mls
Portland Timbers
Sporting Kansas City
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.354
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
Result
mls
FC Dallas
Minnesota United FC
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
51.0%
EV/u
0.403
Stake
0.61u
Lost
-0.61u
Result
mls
Columbus Crew
Chicago Fire FC
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.296
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
Result
mls
Red Bull New York
Nashville SC
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
38.4%
EV/u
0.400
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
mls
Real Salt Lake
Vancouver Whitecaps
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.124
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.67u
Result
mls
Sporting Kansas City
Austin FC
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.614
Stake
0.49u
Won
+1.47u
Result
mls
Philadelphia Union
Portland Timbers
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.190
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
Result
mls
Colorado Rapids
FC Dallas
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
48.2%
EV/u
0.322
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
Result
mls
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.534
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
Result
mls
Red Bull New York
Orlando City SC
home
Odds
3.50
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.587
Stake
0.62u
Won
+1.55u
Result
mls
Atlanta United FC
Nashville SC
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.510
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
Result
mls
Nashville SC
Austin FC
away
Odds
4.33
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.482
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
Result
mls
Seattle Sounders FC
Atlanta United FC
away
Odds
4.33
Prob
55.6%
EV/u
0.091
Stake
0.07u
Lost
-0.07u
Result
mls
D.C. United
Philadelphia Union
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.246
Stake
0.73u
Lost
-0.73u
Result
mls
Houston Dynamo FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.190
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.61u
Result
mls
New England Revolution
Red Bull New York
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.390
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
Result
mls
New York City FC
Columbus Crew
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.328
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.80u
Result
mls
Chicago Fire FC
Inter Miami CF
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.435
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Result
mls
Seattle Sounders FC
LAFC
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
52.2%
EV/u
0.633
Stake
0.55u
Won
+1.21u
Result
mls
New England Revolution
Columbus Crew
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
81.1%
EV/u
0.725
Stake
0.57u
Won
+0.74u
Result
mls
FC Cincinnati
Inter Miami CF
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
59.4%
EV/u
0.457
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
Result
mls
Real Salt Lake
Nashville SC
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
48.1%
EV/u
0.277
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
Result
mls
Colorado Rapids
Houston Dynamo FC
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
49.6%
EV/u
0.506
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
Result
mls
Philadelphia Union
Red Bull New York
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
54.7%
EV/u
0.347
Stake
0.54u
Won
+0.81u
Result
mls
Minnesota United FC
FC Dallas
away
Odds
4.33
Prob
52.5%
EV/u
0.450
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
Result
mls
D.C. United
Chicago Fire FC
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
56.2%
EV/u
0.215
Stake
0.84u
Won
+1.05u
Result
mls
San Jose Earthquakes
Seattle Sounders FC
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
48.1%
EV/u
0.720
Stake
0.29u
Won
+1.09u
Result
mls
Toronto FC
Columbus Crew
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
52.3%
EV/u
0.409
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
Result
mls
Minnesota United FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
63.4%
EV/u
0.379
Stake
0.55u
Won
+0.72u
Result
mls
Inter Miami CF
CF Montréal
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
60.1%
EV/u
0.366
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
Result
mls
Portland Timbers
Seattle Sounders FC
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
59.2%
EV/u
0.297
Stake
1.11u
Lost
-1.11u
Result
mls
Chicago Fire FC
Philadelphia Union
home
Odds
3.80
Prob
60.4%
EV/u
1.297
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
Result
mls
Columbus Crew
D.C. United
away
Odds
4.33
Prob
55.6%
EV/u
0.256
Stake
0.08u
Lost
-0.08u
Result
mls
FC Dallas
Houston Dynamo FC
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
48.5%
EV/u
0.429
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
Result
mls
Colorado Rapids
Minnesota United FC
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
72.9%
EV/u
0.535
Stake
0.62u
Won
+0.78u
Result
mls
Real Salt Lake
San Jose Earthquakes
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
36.3%
EV/u
0.364
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
Result
mls
Seattle Sounders FC
LA Galaxy
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.480
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
Result
mls
Nashville SC
Inter Miami CF
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
34.9%
EV/u
0.904
Stake
0.60u
Won
+1.80u
Result
mls
San Jose Earthquakes
D.C. United
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
54.6%
EV/u
0.472
Stake
0.74u
Won
+1.30u
Result
mls
Philadelphia Union
New York City FC
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.426
Stake
0.41u
Won
+1.03u
Result
mls
CF Montréal
Columbus Crew
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.238
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
Result
mls
Red Bull New York
Chicago Fire FC
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
35.0%
EV/u
0.241
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
Result
mls
LA Galaxy
Red Bull New York
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.344
Stake
0.76u
Lost
-0.76u
Result
mls
New England Revolution
D.C. United
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
34.8%
EV/u
0.626
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
Result
mls
LAFC
Seattle Sounders FC
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
50.8%
EV/u
0.443
Stake
0.17u
Won
+0.51u
Result
mls
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
33.6%
EV/u
0.715
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
Result
mls
Atlanta United FC
Chicago Fire FC
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
1.056
Stake
0.59u
Lost
-0.59u
Result
mls
Sporting Kansas City
Orlando City SC
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.3%
EV/u
0.326
Stake
0.42u
Won
+1.18u
Result
mls
Inter Miami CF
LA Galaxy
draw
Odds
4.50
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.246
Stake
0.17u
Lost
-0.17u
Result
mls
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
home
Odds
4.50
Prob
35.8%
EV/u
0.609
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
Result
mls
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
draw
Odds
4.20
Prob
25.5%
EV/u
0.265
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.64u
Result
mls
CF Montréal
Toronto FC
home
Odds
2.88
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.206
Stake
0.44u
Won
+0.83u
Result
mls
D.C. United
New York City FC
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.173
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
Result
mls
LAFC
Austin FC
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.209
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
Result
mls
Nashville SC
FC Cincinnati
home
Odds
4.00
Prob
38.8%
EV/u
0.554
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
Result
mls
FC Dallas
Colorado Rapids
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
24.2%
EV/u
0.320
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.60u
Result
mls
Nashville SC
FC Cincinnati
draw
Odds
3.75
Prob
22.5%
EV/u
0.787
Stake
0.59u
Won
+1.62u
Result
mls
Houston Dynamo FC
San Jose Earthquakes
draw
Odds
4.20
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.204
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
Result
mls
Seattle Sounders FC
Minnesota United FC
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.193
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Result
mls
Seattle Sounders FC
Minnesota United FC
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
34.6%
EV/u
0.322
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
Result
mls
Columbus Crew
Seattle Sounders FC
draw
Odds
3.20
Prob
38.9%
EV/u
0.127
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
Result
mls
Seattle Sounders FC
Minnesota United FC
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.294
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
Result
mls
Columbus Crew
New England Revolution
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.044
Stake
0.17u
Won
+0.26u
Result
mls
Sporting Kansas City
Minnesota United FC
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
36.8%
EV/u
0.535
Stake
0.40u
Won
+1.28u
Result
mls
Seattle Sounders FC
FC Dallas
draw
Odds
3.75
Prob
38.3%
EV/u
0.403
Stake
0.53u
Lost
-0.53u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.