Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jun 13, 2026 11:28 PM EDT
Result
mls
Orlando City SC
New England Revolution
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
30.7%
EV/u
0.176
Stake
0.41u
Won
+0.94u
Result
mls
Columbus Crew
Nashville SC
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
35.3%
EV/u
0.195
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
Result
mls
Seattle Sounders FC
LAFC
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.321
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
Result
mls
Toronto FC
Nashville SC
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
44.2%
EV/u
0.135
Stake
0.19u
Won
+0.49u
Result
mls
Philadelphia Union
New England Revolution
draw
Odds
3.30
Prob
34.0%
EV/u
0.098
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
Result
mls
Sporting Kansas City
San Jose Earthquakes
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.1%
EV/u
0.248
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.90u
Result
mls
Orlando City SC
New York City FC
draw
Odds
4.75
Prob
32.8%
EV/u
0.099
Stake
0.06u
Won
+0.23u
Result
mls
Columbus Crew
Red Bull New York
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
38.0%
EV/u
0.110
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
Result
mls
Nashville SC
Inter Miami CF
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.514
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
Result
mls
Minnesota United FC
FC Dallas
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.231
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
Result
mls
Philadelphia Union
New England Revolution
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
63.6%
EV/u
0.920
Stake
0.85u
Won
+1.79u
Result
mls
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
59.0%
EV/u
0.295
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.42u
Result
mls
Orlando City SC
Nashville SC
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
24.5%
EV/u
0.287
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
Result
mls
LA Galaxy
Seattle Sounders FC
home
Odds
2.62
Prob
59.0%
EV/u
0.516
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
Result
mls
Minnesota United FC
Chicago Fire FC
home
Odds
3.25
Prob
54.4%
EV/u
0.728
Stake
0.56u
Lost
-0.56u
Result
mls
Portland Timbers
Colorado Rapids
home
Odds
2.62
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.270
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
Result
mls
San Jose Earthquakes
LAFC
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
57.1%
EV/u
0.566
Stake
0.44u
Won
+0.79u
Result
mls
CF Montréal
Orlando City SC
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
51.1%
EV/u
0.455
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
Result
mls
LA Galaxy
Real Salt Lake
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
55.8%
EV/u
0.545
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
Result
mls
Portland Timbers
Vancouver Whitecaps
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
57.7%
EV/u
0.472
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.69u
Result
mls
Colorado Rapids
Seattle Sounders FC
home
Odds
2.62
Prob
59.6%
EV/u
0.532
Stake
0.53u
Won
+0.86u
Result
mls
Nashville SC
Chicago Fire FC
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
57.3%
EV/u
0.069
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
Result
mls
Portland Timbers
LA Galaxy
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
59.6%
EV/u
0.971
Stake
0.58u
Won
+1.39u
Result
mls
D.C. United
Columbus Crew
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
61.4%
EV/u
0.650
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.58u
Result
mls
FC Dallas
Inter Miami CF
home
Odds
4.10
Prob
64.7%
EV/u
1.651
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.74u
Result
mls
LAFC
Houston Dynamo FC
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
63.3%
EV/u
0.672
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.60u
Result
mls
Vancouver Whitecaps
Seattle Sounders FC
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
64.3%
EV/u
0.728
Stake
1.50u
Lost
-1.50u
Result
mls
Philadelphia Union
Toronto FC
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
63.6%
EV/u
1.101
Stake
0.68u
Won
+1.63u
Result
mls
Chicago Fire FC
Red Bull New York
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
53.7%
EV/u
0.193
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
Result
mls
FC Cincinnati
Minnesota United FC
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
52.7%
EV/u
0.648
Stake
0.64u
Lost
-0.64u
Result
mls
Atlanta United FC
D.C. United
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
53.2%
EV/u
0.180
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
Result
mls
Seattle Sounders FC
Portland Timbers
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
36.0%
EV/u
0.329
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
Result
mls
New England Revolution
Philadelphia Union
