Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jun 13, 2026 11:28 PM EDT
Result
mls
CF Montréal
Toronto FC
home
Odds
4.20
Prob
35.5%
EV/u
0.491
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
Result
mls
CF Montréal
Vancouver Whitecaps
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.723
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
Result
mls
Philadelphia Union
Red Bull New York
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
36.9%
EV/u
0.352
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Result
mls
Chicago Fire FC
FC Cincinnati
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
35.6%
EV/u
0.060
Stake
0.17u
Won
+0.34u
Result
mls
D.C. United
New England Revolution
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
37.5%
EV/u
0.654
Stake
0.45u
Won
+1.58u
Result
mls
CF Montréal
Vancouver Whitecaps
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.332
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
Result
mls
New York City FC
Columbus Crew
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.025
Stake
0.10u
Won
+0.15u
Result
mls
Portland Timbers
Seattle Sounders FC
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
35.4%
EV/u
0.154
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
Result
mls
LAFC
LA Galaxy
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
34.3%
EV/u
0.351
Stake
0.51u
Won
+1.28u
Result
mls
Toronto FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.135
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
Result
mls
Houston Dynamo FC
FC Dallas
draw
Odds
3.25
Prob
42.6%
EV/u
0.123
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.65u
Result
mls
Columbus Crew
Chicago Fire FC
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
36.0%
EV/u
0.548
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
Result
mls
New England Revolution
Philadelphia Union
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
38.0%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.09u
Won
+0.23u
Result
mls
Red Bull New York
New York City FC
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.134
Stake
0.45u
Won
+0.72u
Result
mls
Orlando City SC
Minnesota United FC
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
35.5%
EV/u
0.060
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
Result
mls
Philadelphia Union
Portland Timbers
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.077
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
Result
mls
New York City FC
Portland Timbers
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
35.4%
EV/u
0.167
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
Result
mls
San Jose Earthquakes
Minnesota United FC
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.121
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.66u
Result
mls
Orlando City SC
LAFC
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
36.0%
EV/u
0.517
Stake
0.37u
Won
+1.23u
Result
mls
Philadelphia Union
Sporting Kansas City
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
35.8%
EV/u
0.302
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
Result
mls
Columbus Crew
Minnesota United FC
draw
Odds
3.70
Prob
35.7%
EV/u
0.301
Stake
0.40u
Won
+1.08u
Result
mls
Portland Timbers
FC Cincinnati
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
36.3%
EV/u
0.429
Stake
0.34u
Won
+1.02u
Result
mls
Seattle Sounders FC
LAFC
draw
Odds
3.10
Prob
35.6%
EV/u
0.089
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
Result
mls
San Jose Earthquakes
Real Salt Lake
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
35.5%
EV/u
0.410
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
Result
mls
Toronto FC
New York City FC
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
37.0%
EV/u
0.267
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
Result
mls
Philadelphia Union
New England Revolution
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
35.8%
EV/u
0.337
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
Result
mls
Orlando City SC
CF Montréal
draw
Odds
3.75
Prob
35.5%
EV/u
0.357
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
Result
mls
LAFC
Portland Timbers
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
36.7%
EV/u
0.590
Stake
0.42u
Won
+1.40u
Result
mls
LA Galaxy
Houston Dynamo FC
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
36.5%
EV/u
0.536
Stake
0.39u
Won
+1.30u
Result
mls
Chicago Fire FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
35.6%
EV/u
0.415
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
Result
mls
Colorado Rapids
Minnesota United FC
home
Odds
4.20
Prob
35.7%
EV/u
0.500
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
Result
mls
Real Salt Lake
Sporting Kansas City
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
37.8%
EV/u
0.257
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
Result
mls
FC Cincinnati
Red Bull New York
home