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.804
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Result
mls
LA Galaxy
Vancouver Whitecaps
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.337
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
Result
mls
San Jose Earthquakes
Seattle Sounders FC
draw
Odds
3.75
Prob
48.5%
EV/u
0.351
Stake
0.38u
Won
+1.05u
Result
mls
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
home
Odds
3.25
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.311
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.77u
Result
mls
FC Cincinnati
D.C. United
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
35.6%
EV/u
0.714
Stake
0.44u
Won
+1.65u
Result
mls
CF Montréal
Inter Miami CF
draw
Odds
3.70
Prob
44.3%
EV/u
0.554
Stake
0.74u
Lost
-0.74u
Result
mls
LA Galaxy
San Jose Earthquakes
home
Odds
4.33
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.577
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
Result
mls
CF Montréal
New England Revolution
home
Odds
3.60
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.502
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
Result
mls
Toronto FC
Red Bull New York
home
Odds
3.60
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.700
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
Result
mls
Real Salt Lake
Portland Timbers
home
Odds
3.60
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.687
Stake
0.47u
Won
+1.22u
Result
mls
Portland Timbers
San Jose Earthquakes
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.350
Stake
0.17u
Lost
-0.17u
Result
mls
Philadelphia Union
CF Montréal
draw
Odds
4.20
Prob
58.8%
EV/u
0.265
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
Result
mls
FC Cincinnati
Toronto FC
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
57.5%
EV/u
0.905
Stake
1.12u
Lost
-1.12u
Result
mls
New York City FC
New England Revolution
away
Odds
4.33
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.307
Stake
0.12u
Won
+0.40u
Result
mls
Vancouver Whitecaps
Real Salt Lake
home
Odds
2.62
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.047
Stake
0.16u
Won
+0.26u
Result
mls
Inter Miami CF
Houston Dynamo FC
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
0.062
Stake
0.08u
Lost
-0.08u
Result
mls
Houston Dynamo FC
FC Dallas
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.491
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
Result
mls
Philadelphia Union
FC Cincinnati
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
44.3%
EV/u
0.407
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
Result
mls
New England Revolution
Toronto FC
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
44.3%
EV/u
0.142
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
Result
mls
Columbus Crew
CF Montréal
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.637
Stake
0.38u
Won
+1.52u
Result
mls
Real Salt Lake
LAFC
home
Odds
3.75
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.641
Stake
0.80u
Lost
-0.80u
Result
mls
San Jose Earthquakes
LA Galaxy
home
Odds
4.33
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.926
Stake
0.59u
Won
+1.96u
Result
mls
New England Revolution
Nashville SC
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.335
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
Result
mls
D.C. United
Atlanta United FC
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.301
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
Result
mls
FC Dallas
Columbus Crew
away
Odds
3.75
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.265
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Result
mls
Vancouver Whitecaps
Portland Timbers
home
Odds
3.50
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.526
Stake
0.76u
Lost
-0.76u
Result
mls
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
44.3%
EV/u
0.064
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
Result
mls
Philadelphia Union
Inter Miami CF
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.582
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
Result
mls
Toronto FC
Columbus Crew
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
44.2%
EV/u
0.193
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
Result
mls
Chicago Fire FC
Houston Dynamo FC
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
51.0%
EV/u
0.549
Stake
0.63u
Won
+1.32u
Result
mls
New England Revolution
CF Montréal
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
51.6%
EV/u
0.370
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.58u
Result
mls
LAFC
Vancouver Whitecaps
away
Odds
4.33
Prob
51.4%
EV/u
0.351
Stake
0.12u
Lost
-0.12u
Result
mls
FC Cincinnati
Philadelphia Union
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
52.2%
EV/u
0.412
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
Result
mls
CF Montréal
Philadelphia Union
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
50.3%
EV/u
0.672
Stake
1.48u
Lost
-1.48u