Odds
3.75
Prob
35.5%
EV/u
0.332
Stake
0.43u
Won
+1.18u
Result
mls
Atlanta United FC
Columbus Crew
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.225
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
Result
mls
CF Montréal
D.C. United
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.226
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
Result
mls
Philadelphia Union
Orlando City SC
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
36.1%
EV/u
0.282
Stake
0.39u
Won
+1.01u
Result
mls
Chicago Fire FC
San Jose Earthquakes
draw
Odds
4.50
Prob
34.3%
EV/u
0.627
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
Result
mls
Seattle Sounders FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
35.6%
EV/u
0.267
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
Result
mls
Portland Timbers
Houston Dynamo FC
draw
Odds
4.50
Prob
35.9%
EV/u
0.562
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
Result
mls
LAFC
LA Galaxy
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
37.8%
EV/u
0.254
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
Result
mls
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
10.3%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.10u
Won
+0.26u
Result
mls
Sporting Kansas City
Colorado Rapids
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.827
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Result
mls
D.C. United
New England Revolution
draw
Odds
3.75
Prob
8.7%
EV/u
0.756
Stake
0.80u
Won
+2.20u
Result
mls
CF Montréal
Toronto FC
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
22.0%
EV/u
0.813
Stake
1.48u
Won
+3.11u
Result
mls
Philadelphia Union
Inter Miami CF
away
Odds
2.30
Prob
26.2%
EV/u
0.286
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
Result
mls
New York City FC
Orlando City SC
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
15.9%
EV/u
0.596
Stake
1.12u
Won
+2.24u
Result
mls
LA Galaxy
Portland Timbers
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
25.1%
EV/u
1.714
Stake
0.60u
Won
+2.10u
Result
mls
Toronto FC
D.C. United
away
Odds
2.37
Prob
31.0%
EV/u
0.060
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
Result
mls
Sporting Kansas City
Minnesota United FC
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
22.9%
EV/u
0.162
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
Result
mls
Real Salt Lake
Colorado Rapids
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
55.5%
EV/u
0.207
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
Result
mls
FC Cincinnati
Columbus Crew
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
36.0%
EV/u
0.021
Stake
0.08u
Won
+0.12u
Result
mls
Atlanta United FC
Red Bull New York
home
Odds
4.33
Prob
33.0%
EV/u
0.430
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
Result
mls
Seattle Sounders FC
San Jose Earthquakes
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
30.8%
EV/u
0.584
Stake
0.80u
Lost
-0.80u
Result
mls
CF Montréal
New England Revolution
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
46.9%
EV/u
0.340
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
Result
mls
New York City FC
Philadelphia Union
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
34.0%
EV/u
0.677
Stake
1.15u
Won
+2.53u
Result
mls
Toronto FC
New York City FC
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.751
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Result
mls
D.C. United
Inter Miami CF
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
52.3%
EV/u
0.251
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
Result
mls
Real Salt Lake
Red Bull New York
draw
Odds
4.75
Prob
63.3%
EV/u
0.146
Stake
0.09u
Won
+0.34u
Result
mls
Sporting Kansas City
Houston Dynamo FC
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
37.4%
EV/u
0.208
Stake
0.17u
Lost
-0.17u
Result
mls
LA Galaxy
Vancouver Whitecaps
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.442
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
Result
mls
LAFC
Inter Miami CF
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
49.6%
EV/u
0.070
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.36u
Result
mls
Seattle Sounders FC
Chicago Fire FC
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
33.9%
EV/u
0.366
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
Result
mls
Seattle Sounders FC
Chicago Fire FC
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.2%
EV/u
0.288
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
Result
mls
D.C. United
Colorado Rapids
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
31.9%
EV/u
0.830
Stake
0.54u
Won
+1.40u
Result
mls
FC Dallas
Philadelphia Union
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
46.9%
EV/u
0.429
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.76u
Result
mls
Nashville SC
Atlanta United FC
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.474
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
Result
mls
Houston Dynamo FC
LA Galaxy
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.365
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.60u
Result
mls
Vancouver Whitecaps
Sporting Kansas City
home
Odds
2.87
Prob
54.4%
EV/u
0.530
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
Result
mls
Seattle Sounders FC
Toronto FC
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.8%
EV/u
0.486
Stake
0.63u
Lost
-0.63u
Result
mls
Atlanta United FC
Toronto FC
draw
Odds
3.75
Prob
46.9%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
Result
mls
LAFC
LA Galaxy
draw
Odds
5.00
Prob
70.3%
EV/u
0.173
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
Result
mls
CF Montréal
Red Bull New York
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
49.1%
EV/u
0.352
Stake
0.46u
Won
+0.83u
Result
mls
Philadelphia Union
New York City FC
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.400
Stake
0.53u
Lost
-0.53u
Result
mls
Atlanta United FC
New England Revolution
draw
Odds
4.20
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.496
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
Result
mls
Seattle Sounders FC
Minnesota United FC
draw
Odds
4.80
Prob
49.6%
EV/u
0.516
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
Result
mls
LA Galaxy
Vancouver Whitecaps
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.264
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
Result
mls
Red Bull New York
D.C. United
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.573
Stake
0.74u
Won
+2.07u
Result
mls
San Jose Earthquakes
Seattle Sounders FC
draw
Odds
4.80
Prob
51.1%
EV/u
0.292
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
Result
mls
Chicago Fire FC
Toronto FC
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.368
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.87u
Result
mls
Minnesota United FC
Sporting Kansas City
draw
Odds
4.20
Prob
51.3%
EV/u
0.198
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
Result
mls
Portland Timbers
New England Revolution
draw
Odds
4.50
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.744
Stake
0.51u
Won
+1.79u
Result
mls
LAFC
Houston Dynamo FC
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
36.0%
EV/u
0.893
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Result
mls
New York City FC
Atlanta United FC
draw
Odds
4.20
Prob
48.8%
EV/u
0.310
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
Result
mls
Portland Timbers
Minnesota United FC
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.336
Stake
0.47u
Won
+1.22u
Result
mls
LA Galaxy
CF Montréal
home
Odds
4.80
Prob
38.3%
EV/u
0.836
Stake
0.53u
Won
+2.01u
Result
mls
New England Revolution
Real Salt Lake
draw
Odds
5.00
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
0.610
Stake
0.37u
Won
+1.48u
Result
mls
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire FC
draw
Odds
4.30
Prob
52.7%
EV/u
0.434
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.96u
Result
mls
Sporting Kansas City
Colorado Rapids
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
41.0%
EV/u
0.429
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
Result
mls
FC Cincinnati
Atlanta United FC
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
48.6%
EV/u
0.172
Stake
0.12u
Won
+0.42u
Result
mls
Seattle Sounders FC
FC Dallas
draw
Odds
4.30
Prob
36.3%
EV/u
0.924
Stake
0.60u
Won
+1.98u
Result
mls
Portland Timbers
Red Bull New York
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.515
Stake
0.66u
Lost
-0.66u
Result
mls
Toronto FC
Colorado Rapids
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.5%
EV/u
0.355
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
Result
mls
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.313
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
Result
mls
Portland Timbers
D.C. United
draw
Odds
4.20
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
0.634
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
Result
mls
LA Galaxy
Sporting Kansas City
draw
Odds
5.00
Prob
38.2%
EV/u
0.209
Stake
0.13u
Lost
-0.13u
Result
mls
Chicago Fire FC
FC Dallas
draw
Odds
4.50
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
0.619
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
Result
mls
Orlando City SC
New England Revolution
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.3%
EV/u
0.301
Stake
0.39u
Won
+1.09u
Result
mls
Philadelphia Union
LAFC
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.248
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.90u
Result
mls
Vancouver Whitecaps
Houston Dynamo FC
draw
Odds
4.80
Prob
57.1%
EV/u
0.423
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
Result
mls
New York City FC
Toronto FC
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.168
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.60u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.