Result
mls
D.C. United
Toronto FC
home
Odds
2.37
Prob
50.6%
EV/u
0.159
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
Result
mls
San Jose Earthquakes
Portland Timbers
away
Odds
4.33
Prob
51.4%
EV/u
0.412
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.90u
Result
mls
Columbus Crew
Nashville SC
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
50.1%
EV/u
0.355
Stake
0.77u
Won
+1.35u
Result
mls
Sporting Kansas City
FC Dallas
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
52.0%
EV/u
0.406
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.88u
Result
mls
Seattle Sounders FC
LAFC
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
52.4%
EV/u
0.209
Stake
0.73u
Won
+1.02u
Result
mls
Vancouver Whitecaps
CF Montréal
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
51.1%
EV/u
0.098
Stake
0.17u
Won
+0.20u
Result
mls
San Jose Earthquakes
Portland Timbers
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
50.8%
EV/u
0.199
Stake
0.53u
Lost
-0.53u
Result
mls
FC Dallas
Colorado Rapids
home
Odds
3.50
Prob
50.8%
EV/u
0.778
Stake
0.80u
Won
+2.00u
Result
mls
San Jose Earthquakes
LA Galaxy
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
50.6%
EV/u
0.490
Stake
0.80u
Lost
-0.80u
Result
mls
LAFC
Portland Timbers
home
Odds
2.87
Prob
51.3%
EV/u
0.445
Stake
0.70u
Won
+1.31u
Result
mls
FC Dallas
Houston Dynamo FC
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
50.1%
EV/u
0.571
Stake
0.53u
Won
+1.17u
Result
mls
Real Salt Lake
Colorado Rapids
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
51.2%
EV/u
0.186
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
Result
mls
Philadelphia Union
New England Revolution
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
51.1%
EV/u
0.359
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.43u
Result
mls
D.C. United
Red Bull New York
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
52.1%
EV/u
0.630
Stake
0.63u
Lost
-0.63u
Result
mls
Seattle Sounders FC
San Jose Earthquakes
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.584
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
Result
mls
Colorado Rapids
Houston Dynamo FC
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.353
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.63u
Result
mls
Real Salt Lake
LAFC
home
Odds
3.75
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.556
Stake
0.54u
Won
+1.49u
Result
mls
Inter Miami CF
Atlanta United FC
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
50.2%
EV/u
0.647
Stake
0.71u
Lost
-0.71u
Result
mls
Seattle Sounders FC
Portland Timbers
home
Odds
4.50
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.825
Stake
0.57u
Lost
-0.57u
Result
mls
Inter Miami CF
Nashville SC
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.178
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.67u
Result
mls
Columbus Crew
FC Cincinnati
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
38.0%
EV/u
0.635
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
Result
mls
D.C. United
New York City FC
draw
Odds
3.75
Prob
36.3%
EV/u
0.204
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.74u
Result
mls
Orlando City SC
Atlanta United FC
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.308
Stake
0.43u
Won
+1.12u
Result
mls
Vancouver Whitecaps
Toronto FC
draw
Odds
4.75
Prob
35.4%
EV/u
1.078
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Result
mls
San Jose Earthquakes
Colorado Rapids
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
57.6%
EV/u
0.257
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.63u
Result
mls
Portland Timbers
LA Galaxy
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.391
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
Result
mls
LAFC
San Jose Earthquakes
draw
Odds
5.00
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.624
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
Result
mls
Real Salt Lake
Seattle Sounders FC
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.454
Stake
0.46u
Won
+1.15u
Result
mls
Sporting Kansas City
FC Dallas
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
38.9%
EV/u
0.401
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.96u
Result
mls
Nashville SC
Inter Miami CF
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
55.6%
EV/u
0.420
Stake
1.39u
Won
+2.22u
Result
mls
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
home
Odds
4.75
Prob
38.1%
EV/u
0.809
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
Result
mls
New York City FC
Chicago Fire FC
draw
Odds
3.75
Prob
48.1%
EV/u
0.450
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
Result
mls
Atlanta United FC
Orlando City SC
draw
Odds
3.75
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.416
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Result
mls
LA Galaxy
San Jose Earthquakes
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.689
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.